Blueprint
SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION
Washington, D.C. 20549
FORM 6-K
REPORT OF FOREIGN PRIVATE
ISSUER
Pursuant to Rule 13a-16 or 15d-16 of
the Securities Exchange Act of 1934
For the
month of August,
2017
PRUDENTIAL PUBLIC LIMITED COMPANY
(Translation of registrant's name into
English)
LAURENCE POUNTNEY HILL,
LONDON, EC4R 0HH, ENGLAND
(Address
of principal executive offices)
Indicate
by check mark whether the registrant files or will file annual
reports
under
cover Form 20-F or Form 40-F.
Form
20-F X
Form 40-F
Indicate
by check mark whether the registrant by furnishing the
information
contained
in this Form is also thereby furnishing the information to
the
Commission
pursuant to Rule 12g3-2(b) under the Securities Exchange Act of
1934.
Yes
No X
If
"Yes" is marked, indicate below the file number assigned to the
registrant
in connection with Rule 12g3-2(b): 82-
NEWS RELEASE
10
August 2017
PRUDENTIAL PLC HALF YEAR 2017 RESULTS
PRUDENTIAL DELIVERS BROAD-BASED PERFORMANCE LED BY DOUBLE-DIGIT
GROWTH IN ASIA
Performance highlights on a constant (and actual) exchange rate
basis
●
Group IFRS
operating profit1 of £2,358
million, up 5 per cent2,3 (up 15 per
cent4)
●
Asia new business
profit5 of
£1,092 million, up 18 per cent2,3 (up 33 per
cent4),
IFRS operating profit1 of £953
million, up 16 per cent2,3 (up 31 per
cent4) and
free surplus generation6 of £553
million, up 15 per cent2,3 (up 30 per
cent4)
●
US life insurance
IFRS operating profit1 of £1,079
million, up 7 per cent3 (up 22 per
cent4)
●
UK life retail APE
sales of £721 million, up 22 per cent, with PruFund sales up
29 per cent to £564 million
●
M&G first half
external asset management net inflows of £7.2
billion
●
M&G and
Prudential UK & Europe to be combined to create a leading
savings and investments provider
●
2017 first interim
dividend of 14.50 pence per share, up 12 per cent
●
Group Solvency II
surplus7
estimated at £12.9 billion; equivalent to a ratio of 202 per
cent8
Mike
Wells, Group Chief Executive, said: “Our successful strategy,
innovative products and strong execution have driven growth across
all of our main performance measures led by double-digit growth in
our Asian business. We have achieved our objective of generating
over £10 billion of Group cumulative free surplus between 1
January 2014 and 31 December 2017 six months early and we remain on
track to achieve the remaining Asia-focused objectives by the end
of this year.
“In
Asia, we continue to leverage our structural advantages, delivering
a 16 per cent2 increase in IFRS
operating profit and 15 per cent2 growth in free
surplus generation. New business profit in our life business
increased by 18 per cent2, while Eastspring,
our asset management business, delivered £2.3 billion of
external net inflows9. The scale, breadth
and diversification of our businesses leave us well placed to
continue to grow as we access the opportunities created by the
region’s dynamic economies, fast-growing middle class and
underpenetrated markets.
“Our
US life business, Jackson, has delivered a 7 per cent rise in IFRS
operating profit and continues to outperform the market10 with positive net
flows in variable annuities, where its product and distribution
capabilities are a competitive strength. In the UK our life retail
sales are up by 22 per cent due to the continued consumer appetite
for PruFund-backed products, while M&G experienced record net
inflows from external retail clients for the first half of the
year, reflecting improved investment performance.
“Our
strategy is focused on markets where the need for our products is
strong and growing, and our capabilities and execution ensure that
we are successfully meeting that demand across our different
regions. In Asia we offer innovative products that meet the
savings, health and protection needs of the fast-growing middle
class, in the US our variable annuities are focused on meeting
consumers’ needs as they move into retirement, and in the UK
and Europe we are responding with agility to changing consumer
preferences, meeting the rising demand for savings and retirement
solutions.
“We
are also announcing today our intention to combine M&G and
Prudential UK & Europe to form M&G Prudential, a savings
and investments business focused on meeting growing customer demand
for comprehensive financial solutions. Combining these businesses
will allow us to better leverage our considerable scale and
capabilities. This will enable us to increase our growth prospects
by providing better outcomes for our millions of
customers.
“This
performance demonstrates our strength in accessing the market
opportunities available to us. Our proven ability to innovate in
both our products and capabilities positions us well to continue
generating profitable growth and cash.”
Summary financials
|
2017
Half year
|
2016
Half year
|
Change on
AER basis
|
Change on
CER basis
|
|
|
|
|
|
IFRS operating profit based on longer term investment
returns2
|
£2,358m
|
£2,044m
|
15%
|
5%
|
Underlying free surplus generated2,6
|
£1,845m
|
£1,615m
|
14%
|
6%
|
Life new business profit2,5
|
£1,689m
|
£1,257m
|
34%
|
20%
|
IFRS profit after tax11
|
£1,505m
|
£687m
|
119%
|
109%
|
Net cash remittances from business units
|
£1,230m
|
£1,118m
|
10%
|
-
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2017
Half year
|
2016
Full year
|
Change on
AER basis
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
IFRS
shareholders’ funds
|
£15.4bn
|
£14.7bn
|
5%
|
|
EEV
shareholders’ funds
|
£40.5bn
|
£39.0bn
|
4%
|
|
Group
Solvency II capital surplus7,8
|
£12.9bn
|
£12.5bn
|
3%
|
|
1.
Based on
longer-term investment returns.
2.
Following its sale
in May 2017, the operating results exclude the contribution of the
Korea life business. All comparative results have been similarly
adjusted.
3.
Period-on-period
percentage increases are stated on a constant exchange rate basis
unless otherwise stated. All amounts are comparable to the six
months ended 30 June 2016 unless otherwise indicated.
4.
Growth rate on an
actual exchange rate basis.
5.
New business profit
on business sold in the period, calculated in accordance with EEV
principles.
6.
Underlying free
surplus generated based on operating movements from long-term
business (net of investment in new business) and that generated
from asset management operations. Further information is set out in
note 10 of the EEV basis results.
7.
The Group
shareholder capital position excludes the contribution to Own Funds
and the Solvency Capital Requirement from ring fenced With-Profit
Funds and staff pension schemes in surplus. The solvency positions
include management’s estimate of transitional measures
reflecting operating and market conditions at the valuation date.
The estimated Group shareholder surplus would increase from
£12.9 billion to £13.6 billion at 30 June 2017 if the
approved regulatory transitional amount was applied
instead.
8.
Before allowing for
first interim dividend (31 December 2016: Second interim
dividend).
9.
External net
inflows exclude Asia Money Market Fund (MMF) net inflows of
£499 million (2016: net inflows of £656 million on an
actual exchange rate basis).
10.
©2017
Morningstar, Inc. All Rights Reserved. The information contained
herein: (1) is proprietary to Morningstar and/or its content
providers; (2) may not be copied or distributed; and (3) is not
warranted to be accurate, complete or timely. Neither Morningstar
nor its content providers are responsible for any damages or losses
arising from any use of this information. Past performance is no
guarantee of future results. 1Q 2017 Morningstar VA Report with
Commentary.
11.
IFRS profit after
tax reflects the combined effects of operating results, negative
short-term fluctuations in investments variances, result attaching
to the sold Korea life business and the total tax charge for the
year.
Contact:
Media
|
|
Investors/Analysts
|
|
Jonathan
Oliver
|
+44
(0)20 7548 3537
|
Raghu
Hariharan
|
+44
(0)20 7548 2871
|
Jonathan
Miller
|
+44
(0)20 7548 2776
|
Richard
Gradidge
|
+44
(0)20 7548 3860
|
|
|
William
Elderkin
|
+44
(0)20 3480 5590
|
|
|
Chantal
Waight
|
+44
(0)20 7548 3039
|
Notes to Editors:
1.
The results in this
announcement are prepared on two bases: International Financial
Reporting Standards (IFRS) and European Embedded Value (EEV). The
results prepared under IFRS form the basis of the Group's statutory
financial statements. The supplementary EEV basis results have been
prepared in accordance with the amended European Embedded Value
Principles dated April 2016 prepared by the European Insurance CFO
Forum. The Group’s EEV basis results are stated on a post-tax
basis and include the post-tax IFRS basis results of the
Group’s asset management and other operations.
Period-on-period percentage increases are stated on a constant
exchange rate basis unless otherwise stated. Constant exchange
rates results are calculated by translating prior period results
using the current period foreign exchange rate i.e. current period
average rates for the income statement and current period closing
rates for the balance sheet.
2.
Annual Premium
Equivalent (APE) sales comprise regular premium sales plus
one-tenth of single premium insurance sales.
3.
Operating profit is
determined on the basis of including longer-term investment
returns. EEV and IFRS operating profit is stated after excluding
the effect of short-term fluctuations in investment returns against
long-term assumptions. Furthermore, for EEV basis results,
operating profit based on longer-term investment returns excludes
the effect of changes in economic assumptions and the mark to
market value movement on core borrowings. Separately on the IFRS
basis, operating profit also excludes amortisation of accounting
adjustments arising principally on the acquisition of REALIC
completed in 2012 and the cumulative foreign exchange gain on the
disposal of the Korea life business that was recycled from Other
Comprehensive Income on completion of the sale process in
2017.
4.
Total number of
Prudential plc shares in issue as at 30 June 2017 was
2,585,853,418.
5.
A presentation for
analysts and investors will be held today at 11.30am (UK) / 6.30pm
(Hong Kong) in the conference suite at Nomura International plc, 1
Angel Lane, London EC4R 3AB. The presentation will be webcast live
and as a replay on the corporate website via the link
below:
http://www.prudential.co.uk/investors/results-centre
A
dial-in facility will be available to listen to the presentation.
Please allow time ahead of the presentation to join the call (lines
open half an hour before the presentation is due to start, i.e.
from 11.00am (UK) / 6.00pm (Hong Kong)). Dial-in: +44 (0) 20 3059
8125 / 0800 368 0649 (Freephone UK), Passcode:
‘Prudential’ (this must be quoted to the operator to
gain access to the call). Playback: +44 (0) 121 260 4861 (UK and
international excluding US) / + 1 844 2308 058 (US only) Passcode:
6695475#. This will be available from approximately 2.30pm (UK) /
9.30pm (Hong Kong) on 10 August 2017 until 11.59pm (UK) on 24
August 2017 and 6.59am (Hong Kong) on 25 August 2017.
6.
2017 First Interim Dividend
|
Ex-dividend
date
|
23
August 2017
(Singapore)
24 August 2017 (UK, Ireland and Hong Kong)
|
|
Record
date
|
25
August 2017
|
|
Payment
of dividend
|
28
September 2017 (UK, Ireland and
Hong Kong)
On or
about 5 October 2017
(Singapore)
On or
about 5 October 2017 (ADR
holders)
|
Prudential plc and
its affiliated companies constitute one of the world’s
leading financial services groups, serving around 24 million
insurance customers, with £635 billion of assets under
management (as at 30 June 2017). Prudential plc is incorporated in
England and Wales and is listed on the stock exchanges in London,
Hong Kong, Singapore and
New York. Prudential plc is not affiliated in any manner with
Prudential Financial, Inc., a company whose principal place of
business is in the United States of America.
8. Forward-Looking Statements
This document may
contain ‘forward-looking statements’ with respect to
certain of Prudential's plans and its goals and expectations
relating to its future financial condition, performance, results,
strategy and objectives. Statements that are not historical facts,
including statements about Prudential’s beliefs and
expectations and including, without
limitation, statements containing the words ‘may’,
‘will’, ‘should’, ‘continue’,
‘aims’, ‘estimates’,
‘projects’, ‘believes’,
‘intends’, ‘expects’, ‘plans’,
‘seeks’ and ‘anticipates’, and words of
similar meaning, are forward-looking statements. These statements
are based on plans, estimates and projections as at the time they
are made, and therefore undue
reliance should not be placed on them. By their nature, all
forward-looking statements involve risk and uncertainty. A number
of important factors could cause Prudential's actual future
financial condition or performance or other indicated results to
differ materially from those indicated in any forward-looking
statement. Such factors include, but are not
limited to, future market conditions, including fluctuations in
interest rates and exchange rates the potential for a sustained
low-interest rate environment, and the performance of financial
markets generally; the policies and actions of regulatory
authorities, including, for example, new government initiatives;
the political, legal and economic effects of the
UK’s decision to leave the European Union; the impact of
continuing designation as a Global Systemically Important Insurer
or ‘G-SII’; the impact of competition, economic
uncertainty, inflation and deflation; the effect on
Prudential’s business and results from, in particular,
mortality and morbidity trends, lapse rates and policy renewal
rates; the
timing, impact and other uncertainties of future acquisitions or
combinations within relevant industries; the impact of internal
projects and other strategic actions failing to meet their
objectives; the impact of changes in capital, solvency standards,
accounting standards or relevant regulatory frameworks, and tax and
other legislation and regulations in the
jurisdictions in which Prudential and its affiliates operate; and
the impact of legal and regulatory actions, investigations and
disputes. These and other important factors may, for example,
result in changes to assumptions used for determining results of
operations or re-estimations of reserves for future policy
benefits. Further discussion of these and other
important factors that could cause Prudential's actual future
financial condition or performance or other indicated results to
differ, possibly materially, from those anticipated in Prudential's
forward-looking statements can be found under the ‘Risk
Factors’ heading in this document.
Any forward-looking
statements contained in this document speak only as of the date on
which they are made. Prudential expressly disclaims any obligation
to update any of the forward-looking statements contained in this
document or any other forward-looking statements it may make,
whether as a result of future events, new information or
otherwise
except as required pursuant to the UK Prospectus Rules, the UK
Listing Rules, the UK Disclosure and Transparency Rules, the Hong
Kong Listing Rules, the SGX-ST listing rules or other applicable
laws and regulations.
Summary Half Year 2017 financial performance
Financial highlights
Life APE new business sales (APE sales)1
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Actual Exchange Rate
|
|
Constant Exchange Rate
|
|
2017 £m
|
2016 £m
|
Change %
|
|
2016 £m
|
Change %
|
|
Half year
|
Half year
|
|
|
Half year
|
|
Asia2
|
1,943
|
1,605
|
21
|
|
1,814
|
7
|
US
|
960
|
782
|
23
|
|
889
|
8
|
UK
|
721
|
593
|
22
|
|
593
|
22
|
Total Group2
|
3,624
|
2,980
|
22
|
|
3,296
|
10
|
Life EEV new business profits and investment in new
business
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Actual Exchange Rate
|
|
Constant Exchange Rate
|
|
2017 Half year £m
|
|
2016 Half year £m
|
|
Change %
|
|
2016 Half year £m
|
|
Change %
|
|
New
Business
Profit
|
Free
surplus
invested in
new
business
|
|
New
Business
Profit
|
Free
surplus
invested in
new
business
|
|
New
Business
Profit
|
Free
surplus
investment
in new
business
|
|
New
Business
Profit
|
Free
surplus
investment
in new
business
|
|
New
Business
Profit
|
Free
surplus
investment
in new
business
|
Asia2
|
1,092
|
283
|
|
821
|
228
|
|
33
|
24
|
|
928
|
257
|
|
18
|
10
|
US
|
436
|
246
|
|
311
|
209
|
|
40
|
18
|
|
354
|
238
|
|
23
|
3
|
UK
|
161
|
42
|
|
125
|
56
|
|
29
|
(25)
|
|
125
|
56
|
|
29
|
(25)
|
Total Group2
|
1,689
|
571
|
|
1,257
|
493
|
|
34
|
16
|
|
1,407
|
551
|
|
20
|
4
|
IFRS Profit
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Actual Exchange Rate
|
|
Constant Exchange Rate
|
|
2017 £m
|
2016 £m
|
Change %
|
|
2016 £m
|
Change %
|
|
Half year
|
Half year
|
|
|
Half year
|
|
Operating profit before tax based on longer-term investment
returns3
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Long-term business:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Asia2
|
870
|
667
|
30
|
|
752
|
16
|
|
US
|
1,079
|
888
|
22
|
|
1,010
|
7
|
|
UK
|
480
|
473
|
1
|
|
473
|
1
|
Long-term business operating profit before tax2
|
2,429
|
2,028
|
20
|
|
2,235
|
9
|
UK general insurance commission
|
17
|
19
|
(11)
|
|
19
|
(11)
|
Asset management business:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
M&G
|
248
|
225
|
10
|
|
225
|
10
|
|
Prudential Capital
|
6
|
13
|
(54)
|
|
13
|
(54)
|
|
Eastspring Investments
|
83
|
61
|
36
|
|
69
|
20
|
|
US
|
(6)
|
(12)
|
50
|
|
(13)
|
54
|
Other income and expenditure
|
(419)
|
(333)
|
(26)
|
|
(342)
|
(23)
|
Total operating profit based on longer-term investment returns
before tax and interest received from tax
settlement2
|
2,358
|
2,001
|
18
|
|
2,206
|
7
|
Interest received from tax settlement
|
-
|
43
|
n/a
|
|
43
|
n/a
|
Total operating profit based on longer-term
investment returns before tax2
|
2,358
|
2,044
|
15
|
|
2,249
|
5
|
Non-operating items:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Result attaching to the sold Korea life business
|
61
|
40
|
53
|
|
47
|
30
|
|
Other non-operating items
|
(605)
|
(1,420)
|
57
|
|
(1,619)
|
63
|
Profit before tax attributable to shareholders
|
1,814
|
664
|
173
|
|
677
|
168
|
Tax (charge)/credit attributable to shareholders'
returns
|
(309)
|
23
|
n/a
|
|
43
|
n/a
|
Profit for the period attributable to shareholders
|
1,505
|
687
|
119
|
|
720
|
109
|
Post-tax profit - EEV4
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Actual Exchange Rate
|
|
Constant Exchange Rate
|
|
2017 £m
|
2016 £m
|
Change %
|
|
2016 £m
|
Change %
|
|
Half year
|
Half year
|
|
|
Half year
|
|
Post-tax operating profit based on longer-term investment
returns
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Long-term business:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Asia2
|
1,641
|
1,209
|
36
|
|
1,361
|
21
|
|
US
|
888
|
694
|
28
|
|
789
|
13
|
|
UK
|
465
|
384
|
21
|
|
384
|
21
|
Long-term business post-tax operating profit2
|
2,994
|
2,287
|
31
|
|
2,534
|
18
|
UK general insurance commission
|
14
|
15
|
(7)
|
|
15
|
(7)
|
Asset management business:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
M&G
|
201
|
181
|
11
|
|
181
|
11
|
|
Prudential Capital
|
5
|
11
|
(55)
|
|
11
|
(55)
|
|
Eastspring Investments
|
73
|
53
|
38
|
|
60
|
22
|
|
US
|
(4)
|
(8)
|
50
|
|
(9)
|
56
|
Other income and expenditure
|
(413)
|
(319)
|
(29)
|
|
(326)
|
(27)
|
Post-tax operating profit based on longer-term investment returns
before interest received from tax settlement2
|
2,870
|
2,220
|
29
|
|
2,466
|
16
|
Interest received from tax settlement
|
-
|
37
|
n/a
|
|
37
|
n/a
|
Post-tax operating profit based on longer-term
investment returns2
|
2,870
|
2,257
|
27
|
|
2,503
|
15
|
Non-operating items:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Result attaching to the sold Korea life business
|
-
|
(11)
|
100
|
|
(12)
|
100
|
|
Other non-operating items
|
427
|
(852)
|
n/a
|
|
(985)
|
n/a
|
Post-tax profit for the period attributable to
shareholders
|
3,297
|
1,394
|
137
|
|
1,506
|
119
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Basic earnings per
share2
- based on operating profit after
tax
|
|
Actual Exchange Rate
|
|
Constant Exchange Rate
|
|
2017 pence
|
2016 pence
|
Change %
|
|
2016 pence
|
Change %
|
|
Half year
|
Half year
|
|
|
Half year
|
|
IFRS
|
70.0
|
61.3
|
14
|
|
67.6
|
4
|
EEV
|
111.9
|
88.2
|
27
|
|
97.8
|
14
|
Underlying free surplus generated4,5
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Actual Exchange Rate
|
|
Constant Exchange Rate
|
|
|
2017 £m
|
|
2016 £m
|
|
Change %
|
|
2016 £m
|
Change %
|
|
|
Half year
|
|
Half year
|
|
|
|
|
Half year
|
|
|
|
|
Long-
term
|
Total
|
|
Long-
term
|
Total
|
|
Long-
term
|
Total
|
|
Long-
term
|
Total
|
Long-
term
|
Total
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Asia2
|
480
|
553
|
|
372
|
425
|
|
29
|
30
|
|
422
|
482
|
14
|
15
|
US
|
555
|
551
|
|
492
|
484
|
|
13
|
14
|
|
559
|
550
|
(1)
|
-
|
UK
|
521
|
535
|
|
499
|
514
|
|
4
|
4
|
|
499
|
514
|
4
|
4
|
M&G
|
-
|
201
|
|
-
|
181
|
|
-
|
11
|
|
-
|
181
|
-
|
11
|
Prudential Capital
|
-
|
5
|
|
-
|
11
|
|
-
|
(55)
|
|
-
|
11
|
-
|
(55)
|
Total Group2
|
1,556
|
1,845
|
|
1,363
|
1,615
|
|
14
|
14
|
|
1,480
|
1,738
|
5
|
6
|
Cash remitted by the business units to the Group6
|
|
|
|
|
2017 £m
|
2016 £m
|
|
|
Half year
|
Half year
|
Change %
|
|
Total
|
Total
|
Total
|
Asia
|
350
|
258
|
36
|
US
|
475
|
339
|
40
|
UK Life
|
215
|
215
|
-
|
M&G
|
175
|
150
|
17
|
Prudential Capital
|
15
|
25
|
(40)
|
Other UK
|
-
|
131
|
(100)
|
Total Group
|
1,230
|
1,118
|
10
|
Cash and capital
|
|
|
|
|
2017
|
2016
|
|
|
Half year
|
Half year
|
Change %
|
First interim dividend per share relating to the reporting
period
|
14.50p
|
12.93p
|
12
|
Holding company cash and short-term investments
|
£2,657m
|
£2,546m
|
4
|
Group Solvency II capital surplus7,8
|
£12.9bn
|
£9.1bn
|
42
|
Group Solvency II capital ratio7,8
|
202%
|
175%
|
+27pp
|
|
|
|
|
Group shareholders' funds (including goodwill attributable to
shareholders)
|
|
|
|
|
|
2017
|
2016
|
|
|
Half year
|
Half year
|
Change %
|
IFRS
|
£15.4bn
|
£14.6bn
|
5
|
EEV
|
£40.5bn
|
£35.0bn
|
16
|
|
|
|
|
|
2017 %
|
2016 %
|
|
|
Half year
|
Half year
|
|
Return on IFRS shareholders' funds9
|
24
|
24
|
|
Return on embedded value9
|
15
|
14
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2017
|
2016
|
|
|
Half year
|
Half year
|
Change %
|
EEV shareholders' funds per share (including goodwill attributable
to shareholders)
|
1,567p
|
1,356p
|
16
|
EEV shareholders' funds per share (excluding goodwill attributable
to shareholders)
|
1,510p
|
1,299p
|
16
|
2017 financial objectives2,10
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Half year
|
|
CAGR
|
|
Objectives
|
Asia Objectives
|
2012
£m
|
|
2013
£m
|
|
2014
£m
|
|
2015
£m
|
|
2016
£m
|
|
2017
£m
|
|
(since 2012)
%
|
|
201710
|
Asia life and asset management IFRS operating profit
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Full
year
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Reported actuals
|
909
|
|
1,058
|
|
1,108
|
|
1,286
|
|
1,644
|
|
|
|
|
|
>£1,826 million
|
Constant exchange rate11
|
884
|
|
1,058
|
|
1,228
|
|
1,430
|
|
1,641
|
|
|
|
|
|
>15% CAGR
|
Constant exchange rate change % (year-on-year)
|
-
|
|
20
|
|
16
|
|
16
|
|
15
|
|
|
|
17
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Half
year
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Reported
actuals
|
427
|
|
504
|
|
508
|
|
613
|
|
728
|
|
953
|
|
|
|
|
|
Constant exchange rate11
|
411
|
|
504
|
|
566
|
|
665
|
|
772
|
|
889
|
|
|
|
|
|
Constant exchange rate change % (year-on-year)
|
-
|
|
23
|
|
12
|
|
17
|
|
16
|
|
15
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Asia Underlying Free Surplus Generation
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Full
year
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Reported actuals
|
468
|
|
565
|
|
599
|
|
666
|
|
859
|
|
|
|
|
|
£0.9 - £1.1 billion
|
|
Constant exchange rate11
|
454
|
|
565
|
|
669
|
|
758
|
|
872
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Constant exchange rate change % (year-on-year)
|
-
|
|
24
|
|
18
|
|
13
|
|
15
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Half
year
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Reported actuals
|
194
|
|
290
|
|
303
|
|
344
|
|
425
|
|
553
|
|
|
|
|
|
Constant exchange rate11
|
185
|
|
290
|
|
336
|
|
380
|
|
459
|
|
537
|
|
|
|
|
|
Constant exchange rate change % (year-on-year)
|
-
|
|
57
|
|
16
|
|
13
|
|
21
|
|
17
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Group Objective for cumulative period 1 January 2014 to 31 December
2017
|
|
Actual
|
|
Objective
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1 Jan 2014 to
30 June 2017
|
|
1 Jan 2014 to
31 December 2017
|
Cumulative Group Underlying Free Surplus
Generation5
from 2014 onwards
|
|
£11.1 billion
|
|
> £10 billion
|
1
|
APE sales is a
measure of new business activity that is calculated as the sum of
annualised regular premiums from new business plus 10 per cent of
single premiums on new business written during the period for all
insurance products, including premiums for contracts designated as
investment contracts under IFRS 4. It is not representative of
premium income recorded in the IFRS financial statements. Further
explanation of the differences is included in Note D of the
Additional EEV financial information.
|
2
|
Following its sale
in May 2017, the operating results exclude the contribution of the
Korea life business. All comparative results have been similarly
adjusted. The relevant 2017 objective (Asia IFRS operating profit)
has been adjusted.
|
3
|
IFRS operating
profit is management’s primary measure of profitability and
provides an underlying operating result based on longer-term
investment returns and excludes non-operating items. Further
information on its definition and reconciliation to profit for the
period is set out in note B1 of the IFRS financial statements. This
measure is described further in the “Our performance”
section of the Strategic Report in the 2016 Annual
Report.
|
4
|
Embedded value
reporting provides investors with a measure of the future profit
streams of the Group. The EEV basis results have been prepared in
accordance with EEV principles discussed in note 1 of EEV basis
results. A reconciliation between IFRS and the EEV shareholder
funds is included in Note C of the Additional EEV financial
information.
|
5
|
Underlying free
surplus generated comprises underlying free surplus generated from
the Group's long-term business (net of investment in new business)
and that generated from asset management operations. Further
information is set out in note 10 of the EEV basis
results.
|
6
|
Cash remitted to
the Group form part of the net cash flows of the holding company. A
full holding company cash flow is set out in Note II (a) of
Additional IFRS financial information. This differs from the IFRS
Consolidated Statement of Cash Flows which includes all cash flows
relating to both policyholders and shareholders’ funds. The
holding company cash flow is therefore a more meaningful indicator
of the Group’s central liquidity.
|
7
|
Estimated before
allowing for first interim dividend.
|
8
|
The Group
shareholder capital position excludes the contribution to Own Funds
and the Solvency Capital Requirement from ring fenced With-Profit
Funds and staff pension schemes in surplus. The solvency positions
include management’s estimate of transitional measures
reflecting operating and market conditions at the valuation date.
The estimated Group shareholder surplus would increase from
£12.9 billion to £13.6 billion at 30 June 2017 if the
approved regulatory transitional amount was applied
instead.
|
9
|
Annualised
operating profit after tax and non-controlling interests as a
percentage of opening shareholders'
funds.
|
10
|
The objectives
assume exchange rate at December 2013 and economic assumptions made
by Prudential in calculating EEV basis supplementary information
for the half year objectives ended 30 June 2013, and are based on
regulatory and solvency regimes applicable across the Group at the
time the objectives were set. The objectives assume the existing
EEV, IFRS and Free Surplus methodology at December 2013 will be
applicable over the period.
|
11
|
Constant exchange
rates results translated at using exchange rates at December
2013.
|
Group Chief Executive’s Report
In the
first half of 2017, the performance of the Group has been
underpinned by the successful execution of our strategy, driven by
the strength of our capabilities and the quality of our
products.
Prudential
helps to remove uncertainty from the most significant financial
moments in the lives of our customers. We provide financial
protection against unexpected events such as the diagnosis of
critical illness or the loss of a loved one, the opportunity to
turn savings into reliable retirement income and the ability to
look to the future with confidence. At the same time, we put our
customers’ money to work by investing in the real economy,
fuelling growth and improving the quality of people’s lives
in the communities in which we work.
Our
strategy is focused on markets where the opportunities for us are
strongest. In each of these markets, we are developing our product
range and improving our distribution and technological capabilities
in order to meet the needs of customers as fully as we
can.
We are
today also announcing an important step forward for our UK
businesses. We are combining M&G and Prudential UK & Europe
to create a savings and investments business focused on meeting
growing customer demand for comprehensive financial solutions.
Combining these businesses will allow us to better leverage our
considerable scale and capabilities. This will enable us to
increase our growth prospects by providing better outcomes for our
millions of customers.
Our first half financial performance
We have
continued to make progress in the first half, building on the
positive business momentum seen in the second half of
2016.
Our
life businesses in Asia remain the key driver of growth for the
Group, with a double-digit increase in our profitability, capital
generation and cash metrics, as we continue to build out our
capabilities and increase our scale across the region. We have also
seen a positive performance from our asset management operations,
with combined net inflows1 from external
clients at record levels for the period. In our UK life business,
consumer appetite for our distinctive PruFund product proposition
is supporting high levels of growth in new business sales, while in
the US Jackson continues to outperform its peers in the variable
annuity market2.
The
Group remains well positioned for growth in its target markets and
in the first six months of 2017 generated a 20 per cent5 increase (34 per
cent on an actual exchange rate basis) in new business
profit3 to
£1,689 million. This reflects our continued prioritisation of
growth in attractive product lines in each of Asia, the US and the
UK.
Group
IFRS operating profit based on longer-term investment
returns4
increased by 5 per cent5 (15 per cent on an
actual exchange rate basis) to £2,358 million, reflecting
growth in Asia, the US and in our UK asset management operations.
IFRS operating profit continues to benefit from the recurring
nature of our earnings and our focus on income from protection and
fee business.
Free
surplus generation6, our preferred
measure of cash generation, increased by 6 per cent5 (14 per cent on an
actual exchange rate basis) to £1,845 million after financing
investment in new business. With the first-half contribution, we
have now exceeded the financial objective we set in December 2013
to generate over £10 billion of Group cumulative free surplus
between 1 January 2014 and 31 December 2017 six months early. We
remain on track to achieve our Asia objectives by the end of this
year.
In
Asia, the addition of long-term, high-quality new business is
building scale in our in-force portfolio, which underpins growth
and security in current and future earnings and cash generation.
New business profit3 was 18 per
cent5
higher (33 per cent on an actual exchange rate basis), with
double-digit percentage growth or higher in eight countries, driven
by improvements in both agency and bancassurance channels and by
our continued focus on health and protection. IFRS operating
profit4 in
Asia increased by 16 per cent5, with free surplus
generation6 up 15 per
cent5 (up
31 per cent and 30 per cent on an actual exchange rate basis
respectively). Our Asia-based asset manager, Eastspring, ended the
period with total funds under management of £131 billion, 11
per cent higher on an actual exchange rate basis than at the start
of the year.
In the
US, Jackson’s variable annuity business continues to drive
earnings, with IFRS operating profit4 in this product line
increasing by 17 per cent on higher asset balances that reflect
continued positive net flows and market appreciation. Our business
was well prepared for the application of the Department of Labor
reforms on 9 June and has maintained relationships with its key
distribution partners. Although some uncertainty remains on the
direction of the regulatory process, we continue to develop
products and distribution that meet the needs and preferences of
the market, backed by a distinctive value proposition that
differentiates Jackson from its peers.
In the
UK and Europe, M&G and our life operations are both securing
significant business flows, driven by the strength of their product
performance and market position. At M&G, institutional net
inflows of £1.7 billion and record retail net inflows of
£5.5 billion have contributed to period-end assets under
management on behalf of external clients of £149 billion.
Together with internal assets, M&G’s total assets under
management have increased by 6 per cent to £281 billion since
the end of 2016, resulting in a 10 per cent increase in IFRS
operating profit4. In our UK life
operations, new business profit3 increased by 29 per
cent, reflecting growth in flexible personal pensions, backed by
the popular PruFund investment option.
We
continue to operate with strong, conservatively managed cash and
capital positions at both the Group and local levels. Cash
remittances from our business units to the Group increased by 10
per cent to £1,230 million (2016: £1,118 million), with
well-balanced contributions across all of our geographic regions.
The Group’s shareholder Solvency II capital
surplus7
was £12.9 billion at 30 June 2017, equating to cover of 202
per cent8.
Over
the period IFRS shareholders’ funds increased by 5 per
cent9 to
£15.4 billion after taking into account profit after tax of
£1,505 million (2016: £687 million on an actual exchange
rate basis) and other movements including negative foreign exchange
movements of £224 million. EEV shareholders’ funds
increased by 4 per cent9 to £40.5
billion, equivalent to 1,567 pence per share.
A clear and consistent strategy
This
performance demonstrates the success of our clear and consistent
strategy, which is focused on three long-term opportunities in
Asia, the US and the UK, each driven by a structural and growing
demand for our products.
In Asia
we offer products that meet the savings, health and protection
needs of the region’s fast-growing and increasingly affluent
middle class. Over the next five years, nearly 700 million people
in Asia are expected to enter the middle class10, driving sustained
and material growth in consumer demand. By 2020, the spending of
the middle class in the Asia-Pacific region is expected to surpass
that of the US and Europe combined10.
The
rapidly increasing scale of the Asian middle class is creating a
growing need for the financial savings and protection products we
provide. Those needs are largely unmet today, with the protection
gap in Asia estimated at $45 trillion11 and private health
insurance in some areas accounting for less than a quarter of
private healthcare spend12, while insurance
penetration remains extremely low13. As a result, there
is a clear market opportunity for our products in
Asia.
The
United States is the world’s largest retirement savings
market, with 10,000 Americans retiring per day14, which is a
significant opportunity for us as a provider of retirement products
and income strategies. Consumers in the US express clear demand for
an investment option through which they can grow their savings
while protecting income. Our variable annuity products meet this
need, making them attractive for people moving into retirement.
More than $16 trillion is invested in adviser-distributed
retirement assets in the US15, while variable
annuities account for just $2 trillion16 of that amount,
demonstrating the scale of the opportunity for us.
There
is a similar demand from under-saved populations in Europe. In the
United Kingdom the proportion of the population aged over 60 is
expected to increase by 50 per cent over the next 20
years17.
As in the US, the demand for risk-managed investments to fund
retirement represents a significant area of growth for our
business. Our new combined business, M&G Prudential, will
leverage our scale, financial strength and capabilities to continue
developing customer-focused solutions and thereby more fully
address these needs.
Our customers and products
We
address all three of these long-term opportunities through our
close attention to the needs of our customers and by continually
improving our products and capabilities to meet those
needs.
In
Asia, our broad-based portfolio of businesses continues to drive
our progress. We remain focused on the quality of our execution in
addressing distinct consumer needs and opportunities in each of our
local markets. In Hong Kong, our track record of introducing
innovative features to our range of health and savings products has
established us as a leader in the growing critical illness
protection segment, and in June we strengthened that track record
with the launch of a new lump-sum health insurance policy providing
whole of life cover against 75 early to late stage disease
conditions. In mainland China, our long-term joint-venture
partnership with CITIC is reaching more customers than ever, and
China is now our third-largest contributor to new business sales in
Asia. We are continuing to build the scale of our platform in
China, through expansion of our bancassurance and agency
distribution, and by launching in new cities such as Taizhou, our
72nd city, in Zhejiang province in July.
In
Singapore, we have introduced more flexibility for customers buying
private healthcare insurance with market-leading product options to
encourage healthy living and help them better manage their
healthcare budgets. We also introduced our first DNA-based health
and nutrition programme in Singapore, following the successful
launch in Hong Kong last year. In Indonesia, we launched a new
medical rider, PRUprime healthcare, in February, followed by its
syariah version in April. Designed to meet the needs of customers
in a higher economic segment, it includes among its features
worldwide coverage with emergency hospitalisation in the US and
cashless admission at a network of Prudential partner hospitals in
Indonesia, Singapore and Malaysia.
Eastspring
continues to attract good levels of net inflows and in May won
Asian Investor’s prestigious Asia Fund House of the Year
award for the second time in three years. In June Eastspring became
the first Asian investor to sign an agreement with International
Finance Corporation, a member of the World Bank Group, committing
US$500 million to a programme to fund infrastructure projects in
emerging markets. This is an example of our commitment to the
economies and communities of developing countries.
In the
United States, we are continuing to develop our business to ensure
that we capture the opportunity presented by the large numbers of
Americans reaching retirement age in the next decade. As regulatory
developments and industry trends introduce new areas of growth
potential in variable annuities, for example in the fee-based
advice market, we are adapting our product accordingly, while using
our superior platform and distribution capabilities to drive
speed-to-market. During the first half of 2017, we launched a
fee-based version of our popular Elite Access product, filed a new
fee-based version of our leading Perspective variable annuity and
saw Jackson maintain relationships with its key distributors post
the application of the Department of Labor’s fiduciary rule
on 9 June. We remain well positioned to build on our strength in
the US retirement market.
Our
businesses in the UK are serving customers with needs similar to
those of consumers in the US. At M&G, we are developing the
breadth and the depth of our offering, designing products that
align to the outcomes our customers are looking to achieve. Our
strong track record of translating innovative investment strategies
to commercial success distinguishes M&G from its peers. Our
Global Floating Rate High Yield Fund is a clear example of this,
offering customers participation in a rising rate environment
through investment in high-yield floating-rate notes. Launched in
September 2014, it attracted net inflows of £2,259 million in
the first half of 2017 and now has assets under management of over
£3.5 billion. We are also making good operational progress in
our preparations for Brexit, including setting up a new legal
structure and SICAV fund range in Luxembourg. These initiatives
will ensure that customers retain access to our investment
strategies and funds through the most appropriate structure for
their needs.
Prudential
UK & Europe is responding with agility to regulatory change and
consumer preferences following the pensions freedoms introduced in
2015. The strength of our retail sales growth shows how the
extension of our popular PruFund investment option to ISAs and
retirement products, is meeting customers’ demand for proven
investment capability and risk-managed solutions as they move
towards the latter stages of accumulation and into retirement
income. Our Retirement Account provides a flexible Personal Pension
which allows customers to save through single or regular payments,
transfer from another pension and take income flexibly, and has
proven popular with customers, accumulating funds under management
of £4.1 billion since its launch at the end of
2016.
Since
2014 we have also been offering our products to a new and growing
middle class in Africa, and just last month we entered our fifth
African market, Nigeria, building on our success in Ghana, Kenya,
Uganda and Zambia. The conditions for growth in these markets are
similar to those in Asia 20 years ago, and we are excited about the
long-term outlook for our new businesses in the
region.
Our capabilities
We
continue to invest in our capabilities across the organisation. We
are developing a range of digital innovations that will enable us
to serve our customers at greater scale and speed, and we continue
to invest in talent. In July, we welcomed Mark FitzPatrick to our
executive team as Chief Financial Officer, succeeding Nic
Nicandrou, who has taken over from Tony Wilkey as Chief Executive
of PCA. Mark brings with him significant experience and knowledge
of the sector and I am confident that Nic will lead our Asian
business to further success.
Our outlook – long-term growth
Our
ability to serve the needs of consumers across the wide footprint
of our target markets creates value for our customers and our
shareholders. Our strategy is focused on markets where the need for
our products is strong and growing, and we continue to develop our
products and our capabilities to ensure that we access those
opportunities to the fullest.
Global
economic conditions remain uncertain and markets remain volatile.
However, the strength of the underlying opportunities we are
accessing and our proven ability to innovate to create new products
and develop our capabilities, along with our ongoing focus on risk
management and the strength of our balance sheet, leave us well
positioned to continue to grow profitably into the
future.
1
|
External net
inflows exclude Asia Money Market Fund (MMF) net inflows of
£499 million (2016: net inflows of £656 million on an
actual exchange rate basis).
|
2
|
©2017
Morningstar, Inc. All Rights Reserved. The information contained
herein: (1) is proprietary to Morningstar and/or its content
providers; (2) may not be copied or distributed; and (3) is not
warranted to be accurate, complete or timely. Neither Morningstar
nor its content providers are responsible for any damages or losses
arising from any use of this information. Past performance is no
guarantee of future results. 1Q 2017 Morningstar VA Report with
Commentary.
|
3
|
Embedded value
reporting provides investors with a measure of the future profit
streams of the Group. The EEV basis results have been prepared in
accordance with EEV principles discussed in note 1 of EEV basis
results. A reconciliation between IFRS and the EEV shareholder
funds is included in Note C of the Additional EEV financial
information.
|
4
|
IFRS operating
profit is management’s primary measure of profitability and
provides an underlying operating result based on longer-term
investment returns and excludes non-operating items. Further
information on its definition and reconciliation to profit for the
period is set out in note B1 of the IFRS financial statements. This
measure is described further in the “Our performance”
section of the Strategic Report in the 2016 Annual
Report.
|
5
|
Following its sale
in May 2017, the operating results exclude the contribution of the
Korea life business. The half year 2016 comparative results have
been similarly adjusted.
|
6
|
Underlying free
surplus generated based on operating movements from long-term
business (net of investment in new business) and that generated
from asset management operations. Further information is set out in
note 10 of the EEV basis results.
|
7
|
The Group
shareholder capital position excludes the contribution to Own Funds
and the Solvency Capital Requirement from ring fenced With-Profit
Funds and staff pension schemes in surplus. The solvency positions
include management’s estimate of transitional measures
reflecting operating and market conditions at the valuation date.
The estimated Group shareholder surplus would increase from
£12.9 billion to £13.6 billion at 30 June 2017 if the
approved regulatory transitional amount was applied
instead.
|
8
|
Before allowing for
first interim dividend (31 December 2016: Second interim
dividend).
|
9
|
Comparable to 31
December 2016 on an actual exchange rate
basis.
|
10
|
Brookings
institution, the unprecedented expansion of the global middle
class, 2017.
|
11
|
Swiss Re, Mortality
Protection Gap: Asia-Pacific, 2015.
|
12
|
World Bank,
Out-of-pocket health expenditure, 2014
|
13
|
OECD, Global
insurance market trends, 2016.
|
14
|
Social Security
Administration, Annual Performance Plan
2012.
|
15
|
Cerulli Associates
– US Advisor Metrics 2016.
|
16
|
LIMRA/SRI U.S.
Individual Annuities Executive Summary 1Q YTD
2017
|
17
|
UK Government
Office for Science, Future of an ageing population,
2016.
|
Chief Financial Officer’s report on the 2017 first half
financial performance
Prudential
has made a good start to 2017, with increases in all of our key
performance metrics, reflecting progression in the Group’s
underlying earnings drivers together with the beneficial impact of
positive investment market conditions and favourable currency
effects. The consistency of our performance is driven by the
alignment of our business to the most attractive opportunities, the
quality of our franchises in those markets and our ability to adapt
with speed and agility to changes in economic and regulatory
conditions, both globally and locally. At a Group level, our
results benefit from diversification by geography, product and
distribution channel, our focus on recurring income streams that
are less exposed to market movements and the capital generative
nature of our business model.
In
Asia, we have achieved double-digit growth in both IFRS operating
profit and free surplus generation, reflecting the increasing scale
and diversification of our long-term recurring premium business. We
continue to take decisive actions to preserve the quality of the
business that we write, building the contribution from health and
protection income and improving the overall economic returns of the
new business portfolio.
In the
US and the UK, our financial progress is underpinned by the
accumulation of assets on which we earn fees. In each of these
markets, our businesses have seen strong net inflows in the first
half, demonstrating their competitive positioning in product,
distribution and service capabilities. Asset values were also
boosted by positive investment market movements in the
period.
With
Group operating free surplus generation of £1.8 billion in the
first half of 2017, the Group has reported cumulative underlying
free surplus generation of £11.1 billion since 2014, achieving
our objective of generating over £10 billion of Group
cumulative free surplus between 1 January 2014 and 31 December 2017
six months early. We remain on track to achieve the remaining
Asia-focused objectives by the end of this year.
Despite
the uncertainty caused by the outcome of the general election in
the UK, sterling has strengthened slightly against most of the
currencies in our major international markets since the beginning
of the year. However, average sterling exchange rates in the first
half of 2017 were significantly lower than in the same period in
2016, contributing to a positive effect on the translation of
results from our non-sterling operations. To aid comparison of
underlying progress, we continue to express and comment on the
performance trends of our Asia and US operations on a constant
currency basis.
The key
operational highlights in the first half of 2017 were as
follows:
●
New business profit
was 20 per cent1
higher at £1,689 million (up 34
per cent on an actual exchange rate basis), reflecting higher sales
volumes and more favourable economics. Strong growth in new
business profit was achieved across our life businesses in Asia,
the US and the UK which were up 18 per cent1,
23 per cent and 29 per cent respectively.
●
IFRS operating profit based on
longer-term investment returns was 5 per cent1
higher at £2,358 million (up 15
per cent on an actual exchange rate basis), equivalent to an
annualised 24 per cent2
return on opening IFRS
shareholders’ funds. The Group’s performance was driven
by our Asia life and asset management operations which saw IFRS
operating profit increase 16 per cent1
to £953 million on growth in the
in-force portfolio. In the US, total IFRS operating profit was up 8
per cent, driven by increased levels of fee income on higher
separate account balances. In the UK, IFRS operating profit from
our insurance and asset management operations increased by 4 per
cent3,
due to stronger contributions from management actions in the life
business and higher assets under management at
M&G.
●
Underlying free surplus
generation4,
our preferred measure of cash generation from our life and asset
management businesses, increased by 6 per cent1
to £1,845 million after financing
new business growth, reflecting a higher contribution from our
growing in-force book of business and continued discipline of
focusing on high-return new business with fast payback periods. On
an actual exchange rate basis the growth in this measure was 14 per
cent.
●
Group shareholders’
Solvency II capital surplus was
estimated at £12.9 billion5,6
at 30 June 2017, equivalent to a cover
ratio of 202 per cent (31 December 2016: £12.5 billion, 201
per cent). The movement since the start of the year primarily
reflects the Group’s continuing strong operating capital
generation, partially offset by the payment of the 2016 second
interim dividend.
Investment markets have been generally supportive through the
period, with equity markets trending upwards and more stability in
bond and currency markets compared with 2016. The recovery in
equity markets towards the end of 2016 has continued into 2017,
with the S&P 500 index up 8 per cent and the FTSE 100 index
gaining 2 per cent in the first six months. Longer-term yields at
30 June 2017 were almost unchanged from those at the start of the
year in the UK and down slightly in the US. In Asia, where yield
movements have been more pronounced, our IFRS operating earnings
are largely insensitive to interest rates. Overall, we continue to
reduce the sensitivity of our earnings and balance sheet to
investment markets, but remain significant long-term holders of
financial assets to back the commitments that we have made to our
customers. Short-term fluctuations in both these assets and related
liabilities are reported outside the operating result, which is
based on longer-term investment return assumptions. In the first
half of 2017, these short-term fluctuations were overall negative,
driven by the effect of higher equity markets on our hedging
programme in the US. In the first half of the year total IFRS post
tax profit was up at £1,505 million (2016: £720 million
on a constant exchange rate basis) and total EEV after-tax profit
was also higher at £3,297 million (2016: £1,506 million
on a constant exchange rate basis).
Reflecting the strong operating results, the Group’s IFRS
shareholders’ equity increased by 5 per
cent7
over the six month
period to £15.4 billion (31 December 2016: £14.7
billion), with the Group’s EEV basis shareholders’
equity up 4 per cent7
to £40.5 billion
(31 December 2016: £39.0 billion).
IFRS Profit
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Actual Exchange Rate
|
|
Constant Exchange Rate
|
|
2017 £m
|
2016 £m
|
Change %
|
|
2016 £m
|
Change %
|
|
Half year
|
Half year
|
|
|
Half year
|
|
Operating profit before tax based on longer-term investment
returns
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Long-term business:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Asia1
|
870
|
667
|
30
|
|
752
|
16
|
|
US
|
1,079
|
888
|
22
|
|
1,010
|
7
|
|
UK
|
480
|
473
|
1
|
|
473
|
1
|
Long-term business operating profit before tax1
|
2,429
|
2,028
|
20
|
|
2,235
|
9
|
UK general insurance commission
|
17
|
19
|
(11)
|
|
19
|
(11)
|
Asset management business:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
M&G
|
248
|
225
|
10
|
|
225
|
10
|
|
Prudential Capital
|
6
|
13
|
(54)
|
|
13
|
(54)
|
|
Eastspring Investments
|
83
|
61
|
36
|
|
69
|
20
|
|
US
|
(6)
|
(12)
|
50
|
|
(13)
|
54
|
Other income and expenditure8
|
(419)
|
(333)
|
(26)
|
|
(342)
|
(23)
|
Total operating profit based on longer-term investment returns
before tax and interest received from tax
settlement1
|
2,358
|
2,001
|
18
|
|
2,206
|
7
|
Interest received from tax settlement
|
-
|
43
|
n/a
|
|
43
|
n/a
|
Total operating profit based on longer-term
investment returns before tax1
|
2,358
|
2,044
|
15
|
|
2,249
|
5
|
Non-operating items:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Result attaching to the sold Korea life business
|
61
|
40
|
53
|
|
47
|
30
|
|
Other non-operating items8
|
(605)
|
(1,420)
|
57
|
|
(1,619)
|
63
|
Profit before tax attributable to shareholders
|
1,814
|
664
|
173
|
|
677
|
168
|
Tax (charge)/credit attributable to shareholders'
returns
|
(309)
|
23
|
n/a
|
|
43
|
n/a
|
Profit for the period attributable to shareholders'
|
1,505
|
687
|
119
|
|
720
|
109
|
IFRS Earnings per share
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Actual Exchange Rate
|
|
Constant Exchange Rate
|
|
|
2017 pence
|
2016 pence
|
Change %
|
|
2016 pence
|
Change %
|
|
|
Half year
|
Half year
|
|
|
Half year
|
|
|
Basic earnings per share based on operating profit after
tax
|
70.0
|
61.3
|
14
|
|
67.6
|
4
|
|
Basic earnings per share based on total profit after
tax
|
58.7
|
26.9
|
118
|
|
28.2
|
108
|
|
IFRS Operating Profit based on longer-term investment
returns
Total
IFRS operating profit increased by 5 per cent1 (15 per cent on an
actual exchange rate basis) in the first half of 2017 to
£2,358 million.
●
Asia total operating profit of £953
million was 16 per cent1 higher (31 per cent
on an actual exchange rate basis), with continued strong growth in
both life insurance and asset management through
Eastspring.
●
US total operating profit at £1,073
million increased by 8 per cent (22 per cent increase on an actual
exchange rate basis), reflecting increased levels of fee income on
higher variable annuity account balances.
●
UK total operating profit of £497
million was in line with the first half of 2016, with lower
shareholder annuity profits offset by larger contributions from
management actions.
●
M&G operating profit was 10 per cent
higher at £248 million, driven by increased funds under
management as a result of asset inflows and positive
markets.
Life insurance operations: Taken together, IFRS operating
profit from our life insurance operations in Asia, the US and the
UK increased 9 per cent1 to £2,429
million (20 per cent on an actual exchange rate
basis).
IFRS
operating profit in our life insurance operations in Asia was 16 per cent1 higher at £870
million (up 30 per cent on an actual exchange rate basis), as a
result of the continued growth of our in-force book of recurring
premium business. Insurance margin was 24 per cent higher and
accounted for 69 per cent of operating income9, reflecting our
ongoing preference for health and protection. Following strong
recent growth in sales volumes, particularly in health and
protection through our agency channel, the contribution to IFRS
operating profit from China and Hong Kong combined has become more
significant to the overall total, accounting for 23 per cent
compared with 17 per cent one year ago. IFRS operating profit from
Indonesia was 5 per cent higher (up 20 per cent on an actual
exchange rate basis) and on the same basis Singapore was 6 per cent
higher (up 20 per cent on an actual exchange rate
basis).
In the
US, life IFRS operating
profit was up 7 per cent at £1,079 million (up 22 per cent on
an actual exchange rate basis), reflecting increased profits from
our variable annuity business. US equity markets rallied towards
the end of 2016 and have risen further during the first half of
2017, which together with continued positive net asset flows of
£2.0 billion, has led to separate account balances that were
on average 16 per cent higher than in the prior year period. As a
result, fee income was up 15 per cent at £1,145 million driven
by fees earned on separate account assets. Spread-based income
decreased by 6 per cent, as anticipated, reflecting the impact of
lower yields on our fixed annuity portfolio.
UK life IFRS operating profit increased by 1 per cent to
£480 million. Within this total, the contribution from our
core in-force book has remained relatively stable at £288
million (2016: £306 million). Profits from new annuity
business reduced to £4 million from £27 million in the
prior period, reflecting our withdrawal from this market. We have
taken a number of asset and liability actions (including longevity
reinsurance) in the first half of 2017 to improve portfolio
efficiency which have generated combined profits of £188
million (2016: £140 million).
The
increase in our IFRS operating earnings levels reflects the growth
in the scale of our operations, driven primarily by positive
business flows. We track the progress that we make in growing our
life insurance business by reference to the scale of our
obligations to our customers, which are referred to in the
financial statements as policyholder liabilities. Each period these
increase as we write new business and collect regular premiums from
existing customers and decrease as we pay claims and policies
mature. The overall scale of these policyholder liabilities is
relevant in evaluation of our profit potential in that it reflects,
for example, our ability to earn fees on the unit-linked element
and indicates the scale of the insurance element, another key
source of profitability for the Group.
Shareholder-backed policyholder
liabilities and net liability flows10
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2017 £m
|
|
2016 £m
|
|
Half year
|
|
Half year
|
|
Actual Exchange Rate
|
|
Actual Exchange Rate
|
|
At 1
January
2017
|
Net liability
flows11
|
Market and
other
movements
|
At 30
June
2017
|
|
At 1
January
2016
|
Net liability
flows11
|
Market and
other
movements
|
At 30
June
2016
|
Asia12
|
32,851
|
1,016
|
1,173
|
35,040
|
|
25,032
|
977
|
4,135
|
30,144
|
US
|
177,626
|
1,958
|
(1,805)
|
177,779
|
|
138,913
|
2,855
|
17,387
|
159,155
|
UK
|
56,158
|
(1,167)
|
1,500
|
56,491
|
|
52,824
|
(1,699)
|
4,286
|
55,411
|
Total Group
|
266,635
|
1,807
|
868
|
269,310
|
|
216,769
|
2,133
|
25,808
|
244,710
|
Focusing
on the business supported by shareholder capital, which generates
the majority of the life profit, in the first half of 2017 net
flows into our businesses were overall positive at £1.8
billion. This was driven by our US and Asian operations, as we
continue to focus on both retaining our existing customers and
attracting new business to drive long-term value creation. The
outflow from our UK operations primarily reflects the run-off of
the in-force annuity portfolio following our withdrawal from
selling new annuity business. This decrease in shareholder
liabilities has been more than offset by the flows into the
with-profit funds of £1.6 billion as shown in the table below.
Positive investment markets in the first half have partly been
offset by currency effects as sterling strengthened over the
period, increasing liabilities by £0.9 billion. In total,
business flows and market movements have increased policyholder
liabilities from £266.6 billion to £269.3
billion.
Policyholder liabilities and net
liability flows in with-profits business10,13
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2017 £m
|
|
2016 £m
|
|
|
Half year
|
|
Half year
|
|
Actual Exchange Rate
|
|
Actual Exchange Rate
|
|
At 1
January
2017
|
Net liability
flows11
|
Market and
other
movements
|
At 30
June
2017
|
|
At 1
January
2016
|
Net liability
flows11
|
Market and
other
movements
|
At 30
June
2016
|
Asia
|
29,933
|
2,295
|
1,053
|
33,281
|
|
20,934
|
1,551
|
4,355
|
26,840
|
UK
|
113,146
|
1,574
|
3,729
|
118,449
|
|
100,069
|
582
|
6,417
|
107,068
|
Total Group
|
143,079
|
3,869
|
4,782
|
151,730
|
|
121,003
|
2,133
|
10,772
|
133,908
|
Policyholder
liabilities in our with-profits business have increased by 6 per
cent to £151.7 billion in the first half of 2017. This
reflects the growing popularity of PruFund with consumers seeking
protection from the impact of volatile market conditions. During
the first half of 2017, net liability flows increased to £3.9
billion across our Asia and UK operations. As returns from these
funds are smoothed and shared with customers, the emergence of
shareholder profit is more gradual. The business, nevertheless,
remains an important source of shareholder value.
Analysis of long-term insurance
business pre-tax IFRS operating profit based on longer-term
investment returns by driver14
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Actual Exchange Rate
|
|
Constant Exchange Rate
|
|
2017 £m
|
2016 £m
|
|
2016 £m
|
|
Half year
|
Half year
|
|
Half year
|
|
Operating
profit1
|
Average
liability
|
Margin
|
Operating
profit1
|
Average
liability
|
Margin
|
|
Operating
profit1
|
Average
liability
|
Margin
|
|
|
|
bps
|
|
|
bps
|
|
|
|
bps
|
Spread income
|
583
|
89,314
|
131
|
556
|
80,146
|
139
|
|
613
|
85,708
|
143
|
Fee income
|
1,279
|
164,152
|
156
|
989
|
129,054
|
153
|
|
1,118
|
143,526
|
156
|
With-profits
|
172
|
132,701
|
26
|
162
|
114,109
|
28
|
|
165
|
115,945
|
28
|
Insurance margin
|
1,152
|
|
|
898
|
|
|
|
1,013
|
|
|
Margin on revenues
|
1,138
|
|
|
946
|
|
|
|
1,051
|
|
|
Expenses:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Acquisition costs*
|
(1,241)
|
3,624
|
(34)%
|
(1,027)
|
2,980
|
(34)%
|
|
(1,155)
|
3,296
|
(35)%
|
|
Administration expenses
|
(1,131)
|
259,451
|
(87)
|
(879)
|
216,075
|
(81)
|
|
(983)
|
236,974
|
(83)
|
|
DAC adjustments
|
186
|
|
|
132
|
|
|
|
149
|
|
|
Expected return on shareholder assets
|
103
|
|
|
111
|
|
|
|
124
|
|
|
|
2,241
|
|
|
1,888
|
|
|
|
2,095
|
|
|
Longevity reinsurance and other management actions to improve
solvency
|
188
|
|
|
140
|
|
|
|
140
|
|
|
Operating profit based on longer-term investment
returns1
|
2,429
|
|
|
2,028
|
|
|
|
2,235
|
|
|
*
The ratio of
acquisition costs is calculated as a percentage of APE sales
including with-profits sales. Acquisition costs include only those
relating to
shareholder-backed
business.
We
continue to maintain our preference for higher-quality sources of
income such as insurance margin and fee income. We favour insurance
margin because it is relatively insensitive to the equity and
interest rate cycle and prefer fee income to spread income because
it is more capital-efficient. In line with this approach, on a
constant exchange rate basis, in the first half of 2017, insurance
margin has increased by 14 per cent1 (up 28 per cent on
an actual exchange rate basis) and fee income by 14 per
cent1 (up
29 per cent on an actual exchange rate basis), while spread income
declined by 5 per cent1 (up 5 per cent on an
actual exchange rate basis). Administration expenses increased to
£1,131 million1 (2016: £983
million) as the business continues to expand. The expense ratio has
grown from 83 basis points to 87 basis points reflecting country
mix and the continued increase in US producers selecting
asset-based commissions which are treated as an administrative
expense in this analysis.
Asset management: Movements in
asset management operating profit are also primarily influenced by
changes in the scale of these businesses, as measured by funds
managed on behalf of external institutional and retail customers
and our internal life insurance operations.
Asset management external funds under management15,16
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2017 £m
|
|
2016 £m
|
|
Half year
|
|
Half year
|
|
Actual Exchange Rate
|
|
Actual Exchange Rate
|
|
At 1 January 2017
|
Net flows
|
Market and other movements
|
At 30 June 2017
|
|
At 1 January 2016
|
Net flows
|
Market and other
movements
|
At 30 June 2016
|
M&G
|
136,763
|
7,179
|
5,176
|
149,118
|
|
126,405
|
(6,966)
|
10,217
|
129,656
|
Eastspring17
|
38,042
|
2,273
|
4,281
|
44,596
|
|
30,281
|
(412)
|
2,859
|
32,728
|
Total asset management
|
174,805
|
9,452
|
9,457
|
193,714
|
|
156,686
|
(7,378)
|
13,076
|
162,384
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total asset management (including MMF)
|
182,519
|
9,951
|
9,571
|
202,041
|
|
162,692
|
(6,722)
|
13,835
|
169,805
|
In the first half of 2017, average assets under management in our
asset management businesses in the UK and Asia benefited from net
inflows of assets and favourable markets, driving higher fee
revenues. Reflecting this, IFRS operating profit from
M&G increased
by 10 per cent to £248 million
and by 20 per cent at
Eastspring
(up 36 per cent on an actual exchange rate basis) to £83
million.
M&G’s
external assets under management have benefited from a strong
recovery in net flows, reflecting improvements in investment
performance and supportive markets. External net inflows totalled
£7.2 billion (2016: net outflows of £7.0 billion), with
strong contributions from European investors in the Optimal Income
Fund, Global Floating High Yield Fund and multi-asset fund range,
and from institutional clients investing in illiquid credit
strategies. External assets under management at 30 June 2017 were
£149.1 billion, up 9 per cent since the start of the year.
Internal assets managed on behalf of Prudential’s life
operations also benefited from strong markets, rising 3 per cent
and taking total assets under management to £281.5 billion (31
December 2016: £264.9 billion). IFRS operating profit
increased 10 per cent to £248 million, consistent with the
year-on-year increase in average assets under management and
reflecting a cost-income ratio of 53 per cent. M&G’s full
year cost-income ratio is typically higher than for the first half,
as its cost base is weighted towards the second half of the year
(Half year 2016: 52 per cent, Full year 2016: 59
percent).
Eastspring
also attracted good levels of net inflows17 in the first half
across its equity, fixed income and balanced fund range, totalling
£2.3 billion. Including money market funds and the assets
managed for internal life operations, Eastspring’s total
assets under management increased to £130.5 billion (31
December 2016: £117.9 billion), while the cost-income ratio
improved to 55 per cent (2016: 56 per cent), driving a 20 per cent
increase in IFRS operating profits to £83 million (2016:
£69 million).
Net Central Expenditure
Higher
interest costs related to the debt issued in 2016 contributed to an
increase in net central expenditure of £77 million to
£419 million (2016: £342 million).
IFRS non-operating items8
IFRS
non-operating items consist of short-term fluctuations of negative
£573 million (2016: £1,580 million), the results
attaching to the sold life business in Korea of £61 million
(2016: £47 million), and the amortisation of acquisition
accounting adjustments of £32 million (2016: £39 million)
arising principally from the REALIC business in 2012. Following its
disposal in the first half of 2017 the “Result attaching to
the sold Korea life business” represents the recognition upon
disposal in the income statement of cumulative foreign exchange
gains previously recognised in other comprehensive income, which
has no overall impact on shareholders’ equity. The 2016
comparative figure represents the profit before tax of the Korea
life business in the first half of 2016.
Short-term
investment fluctuations represent the most significant component of
non-operating items and are discussed further below.
IFRS Short-term investment fluctuations
IFRS
operating profit is based on longer-term investment return
assumptions. The difference between actual investment returns
recorded in the income statement and the assumed longer-term
returns is reported within short-term fluctuations in investment
returns. In the first half of 2017 the total short-term
fluctuations in investment returns relating to the life operations
were negative £704 million, comprising positive £41
million for Asia, negative £754 million in the US and
positive £9 million in the UK.
In the
US, Jackson provides certain guarantees on its annuity products,
the value of which would typically rise when equity markets fall
and long-term interest rates decline. Jackson includes the expected
cost of hedging when pricing its products and charges fees for
these guarantees which are used, as necessary, to purchase downside
protection in the form of options and futures to mitigate the
effect of equity market falls, and swaps and swaptions to cushion
the impact of drops in long-term interest rates. Under IFRS,
accounting for the movement in the valuation of these derivatives,
which are all fair valued, is asymmetrical to the movement in
guarantee liabilities, which are not fair valued in all cases.
Jackson designs its hedge programme to protect the economics of the
business from large movements in investment markets and accepts the
variability in accounting results. The negative short-term
fluctuations of £754 million in the first half are mainly
attributable to the net value movement in the period of the hedge
instruments held to manage market exposures primarily and reflect
the positive equity market performance in the US during the
period.
The
positive short-term fluctuations in investment returns for other
operations of £131 million (2016: negative £192 million)
principally reflect unrealised value movements on financial
instruments.
IFRS Effective tax rates
In the
first half of 2017, the effective tax rate on IFRS operating profit
based on longer-term investment returns was broadly in line with
the equivalent rate last year at 24 per cent (2016: 23 per cent),
with the difference being mainly due to the effect of prior year
adjustments in the first half of 2017.
The
effective tax rate on the total IFRS profit was 17 per cent in the
first half of 2017 (2016: negative 3 per cent), driven by the
smaller negative short-term investment fluctuations in the US
insurance operations, which attract tax relief at a higher rate
than the rates at which profits are taxed elsewhere in the
Group.
The
main driver of the Group’s effective tax rate is the mix of
the profits between countries with higher tax rates (such as US,
Indonesia and Malaysia), and countries with lower tax rates (such
as Hong Kong, Singapore and the UK).
The
proposed changes to the UK tax rules for utilisation of brought
forward tax losses and the deductibility of interest are not
expected to impact the Group’s effective tax rate. No
substantive US tax reform proposals which require material
consideration have been issued as yet.
Total tax contribution
The
Group continues to make significant tax contributions in the
countries in which it operates, with £1,595 million remitted
to tax authorities in the first half of 2017. This was higher than
the equivalent amount of £1,293 million in the first half of
2016 due to an increase in corporation tax payments (up from
£287 million to £535 million). This was principally
because of increases in the US and UK, of which a significant
proportion is an increase in the amount paid on profits taxable at
policyholder rather than shareholder rate.
Publication of tax strategy
In the
first half of 2017, the new UK requirement for large UK businesses
to publish their tax strategy came into effect. Prudential’s
tax strategy, together with further details on tax payments made in
2016 have been made available on the Group’s
website.
New business performance
Life EEV new business profit and APE new business sales (APE
sales)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Actual Exchange Rate
|
|
Constant Exchange Rate
|
|
2017 £m
|
2016 £m
|
Change %
|
|
2016 £m
|
Change %
|
|
APE Sales
|
New Business Profit
|
APE Sales
|
New Business Profit
|
APE Sales
|
New Business Profit
|
|
APE Sales
|
New Business Profit
|
APE Sales
|
New Business Profit
|
Asia1
|
1,943
|
1,092
|
1,605
|
821
|
21
|
33
|
|
1,814
|
928
|
7
|
18
|
US
|
960
|
436
|
782
|
311
|
23
|
40
|
|
889
|
354
|
8
|
23
|
UK
|
721
|
161
|
593
|
125
|
22
|
29
|
|
593
|
125
|
22
|
29
|
Total Group1
|
3,624
|
1,689
|
2,980
|
1,257
|
22
|
34
|
|
3,296
|
1,407
|
10
|
20
|
Life insurance new business profit was up 20 per
cent1 (34
per cent on an actual exchange rate basis) at £1,689 million,
reflecting a strong underlying increase in Asia, Jackson and the UK
driven by higher volumes and better new business economics.
Life insurance new business APE sales increased by 10
per cent1
(22 per cent on an actual exchange rate basis) to £3,624
million.
In
Asia new business profit was
18 per cent1 higher at
£1,092 million, driven by a combination of growth in sales
volumes, improvements in the mix of sales and favourable economic
effects. We continue to favour new business premiums that are
long-term and recurring in nature and with a high proportion of
health and protection, as these are characteristics that mean our
income is less sensitive to market cyclicality and variability in
economic conditions. Reflecting this and confirming the quality of
our new business, regular premiums accounted for 94 per cent of APE
sales while sales of health and protection increased by 17 per
cent1. New
business profit from agency driven health and protection was up 23
per cent and has resulted in a significant improvement in the
overall new business economics across the region compared with the
prior year.
Headline
APE sales increased by 7 per cent1 to £1,943
million in the first half, which is higher than in the whole of
20121 (on
both constant and actual exchange rate basis), highlighting the
consistency in performance from our broad and diversified new
business franchise. As reported previously, the business took the
decision in the first half of 2016 to pull back from the
third-party broker channel in Hong Kong, which is reflected in a 7
per cent decline in APE sales in this market. Excluding the broker
channel in Hong Kong, APE sales in Asia increased by 18 per cent,
reflecting the improved performance in our agency and bancassurance
channels.
We have
continued to see strong demand for our products in China, where APE
sales increased by 58 per cent and new business profit rose by 179
per cent, reflecting our efforts to grow health and protection
sales through the agency channel. In Hong Kong, we are also
increasing our focus on health and protection, with new business
profit in this segment 20 per cent higher overall. As expected, we
are starting to see some moderation in the level of sales from
Mainland China into Hong Kong, which is expected to continue in the
second half of the year. In Indonesia, sales have stabilised as we
continue to take steps to broaden our product offering, improve our
productivity and accelerate the pace of business
automation.
In
Singapore and Malaysia APE sales increased by 23 per cent and 10
per cent respectively, as we broaden our product offering and
increase the productivity of our distribution channels. Including
strong contributions from Vietnam, India and Taiwan, a total of
eight countries delivered at least double digit growth in APE sales
and new business profit.
In
the US, new business profit
increased by 23 per cent to £436 million, reflecting volume
growth and the positive economic effect of the 82 basis point rise
in 10 year Treasury yields since 30 June 2016. Total APE sales were
up 8 per cent to £960 million, including wholesale business of
£206 million (2016: £144 million).
Although
industry volumes in the variable annuity market remain subdued
following the declines in 2016, Jackson has continued to outperform
the market18 with an increase in
variable annuity sales of 5 per cent in the first half of 2017,
reflecting the competitive strengths of Jackson’s product
offering and distribution capability. Total net inflows into
Jackson’s separate account asset balances, which drive
fee-based earnings on variable annuity business, remain positive at
£2.0 billion (2016: £2.3 billion).
Our
UK life business has emerged
successfully from the regulatory change in the retail savings and
retirement market, driven by the strength of investment performance
of its with-profits fund and the transparent structure of PruFund,
with its distinctive smoothing process. By extending access to the
PruFund investment option to a wider range of product wrappers, we
have been able to achieve rapid growth in market segments such as
flexible personal pensions and ISAs. Reflecting this continuing
success, new business profit increased by 29 per cent to £161
million on APE sales growth of 22 per cent.
APE
sales of products that offer access to PruFund’s smoothed
multi-asset fund returns were up 29 per cent, within which flexible
personal pensions grew by 76 per cent. As a result, PruFund assets
under management of £30.0 billion at 30 June 2017 were 22 per
cent higher than at the start of the year.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Free surplus generation4
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Actual Exchange Rate
|
|
Constant Exchange Rate
|
|
|
2017 £m
|
2016 £m
|
Change
|
|
2016 £m
|
Change
|
|
|
Half year
|
Half year
|
%
|
|
Half year
|
%
|
Asia1
|
836
|
653
|
28
|
|
739
|
13
|
US
|
797
|
693
|
15
|
|
788
|
1
|
UK
|
577
|
570
|
1
|
|
570
|
1
|
M&G
|
201
|
181
|
11
|
|
181
|
11
|
Prudential Capital
|
5
|
11
|
(55)
|
|
11
|
(55)
|
Underlying free surplus generated from in-force life business and
asset management1
|
2,416
|
2,108
|
15
|
|
2,289
|
6
|
Investment in new business1
|
(571)
|
(493)
|
(16)
|
|
(551)
|
(4)
|
Underlying free surplus generated1
|
1,845
|
1,615
|
14
|
|
1,738
|
6
|
Market related movements, timing differences and other
movements
|
(211)
|
(38)
|
|
|
|
|
Net cash remitted by business units
|
(1,230)
|
(1,118)
|
|
|
|
|
Total movement in free surplus
|
404
|
459
|
|
|
|
|
Free surplus at 30 June
|
6,979
|
5,763
|
|
|
|
|
Free surplus generation is the financial metric we use to measure
the internal cash generation of our business operations and is
based on the capital regimes which apply locally in the various
jurisdictions in which our life businesses operate. For life
insurance operations it represents amounts maturing from the
in-force business during the year, net of amounts reinvested in
writing new business. For asset management it equates to post-tax
IFRS profit for the period.
We drive free surplus generation by targeting markets and products
that have low-strain, high-return and fast payback profiles and by
delivering both good service and value to improve customer
retention. Our ability to generate both growth and cash is a
distinctive feature of Prudential.
In the first half of 2017 underlying free surplus generation from
our in-force life insurance and asset management business increased
by 6 per cent1
to £2,416 million (15 per cent on
an actual exchange rate basis). This reflects our growing
scale and the highly capital-generative nature of our business
model. In Asia, growth in the in-force life portfolio, combined
with post-tax asset management profits from Eastspring, contributed
to free surplus generation of £836 million, up 13 per
cent1. In
the US, free surplus generation increased by 1 per cent with growth
in the in-force portfolio being offset by lower spread earnings as
investment yields fell. In the UK, free surplus generation
increased by 1 per cent to £577 million, including management
actions to improve the solvency position of our UK life business of
£193 million (2016: £190 million).
Although new business profit increased by 20 per
cent1,
the amount of free surplus that was invested in writing new
business in the period was only 4 per cent1
higher at £571 million (2016:
£551 million).
Asia remains the primary
destination for reinvestment of capital given its higher margin
organic growth opportunities. Investment in new business was 10 per
cent1
higher at £283 million, mainly
reflecting volume growth and mix effects. We continue to generate
internal rates of return in the region in excess of 20 per cent,
with an average payback period of three years.
In the US, new business investment increased by 3 per cent
to £246 million, compared with a 23 per cent increase in new
business profit and Jackson’s overall strain remains low.
Jackson’s new business continues to be written at an overall
internal rate of return in excess of 20 per cent and short payback
periods averaging three years.
The new business investment in the UK was £42 million in the first half of 2017.
This was £14 million lower than the £56 million invested
in 2016 following our withdrawal from selling non-profit retail
annuities which have higher capital requirements than other lines
of business.
After
financing reinvestment in new business and funding cash remittances
from the business units to Group, the closing value of free surplus
in our life and asset management operations was £7.0 billion
at 30 June 2017.
We continue to manage cash flows across the Group with a view to
achieving a balance between ensuring sufficient remittances are
made to service central requirements (including paying the external
dividend) and maximising value to shareholders through retention
and reinvestment of capital in business opportunities.
Business
unit remittance19
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Actual Exchange Rate
|
|
|
2017 £m
|
2016 £m
|
|
|
Half year
|
Half year
|
Net cash remitted by business units:
|
|
|
|
Asia
|
350
|
258
|
|
US
|
475
|
339
|
|
UK Life
|
215
|
215
|
|
M&G
|
175
|
150
|
|
Prudential Capital
|
15
|
25
|
|
Other UK
|
-
|
131
|
Net cash remitted by business units
|
1,230
|
1,118
|
Holding company cash at 30 June
|
2,657
|
2,546
|
Cash
remitted to the corporate centre in
the first half of 2017 totalled £1,230 million, 10 per cent
higher than in 2016. Asia’s net remittance was £350
million in the first half of 2017 (2016: £258 million),
reflecting both business growth and the effect of weaker sterling.
For similar reasons, Jackson’s remittance also increased to
£475 million in the first half of 2017, up from £339
million paid in the first half of 2016.The remittances from UK Life
and M&G were broadly in line with the first half of
2016.
Cash
remitted to the corporate centre in the first half of 2017 was used
to meet central costs of £226 million (2016: £199
million) and pay the 2016 second interim ordinary dividend.
Reflecting these and other movements in the period, total holding
company cash at 30 June 2017 was £2,657 million compared with £2,626
million at the end of 2016.
Post-tax profit - EEV
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Actual Exchange Rate
|
|
Constant Exchange Rate
|
|
2017 £m
|
2016 £m
|
Change %
|
|
2016 £m
|
Change %
|
|
Half year
|
Half year
|
|
|
Half year
|
|
Post-tax operating profit based on longer-term investment
returns
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Long-term business:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Asia1
|
1,641
|
1,209
|
36
|
|
1,361
|
21
|
|
US
|
888
|
694
|
28
|
|
789
|
13
|
|
UK
|
465
|
384
|
21
|
|
384
|
21
|
Long-term business post-tax operating profit1
|
2,994
|
2,287
|
31
|
|
2,534
|
18
|
UK general insurance commission
|
14
|
15
|
(7)
|
|
15
|
(7)
|
Asset management business:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
M&G
|
201
|
181
|
11
|
|
181
|
11
|
|
Prudential Capital
|
5
|
11
|
(55)
|
|
11
|
(55)
|
|
Eastspring Investments
|
73
|
53
|
38
|
|
60
|
22
|
|
US
|
(4)
|
(8)
|
50
|
|
(9)
|
56
|
Other income and expenditure20
|
(413)
|
(319)
|
(29)
|
|
(326)
|
(27)
|
Post-tax operating profit based on longer-term investment returns
before interest received from tax settlement1
|
2,870
|
2,220
|
29
|
|
2,466
|
16
|
Interest received from tax settlement
|
-
|
37
|
n/a
|
|
37
|
n/a
|
Post-tax operating profit based on longer-term
investment returns1
|
2,870
|
2,257
|
27
|
|
2,503
|
15
|
Non-operating items:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Result attaching to the sold Korea life business
|
-
|
(11)
|
100
|
|
(12)
|
100
|
|
Other non-operating items20
|
427
|
(852)
|
n/a
|
|
(985)
|
n/a
|
Post-tax profit for the period attributable to
shareholders
|
3,297
|
1,394
|
137
|
|
1,506
|
119
|
EEV Earnings per share
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Actual Exchange Rate
|
|
Constant Exchange Rate
|
|
|
2017 pence
|
2016 pence
|
Change %
|
|
2016 pence
|
Change %
|
|
|
Half year
|
Half year
|
|
|
Half year
|
|
Basic earnings per share based on post-tax operating
profit1
|
111.9
|
88.2
|
27
|
|
97.8
|
14
|
Basic earnings per share based on post-tax total
profit
|
128.5
|
54.5
|
136
|
|
58.9
|
118
|
EEV Operating Profit
On an EEV basis, Group post-tax operating profit based on
longer-term investment returns was 15 per cent1
higher (27 per cent on an actual
exchange rate basis) at £2,870 million in the first half of
2017, equating to an overall annualised return on opening embedded
value of 15 per cent.
EEV operating profit includes new business profit from the
Group’s life businesses, which increased by 20 per
cent1
(34 per cent on an actual exchange
rate basis) to £1,689 million. It also includes life in-force
profit of £1,305 million, which was 16 per
cent1
higher reflecting the growth in our
in-force business as well as the beneficial impact of higher
long-term interest rates compared with 30 June 2016. This is most
evident in the profit from the unwind of the in-force business,
which was 21 per cent higher1
at £1,043 million (2016:
£862 million). Experience and assumption changes were
overall positive at £262 million (2016: £265 million),
reflecting our ongoing focus on managing the in-force book for
value.
In
Asia, EEV life operating
profit was up 21 per cent1 to £1,641
million, reflecting growth in new business profit of 18 per
cent1 at
£1,092 million. In-force profit was 27 per cent1 higher at £549
million as the business continues to grow with
discipline.
Jackson’s EEV life operating profit was up 13 per cent
to £888 million, reflecting a 23 per cent increase in new
business profit to £436 million and an increase in the
contribution from in-force profit of 4 per cent to £452
million. The increase in our US EEV operating profit reflects
positive interest rate effects and an increase in sales volume,
partially offset by profits from favourable experience that were at
a lower level than 2016.
In the
UK, EEV life operating
profit increased by 21 per cent to £465 million (2016:
£384 million). The increase reflects higher sales volumes and
the positive contribution from actions taken to improve the
solvency of the UK business.
Capital position, financing and liquidity
Capital position
Analysis of movement in Group
shareholder Solvency II surplus21
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2017 £bn
|
|
2016 £bn
|
|
|
Half year
|
|
Half year
|
Full year
|
Estimated solvency II surplus at 1 January
|
12.5
|
|
9.7
|
9.7
|
Operating experience
|
1.7
|
|
1.2
|
2.7
|
Non-operating experience (including market movements)
|
-
|
|
(2.4)
|
(1.1)
|
Other capital movements
|
|
|
|
|
|
Subordinated debt issuance
|
-
|
|
0.7
|
1.2
|
|
Foreign currency translation impacts
|
(0.5)
|
|
0.9
|
1.6
|
|
Dividends paid
|
(0.8)
|
|
(0.9)
|
(1.3)
|
Methodology and calibration changes
|
-
|
|
(0.1)
|
(0.3)
|
Estimated Solvency II surplus at end of period
|
12.9
|
|
9.1
|
12.5
|
The
high quality and recurring nature of our operating capital
generation and our disciplined approach to managing balance sheet
risk has resulted in the Group’s shareholders’ Solvency
II capital surplus being estimated at £12.9
billion5,6
at 30 June 2017 (equivalent to a solvency ratio of 202 per cent)
compared with £12.5 billion (201 per cent) at 31 December
2016.
Prudential’s
designation as a Global Systemically Important Insurer (G-SII) was
reaffirmed by the IAIS in November 2016, based on the updated
methodology published in June 2016. Prudential is monitoring the
development and potential impact of the policy measures and is
continuing to engage with the PRA on the implications of the policy
measures and Prudential’s designation as a
G-SII.
Local statutory capital
All of
our subsidiaries continue to hold appropriate capital positions on
a local regulatory basis. In the UK, at 30 June 2017, The
Prudential Assurance Company Limited and its subsidiaries had an
estimated Solvency II shareholder surplus of £5.3
billion22
(equivalent to a solvency ratio of 168 per cent) and a with-profits
surplus23
of £4.1 billion (equivalent to a solvency ratio of 192 per
cent).
Debt Portfolio
The
Group continues to maintain a high-quality defensively positioned
debt portfolio. Shareholders’ exposure to credit is
concentrated in the UK annuity portfolio and the US general
account, mainly attributable to Jackson’s fixed annuity
portfolio. The credit exposure is well diversified and 98 per cent
of our UK portfolio and 97 per cent of our US portfolio are
investment grade. During the first half of 2017 there were no
default losses in the US or the UK portfolio and reported
impairments were minimal (2016: £32 million) in the US
portfolio.
Financing and liquidity
Shareholders’ net core structural borrowings
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
30 June 2017
|
|
30 June 2016
|
|
31 December 2016
|
|
£m
|
|
£m
|
|
£m
|
|
IFRS
basis
|
Mark to market value
|
EEV
basis
|
|
IFRS
basis
|
Mark to
market
value
|
EEV
basis
|
|
IFRS
basis
|
Mark to
market
value
|
EEV
basis
|
Total borrowings of shareholder-financed operations
|
6,614
|
673
|
7,287
|
|
5,966
|
426
|
6,392
|
|
6,798
|
422
|
7,220
|
Less: Holding company cash and
short-term investments
|
(2,657)
|
-
|
(2,657)
|
|
(2,546)
|
-
|
(2,546)
|
|
(2,626)
|
-
|
(2,626)
|
Net core structural borrowings of
shareholder-financed operations
|
3,957
|
673
|
4,630
|
|
3,420
|
426
|
3,846
|
|
4,172
|
422
|
4,594
|
Gearing ratio*
|
20%
|
|
|
|
19%
|
|
|
|
22%
|
|
|
*
Net core structural
borrowings as a proportion of IFRS shareholders’ funds plus
net debt
Our
financing and central liquidity position remained strong throughout
the period. Our central cash resources amounted to £2.7
billion at 30 June 2017 (31 December 2016: £2.6
billion).
In
addition to its net core structural borrowings of
shareholder-financed operations set out above, the Group also has
access to funding via the money markets and has in place a global
commercial paper programme. As at 30 June 2017, we had issued
commercial paper under this programme totalling £10 million
and US$1,058 million.
Prudential’s
holding company currently has access to £2.6 billion of
syndicated and bilateral committed revolving credit facilities,
provided by 19 major international banks, expiring between 2021 and
2022. Apart from small drawdowns to test the process, these
facilities have never been drawn, and there were no amounts
outstanding at 30 June 2017. The medium-term note programme, the US
shelf programme (platform for issuance of SEC registered public
bonds in the US market), the commercial paper programme and the
committed revolving credit facilities are all available for general
corporate purposes and to support the liquidity needs of
Prudential’s holding company and are intended to maintain a
strong and flexible funding capacity.
Shareholders' Funds
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
IFRS
|
|
EEV
|
|
2017 £m
|
2016 £m
|
|
2017 £m
|
2016 £m
|
|
Half year
|
Half year
|
|
Full year
|
|
Half year
|
Half year
|
|
Full year
|
Profit after tax for the period
|
1,505
|
687
|
|
1,921
|
|
3,297
|
1,394
|
|
4,516
|
Exchange movements, net of related tax
|
(224)
|
806
|
|
1,161
|
|
(1,045)
|
2,663
|
|
4,211
|
Cumulative exchange gain of Korea life business recycled to profit
and loss account
|
(61)
|
-
|
|
-
|
|
-
|
-
|
|
-
|
Unrealised gains and losses on Jackson securities classified as
available for sale24
|
300
|
1,094
|
|
31
|
|
-
|
-
|
|
-
|
Dividends
|
(786)
|
(935)
|
|
(1,267)
|
|
(786)
|
(935)
|
|
(1,267)
|
Market to market value movements on Jackson assets backing surplus
and required capital
|
-
|
-
|
|
-
|
|
31
|
138
|
|
(11)
|
Other
|
49
|
(2)
|
|
(135)
|
|
55
|
(165)
|
|
(367)
|
Net increase in shareholders’ funds
|
783
|
1,650
|
|
1,711
|
|
1,552
|
3,095
|
|
7,082
|
Shareholders’ funds at beginning of the period
|
14,666
|
12,955
|
|
12,955
|
|
38,968
|
31,886
|
|
31,886
|
Shareholders’ funds at end of the period
|
15,449
|
14,605
|
|
14,666
|
|
40,520
|
34,981
|
|
38,968
|
Shareholders' value per share
|
597p
|
566p
|
|
568p
|
|
1,567p
|
1,356p
|
|
1,510p
|
Return on Shareholders'
funds2
|
24%
|
24%
|
|
26%
|
|
15%
|
14%
|
|
17%
|
Group IFRS shareholders’ funds at 30 June 2017 increased by 5
per cent to £15.4 billion (31 December 2016: £14.7
billion on an actual exchange rate basis), driven by the strength
of the operating result, offset by dividend payments of £786
million representing the second interim dividend for 2016. In the
first half of the period, UK sterling strengthened relative to the
US dollar and various Asian currencies. With approximately 48 per
cent of the Group IFRS net assets (70 per cent of the Group’s
EEV net assets) denominated in non-sterling currencies, this
generated a negative exchange rate movement on net assets in the
period. In addition, the fall in US long-term interest rates
between the start and the end of the reporting period produced
unrealised gains on fixed income securities held by Jackson
accounted through other comprehensive income.
The Group’s EEV basis shareholders’ funds also
increased by 4 per cent to £40.5 billion (31 December 2016:
£39.0 billion on an actual exchange rate basis). On a per
share basis the Group’s embedded value at 30 June 2017
equated to 1,567 pence, up from 1,510 pence at 31 December
2016.
Corporate transactions
Entrance into Nigeria
In July
2017 the Group acquired a majority stake in Zenith Life of Nigeria
and formed exclusive bancassurance partnerships with Zenith Bank in
Nigeria and Ghana. The acquisition and bancassurance partnerships
will see Prudential enter the market in Nigeria, Africa’s
largest economy, with a population of over 180 million. This
demonstrates Prudential’s commitment to Africa following the
launch of businesses in Ghana and Kenya in 2014, in Uganda in 2015
and Zambia in 2016.
Disposal of Korea
In May
2017, the Group completed the sale of the Group’s life
insurance subsidiary in Korea, PCA Life Insurance Co., Ltd to Mirae
Asset Life Insurance Co., Ltd. for KRW170 billion (equivalent to
£117 million at 17 May 2017 closing rate).
Dividend
As in
previous years, the first interim dividend for 2017 has been
calculated formulaically as one third of the prior year’s
full year ordinary dividend. The Board has approved a first interim
dividend for 2017 of 14.50 pence per share, which equates to an
increase of 12 per cent over the 2016 first interim
dividend.
The
Group’s dividend policy remains unchanged. The Board will
maintain focus on delivering a growing ordinary dividend. In line
with this policy, Prudential aims to grow the ordinary dividend by
5 per cent per annum. The potential for additional distributions
will continue to be determined after taking into account the
Group’s financial flexibility across a broad range of
financial metrics and an assessment of opportunities to generate
attractive returns by investing in specific areas of the
business.
Notes:
1
|
Following its sale
in May 2017, the operating results exclude the contribution of the
Korea life business. All comparative results have been similarly
adjusted.
|
2
|
Annualised
operating profit after tax and non-controlling interests as
percentage of opening shareholders'
funds.
|
3
|
Includes UK life
insurance and M&G.
|
4
|
Free surplus generation represents ‘underlying
free surplus’ based on operating movements, including the
general insurance commission earned during the period and excludes
market movements, foreign exchange, capital movements,
shareholders’ other income and expenditure and centrally
arising restructuring and Solvency II implementation
costs.
|
5
|
Before allowing for
first interim dividend.
|
6
|
The Group
shareholder capital position excludes the contribution to Own Funds
and the Solvency Capital Requirement from ring fenced With-Profit
Funds and staff pension schemes in surplus. The solvency positions
include management’s estimate of transitional measures
reflecting operating and market conditions at the valuation date.
The estimated Group shareholder surplus would increase from
£12.9 billion to £13.6 billion at 30 June 2017 if the
approved regulatory transitional amount was applied
instead.
|
7
|
Comparable to 31
December 2016 on an actual exchange rate
basis.
|
8
|
Refer to note B1.1
in IFRS financial statements for the break-down of other income and
expenditure and other non-operating
items.
|
9
|
Operating income
comprises spread income, fee income, with-profits, insurance margin
and expected shareholder return.
|
10
|
Includes Group's
proportionate share of the liabilities and associated flows of the
insurance joint ventures and associate in
Asia.
|
11
|
Defined as
movements in shareholder-backed policyholder liabilities arising
from premiums (net of charges), surrenders/withdrawals, maturities
and deaths.
|
12
|
Following its sale
in May 2017, the shareholder-backed policyholder liabilities and
related flows for Asia exclude the value for the Korea life
business. The half year 2016 comparatives have been adjusted
accordingly.
|
13
|
Includes
unallocated surplus of with-profits
business.
|
14
|
For basis of
preparation see note I (a) of Additional unaudited IFRS financial
information.
|
15
|
Includes
Group’s proportionate share in PPM South Africa and the Asia
asset management joint ventures.
|
16
|
For our asset
management business the level of funds managed on behalf of third
parties, which are not therefore recorded on the balance sheet, is
a driver of profitability. We therefore analyse the movement in the
funds under management each period, focusing between those which
are external to the Group and those held by the insurance business
and included on the Group balance sheet. This is analysed in note II(b) of
the Additional IFRS financial
information.
|
17
|
Net inflows exclude
Asia Money Market Fund (MMF) inflows of £499 million (2016:
net inflows £656 million on an actual exchange rate basis).
External funds under management exclude Asia MMF balances of
£8,327 million (2016: £7,421 million on an actual
exchange rate basis).
|
18
|
©2017
Morningstar, Inc. All Rights Reserved. The information contained
herein: (1) is proprietary to Morningstar and/or its content
providers; (2) may not be copied or distributed; and (3) is not
warranted to be accurate, complete or timely. Neither Morningstar
nor its content providers are responsible for any damages or losses
arising from any use of this information. Past performance is no
guarantee of future results. 1Q 2017 Morningstar VA Report with
Commentary.
|
19
|
Net cash remitted
by business units are included in the Holding Company Cashflow is
disclosed in note II (a) of Additional IFRS financial
information.
|
20
|
Refer to the EEV
basis supplementary information – Post-tax operating profit
based on longer-term investment returns and Post-tax summarised
consolidated income statement for the break-down of other income
and expenditure and other non-operating
items.
|
21
|
The methodology and
assumptions used in calculating the Solvency II capital results are
set out in note II (c) of Additional unaudited IFRS financial
information.
|
22
|
The UK shareholder
capital position excludes the contribution to Own Funds and the
Solvency Capital Requirement from ring fenced With-Profit Funds and
staff pension schemes in surplus. The solvency positions include
management’s estimate of transitional measures reflecting
operating and market conditions at the valuation date. The
estimated UK shareholder surplus would increase from £5.3
billion to £6.0 billion at 30 June 2017 if the approved
regulatory transitional amount was applied
instead.
|
23
|
The UK with-profits
Solvency II surplus includes the PAC with-profits sub-fund, the
Scottish Amicable Insurance Fund and the Defined Charge
Participating Sub-Fund. The estimated solvency position allows for
management’s estimate of transitional measures reflecting
operating and market conditions at the valuation
date.
|
24
|
Net of related
changes to deferred acquisition costs and
tax.
|
Group Chief Risk Officer’s Report of the risks facing our
business and how these are managed
1. Introduction
We
continue to operate in a global environment of political
uncertainty, although financial markets have remained resilient
through the first half of the year. As we position ourselves, we
remain mindful of the uncertain environment from a political,
economic and social perspective.
As in
previous years, we continue to maintain a strong and sustained
focus on planning for the possibility of, and ultimately managing,
the market volatility and macroeconomic uncertainty arising from
the global environment. Our Risk Management Framework and risk
appetite have allowed us to successfully control our risk exposure
throughout the year. Our governance, processes and controls enable
us to deal with the uncertainty ahead in order to continue helping
our customers achieve their long-term financial goals.
Our
results show that, even in times of such unpredictability, we can
generate value for our shareholders by selectively taking exposure
to risks that are adequately rewarded and that can be appropriately
quantified and managed. We retain risks within a clearly defined
risk appetite, where we believe doing so contributes to value
creation and the Group is able to withstand the impact of an
adverse outcome. For our retained risks, we ensure that we have the
necessary capabilities, expertise, processes and controls to
appropriately manage the exposure.
In my
report, I seek to explain the main risks inherent in our business
and how we manage those risks, with the aim of ensuring we maintain
an appropriate risk profile.
2.
Risk governance, culture and our risk management cycle
Prudential
defines ‘risk’ as the uncertainty that we face in
successfully implementing our strategies and objectives. This
includes all internal or external events, acts or omissions that
have the potential to threaten the success and survival of the
Group. Accordingly, material risks will be retained selectively
where we think there is value to do so, and where it is consistent
with the Group’s risk appetite and philosophy towards
risk-taking.
The
following section provides more detail on our risk governance,
culture and risk management process.
Our
risk governance comprises the organisational structures, reporting
relationships, delegation of authority, roles and responsibilities,
and risk policies that the Group Head Office and our business units
establish to make decisions and control their activities on
risk-related matters. This encompasses individuals, Group-wide
functions and committees involved in managing risk.
i.
Risk committees and governance structure
Our
Risk governance structure is led by the Group’s Risk
Committee, supported by independent non-executives on risk
committees of major subsidiaries. These committees monitor the
development of the risk management framework, the Group’s
risk appetites, limits, and policies, as well as its risk culture.
We have a comprehensive risk management cycle in place to identify,
measure, manage and monitor our risk exposures.
In
addition to our risk committees, there are various executive risk
forums to ensure risk issues are shared and considered across the
Group. These are led by the Group Executive Risk Committee which is
supported by a number of specific sub-committees including security
and information security where specialist skills and knowledge are
required.
ii.
Risk Management Framework
The
Group’s Risk Management Framework has been developed to
monitor and manage the risk of the business at all levels and is
owned by the Board. The aggregate Group exposure to the key risk
drivers is monitored and managed by the Group Risk function which
is responsible for reviewing, assessing and reporting on the
Group’s risk exposure and solvency position from the Group
economic, regulatory and ratings perspectives.
The
Framework requires all our businesses and functions to establish
processes for identifying, evaluating and managing the key risks
faced by the Group - the ‘Risk Management Cycle’ (see
below) is based on the concept of the ‘three lines of
defence’, comprising risk taking and management, risk control
and oversight, and independent assurance.
A major
part of the Risk Management Cycle is the annual assessment of the
Group’s risks which are considered key. These key risks range
from risks associated with the economic, market, political and
regulatory environment; those that we assume when writing our
insurance products and by virtue of the investments we hold; and
those that are inherent in our business model and its operation.
This is used to inform risk reporting to the risk committees and
the Board for the year.
iii.
Risk appetite, limits and triggers
The
extent to which we are willing to take risk in the pursuit of our
objective to create shareholder value is defined by a number of
risk appetite statements, operationalised through measures such as
limits, triggers and indicators. The Group risk appetite is
approved by the Board and is set with reference to economic and
regulatory capital, liquidity and earnings volatility. The Group
risk appetite is aimed at ensuring that we take an appropriate
level of aggregate risk and covers all risks to shareholders,
including those from participating and third party
business.
We have
no appetite for material losses (direct or indirect) suffered as a
result of failing to develop, implement and monitor appropriate
controls to manage operational risks. Group limits operate within
the risk appetite to constrain the material risks, while triggers
and indicators provide further constraint and ensure escalation.
The Group Chief Risk Officer determines the action to be taken upon
all breaches of Group limits.
The
Group Risk function is responsible for reviewing the scope and
operation of these measures at least annually, to determine that
they remain relevant. The Board approves all changes made to the
Group’s Risk Appetite Framework.
We
define and monitor aggregate risk limits based on financial and
non-financial stresses for our earnings volatility, liquidity and
capital requirements.
Earnings
volatility:
The
objectives of the aggregate risk limits seek to ensure
that:
●
The
volatility of earnings is consistent with the expectations of
stakeholders;
●
The
Group has adequate earnings (and cash flows) to service debt,
expected dividends and to withstand unexpected shocks;
and
●
Earnings
(and cash flows) are managed properly across geographies and are
consistent with funding strategies.
The two
measures used to monitor the volatility of earnings are IFRS
operating profit and EEV operating profit, although IFRS and EEV
total profits are also considered.
Liquidity:
The
objective is to ensure that the Group is able to generate
sufficient cash resources to meet financial obligations as they
fall due in business as usual and stressed scenarios. Risk appetite
with respect to liquidity risk is measured using a Liquidity
Coverage Ratio which considers the sources of liquidity versus
liquidity requirements under stress scenarios.
Capital
requirements:
The
limits aim to ensure that:
●
The
Group meets its internal economic capital
requirements;
●
The
Group achieves its desired target rating to meet its business
objectives; and
●
Supervisory
intervention is avoided.
The two
measures used at the Group level are Solvency II capital
requirements and internal economic capital requirements. In
addition, capital requirements are monitored on local statutory
bases.
The
Group Risk Committee is responsible for reviewing the risks
inherent in the Group’s business plan and for providing the
Board with input on the risk/reward trade-offs implicit therein.
This review is supported by the Group Risk function, which uses
submissions from our local business units to calculate the
Group’s aggregated position (allowing for diversification
effects between local business units) relative to the aggregate
risk limits.
These
set out the specific requirements which cover the fundamental
principles for risk management within the Group Risk Framework.
Policies are designed to give some flexibility so that business
users can determine how best to comply with policies based on their
local expertise.
There
are core risk policies for credit, market, insurance, liquidity and
operational risks and a number of internal control policies
covering internal model risk, underwriting, dealing controls and
tax risk management. They form part of the Group Governance Manual,
which was developed to make a key contribution to the sound system
of internal control that we maintain in line with the UK Corporate
Governance Code and the Hong Kong Code on Corporate Governance
Practices. Group Head Office and business units must confirm that
they have implemented the necessary controls to evidence compliance
with the Group Governance Manual on an annual basis.
The
Group-wide Operating Standards provide supporting detail to the
higher level risk policies. In many cases they define the minimum
requirements for compliance with Solvency II regulations which in
some areas are highly prescriptive. The standards are more detailed
than policies.
Culture
is a strategic priority of the Board who recognise the importance
of good culture in the way that we do business. Risk culture is a
subset of broader organisational culture, which shapes the
organisation-wide values that we use to prioritise risk management
behaviours and practices.
An
evaluation of risk culture is part of the Risk Management Framework
and in particular seeks to identify evidence that:
●
Senior
management in business units articulate the need for good risk
management as a way to realise long-term value and continuously
support this through their actions;
●
Employees
understand and care about their role in managing risk - they are
aware of and openly discuss risk as part of the way they perform
their role; and
●
Employees
invite open discussion on the approach to the management of
risk.
Key
aspects of risk culture are also communicated through the Code of
Conduct and the policies in the Group Governance Manual, including
the commitments to the fair treatment of our customers and staff.
The approach to the management of risk also is a key part of the
evaluation of the remuneration of executives. Risk culture is an
evolving topic across the financial services industry and we are
working to evaluate and embed a strong risk culture.
c.
The risk management cycle
The
risk management cycle comprises processes to identify, measure and
assess, manage and control, and monitor and report on our
risks.
Group-wide risk
identification takes place throughout the year and includes
processes such as our Own Risk and Solvency Assessment (ORSA) and
the horizon-scanning performed as part of our emerging risk
management process.
On an
annual basis, a top-down identification of the Group’s key
risks is performed which considers those risks that have the
greatest potential to impact the Group’s operating results
and financial condition. A bottom-up process of risk identification
is performed by the business units who identify, assess and
document risks, with appropriate coordination and challenge from
the risk functions.
The
Group ORSA report pulls together the analysis performed by a number
of risk and capital management processes, which are embedded across
the Group, and provides quantitative and qualitative assessments of
the Group’s risk profile, risk management and solvency needs
on a forward-looking basis. The scope of the report covers the full
known risk universe of the Group.
The
Directors perform a robust assessment of the principal risks facing
the Company, through the Group ORSA report and the risk assessments
done as part of the business planning review, including how they
are managed and mitigated.
Reverse
stress testing, which requires us to ascertain the point of
business model failure, is another tool that helps us to identify
the key risks and scenarios that may materially impact the
Group.
Our
emerging risk management process identifies potentially material
risks which have a high degree of uncertainty around timing,
magnitude and propensity to evolve. The Group holds emerging risk
sessions over the year to identify emerging risks which includes
input from local subject matter and industry experts. We maintain
contacts with thought leaders and peers to benchmark and refine our
process.
The
risk profile is a key output from the risk identification and risk
measurement processes, and is used as a basis for setting
Group-wide limits, management information, assessment of solvency
needs, and determining appropriate stress and scenario testing. The
risk identification processes support the creation of our annual
set of key risks, which are then given enhanced management and
reporting focus.
ii.
Risk measurement and assessment
All
identified risks are assessed based on an appropriate methodology
for that risk. All quantifiable risks which are material and
mitigated by holding capital are modelled in the Group’s
internal model, which is used to determine capital requirements
under Solvency II and our own economic capital basis. Governance
arrangements are in place to support the internal model, including
independent validation and process and controls around model
changes and limitations.
iii.
Risk management and control
The
control procedures and systems established within the Group are
designed to reasonably manage the risk of failing to meet business
objectives and are detailed in the Group risk policies. This can
only provide reasonable and not absolute assurance against material
misstatement or loss. They focus on aligning the levels of
risk-taking with the achievement of business
objectives.
The
management and control of risks are set out in the Group risk
policies, and form part of the holistic risk management approach
under the Group’s ORSA. These risk policies
define:
●
The
Group’s risk appetite in respect of material risks, and the
framework under which the Group’s exposure to those risks is
limited;
●
The
processes to enable Group senior management to effect the
measurement and management of the Group material risk profile in a
consistent and coherent way; and
●
The
flows of management information required to support the measurement
and management of the Group material risk profile and to meet the
needs of external stakeholders.
The
methods and risk management tools we employ to mitigate each of our
major categories of risks are detailed in section 4
below.
iv.
Risk monitoring and reporting
The
identification of the Group’s key risks informs the
management information received by the Group risk committees and
the Board. Risk reporting of key exposures against appetite is also
included, as well as ongoing developments in other key and emerging
risks.
3. Summary
risks
The
table below is a summary of the key risks facing the Group, which
can be grouped into those which apply to us because of the global
environment in which we operate, and those which arise as a result
of the business that we operate – including risks arising
from our investments, the nature of our products and from our
business operations.
|
‘Macro’- risks
Some of
the risks that we are exposed to are necessarily broad given the
external influences which may impact on the Group. These risks
include:
●
Global economic conditions. Changes in
global economic conditions can impact us directly; for example by
leading to poor returns on our investments and increasing the cost
of promises we have made to our customers. They can also have an
indirect impact; for example economic pressures could lead to
decreased savings, reducing the propensity for people to buy our
products. Global economic conditions may also impact on regulatory
risk for the Group by changing prevailing political attitudes
towards regulation.
●
Geopolitical risk. The geopolitical
environment is increasingly uncertain with political upheaval in
the UK, the US and the Eurozone. Uncertainty in these regions,
combined with conflict in the Middle East and increasing tensions
in east Asia underline that geopolitical risks are truly global and
their potential impacts are wide-ranging; for example through
increased regulatory risk. The geopolitical and economic
environments are increasingly closely linked, and changes in the
political arena may have direct or indirect impacts on our
Group.
●
Digital disruption. The emergence of
advanced technologies such as artificial intelligence and
blockchain is providing an impetus for companies to rethink their
existing operating models and how they interact with their
customers. Prudential is embracing the opportunities presented by
digitalisation and is closely monitoring any risks which
arise.
Risks from our investments
|
Risks from our products
|
Risks from our business operations
|
Global
economic conditions - see above - have a large impact on those
risks from our investments.
Our
fund investment performance is a fundamental part of our business
in providing appropriate returns for our customers and
shareholders, and so is an important area of focus.
Credit risk
Is the
potential for reduced value of our investments due to the
uncertainty around investment returns arising from the potential
for defaults of our investment counterparties.
Invested
credit risk arises from our asset portfolio. We increase sector
focus where necessary.
The
assets backing the UK and Jackson’s annuity business mean
credit risk is a significant focus for the Group.
Market risk
Is the
potential for reduced value of our investments resulting from the
volatility of asset prices as driven by fluctuations in equity
prices, interest rates, foreign exchange rates and property
prices.
In our
Asia business, our main market risks arise from the value of fees
from our fee-earning products.
In the
US, Jackson’s fixed and variable annuity books are exposed to
a variety of market risks due to the assets backing these
policies.
In the
UK, exposure relates to the valuation of the proportion of the
with-profits fund’s future profits which is transferred to
the shareholders (future transfers), which is dependent on equity,
property and bond values.
M&G
invests in a broad range of asset classes and its income is subject
to the price volatility of global financial and currency
markets.
Liquidity risk
Is the
risk of not having sufficient liquid assets to meet our obligations
as they fall due, and incorporates the risk arising from funds
composed of illiquid assets. It results from a mismatch between the
liquidity profile of assets and liabilities.
|
Insurance risks
The
nature of the products offered by the Group exposes it to insurance
risks, which are a significant part of our overall risk
profile.
The
insurance risks that we are exposed to by virtue of our products
include longevity risk
(policyholders living longer than expected); mortality risk (policyholders with life
protection dying); morbidity
risk (policyholders with health protection becoming ill) and
persistency risk (customers
lapsing their policies).
From
our health protection products, increases in the costs of claims
(including the level of medical expenses) increasing over and above
price inflation (claim inflation) is another risk.
The
processes that determine the price of our products and reporting
the results of our long-term business operations require us to make
a number of assumptions. Where experience deviates from these
assumptions our profitability may be impacted.
Across
our business units, persistency and morbidity risks are among the
largest insurance risks for our Asia business given our strong
focus on health protection products in the region.
For the
UK and Jackson, the most significant insurance risk is longevity
risk driven by their annuity businesses.
|
Operational risks
As a
Group, we are dependent on the appropriate and secure processing of
a large number of transactions by our people, IT infrastructure and
outsourcing partners, which exposes us to operational risks and
reputational risks.
Information security risk is a significant consideration
within operational risk, including both the risk of malicious
attack on our systems as well as risks relating to data security
and integrity and network disruption. The size of
Prudential’s IT infrastructure and network, our move toward
digitisation and the increasing number of high profile cyber
security incidents across industries means that this will continue
to be an area of high focus.
Regulatory risk
We also
operate under the ever-evolving requirements set out by diverse
regulatory and legal regimes (including tax), as well as utilising
a significant number of third parties to distribute products and to
support business operations; all of which add to the complexity of
the operating model if not properly managed.
The
number of regulatory changes under way across Asia, in particular
those focusing on consumer protection means that regulatory change
in the region also is considered a key risk.
Both
Jackson and the UK operate in highly regulated markets. Regulatory
reforms could materially impact our businesses, and regulatory
focus continues to be high.
|
4.
Further risk information
In
reading the sections below, it is useful to understand that there
are some risks that our policyholders assume by virtue of the
nature of their products, and some risks that the Company and its
shareholders assume. Examples of the latter include those risks
arising from assets held directly by and for the Company or the
risk that policyholder funds are exhausted. This report is focused
mainly on risks to the shareholder, but will include those which
arise indirectly through our policyholder exposures.
4.1
Risks from our investments
The
main drivers of market risk in the Group are:
●
Investment
risk (including equity and property risk);
●
Interest
rate risk; and
●
Given
the geographical diversity of our business, foreign exchange
risk.
With
respect to investment risk, equity and property risk arises from
our holdings of equity and property investments, the prices of
which can change depending on market conditions.
The
valuation of our assets (particularly the bonds that we invest in)
and liabilities are also dependent on market interest rates and
exposes us to the risk of those moving in a way that is detrimental
for us.
Given
our global business, we earn our profits and hold assets in various
currencies. The translation of those into our reporting currency
exposes us to movements in foreign exchange rates.
Our
main investment risk exposure arises from the portion of the
profits from the UK with-profits fund to which we are entitled to
receive; the value of the future fees from our fee-earning products
in our Asia business; and from the asset returns backing
Jackson’s variable annuities business.
Our
interest rate risk is driven in the UK by our need to match our
assets and liabilities; from the guarantees of some non unit-linked
investment products in Asia; and the cost of guarantees in
Jackson’s fixed, fixed index and variable annuity
business.
The
methods that we use to manage and mitigate our market risks include
the following:
●
Our
market risk policy;
●
Risk
appetite statements, limits and triggers that we have in
place;
●
The
monitoring and oversight of market risks through the regular
reporting of management information;
●
Our
asset and liability management programmes;
●
Use
of derivative programmes, including, for example, interest rate
swaps, options and hybrid options for interest rate
risk;
●
Regular
deep dive assessments; and
●
Use
of currency hedging.
Investment risk
In the
UK business, our main investment risk arises from the assets held
in the with-profits funds. Although this is mainly held by our
policyholders, a proportion of the fund’s profit (one tenth)
is transferred to us and so our investment exposure relates to the
future valuation of that proportion (future transfers). This
investment risk is driven mainly by equities in the fund, although
there is some risk associated with other investments such as
property and bonds. Some hedging to protect from a reduction in the
value of these future transfers against falls in equity prices is
performed outside the fund using derivatives. The with-profits
funds large Solvency II own funds – estimated at £8.6
billion as at 30 June 2017 (31 December 2016: £8.4 billion)
– helps to protect against market fluctuations and helps the
fund to maintain appropriate solvency levels. The with-profits
funds Solvency II own funds are partially protected against falls
in equity markets through an active hedging programme within the
fund.
In
Asia, our shareholder exposure to equity price movements results
from unit-linked products, where our fee income is linked to the
market value of the funds under management. Further exposure arises
from with-profits businesses where bonuses declared are broadly
based on historical and current rates of return on
equity.
In
Jackson, investment risk arises from the assets backing customer
policies. In the case of spread-based business, including fixed
annuities, these assets are generally bonds, and shareholder
exposure comes from the minimum returns needed to meet the
guaranteed rates that we offer to policyholders. For our variable
annuity business, these assets include both equities and bonds. In
this case, the main risk to the shareholder comes from the
guaranteed benefits that can be included as part of these products.
Our exposure to this kind of situation is reduced by using a
derivative hedging programme, as well as through the use of
reinsurance to pass on the risk to third party
reinsurers.
Interest rate risk
While
long-term interest rates in advanced economies have broadly
increased since mid-2016 and indications are for further gradual
tightening of monetary policy, they remain close to historical
lows. Some products that we offer are sensitive to movements in
interest rates. We have already taken a number of actions to reduce
the risk to the in-force business, as well as re-pricing and
restructuring new business offerings in response to these
historically low interest rates. Nevertheless, we still retain some
sensitivity to interest rate movements.
Interest
rate risk arises in our UK business from the need to match cash
payments to meet annuity obligations with the cash we receive from
our investments. To minimise the impact on our profit, we aim to
match the duration (a measure of interest rate sensitivity) of
assets and liabilities as closely as possible and the position is
monitored regularly. Under the Solvency II regulatory regime,
additional interest rate risk results from the way the balance
sheet is constructed, such as the requirement for us to include a
risk margin. The UK business continually assesses the need for any
derivatives in managing its interest rate sensitivity. The
with-profits business is exposed to interest rate risk because of
underlying guarantees in some of its products. Such risk is largely
borne by the with-profits fund itself but shareholder support may
be required in extreme circumstances where the fund has
insufficient resources to support the risk.
In
Asia, our exposure to interest rate risk arises from the guarantees
of some non unit-linked investment products. This exposure exists
because it may not be possible to hold assets which will provide
cash payments to us which match exactly those payments we in turn
need to make to policyholders – this is known as an asset and
liability mismatch and although it is small and appropriately
managed, it cannot be eliminated.
Jackson
is exposed to interest rate risk in its fixed, fixed index and
variable annuity books. Movements in interest rates can impact on
the cost of guarantees in these products, in particular the cost of
guarantees may increase when interest rates fall. We actively
monitor the level of sales of variable annuity products with
guaranteed living benefits, and together with the risk limits we
have in place this helps us to ensure that we are comfortable with
the interest rate and market risks we incur as a result. The
Jackson hedging programme includes hybrid derivatives to protect us
from a combined fall in interest rates and equity markets since
Jackson is exposed to the combination of these market
movements.
Foreign exchange risk
The
geographical diversity of our businesses means that we have some
exposure to the risk of exchange rate fluctuations. Our operations
in the US and Asia, which represent a large proportion of our
operating profit and shareholders’ funds, generally write
policies and invest in assets in local currencies. Although this
limits the effect of exchange rate movements on local operating
results, it can lead to fluctuations in our Group financial
statements when results are reported in UK sterling.
We
retain revenues locally to support the growth of our business and
capital is held in the local currency of the business to meet local
regulatory and market requirements. We accept the foreign exchange
risk this can produce when reporting our Group balance sheet and
income statement. In cases where a surplus arises in an overseas
operation which is to be used to support Group capital, or where a
significant cash payment is due from an overseas subsidiary to the
Group, this foreign exchange exposure is hedged where we believe it
is economically favourable to do so. Generally, we do not have
appetite for significant direct shareholder exposure to foreign
exchange risks in currencies outside of the countries in which we
operate, but we do have some controlled appetite for this on fee
income and on non-sterling investments within the with-profits
fund. Where foreign exchange risk arises outside our appetite,
currency borrowings, swaps and other derivatives are used to manage
our exposure.
We
invest in bonds that provide a regular, fixed amount of interest
income (fixed income assets) in order to match the payments we need
to make to policyholders. We also enter into reinsurance and
derivative contracts with third parties to mitigate various types
of risk, as well as holding cash deposits at certain banks. As a
result, we are exposed to credit risk and counterparty risk across
our business.
Credit
risk is the potential for reduction in the value of our investments
which results from the perceived level of risk of an investment
issuer being unable to meet its obligations (defaulting).
Counterparty risk is a type of credit risk and relates to the risk
that the counterparty to any contract we enter into being unable to
meet their obligations causing us to suffer loss.
We use
a number of risk management tools to manage and mitigate this
credit risk, including the following:
●
Our
credit risk policy;
●
Risk
appetite statements and limits that we have defined on issuers, and
counterparties;
●
Collateral
arrangements we have in place for derivative, reverse repo and
reinsurance transactions;
●
The
Group Credit Risk Committee’s oversight of credit and
counterparty credit risk and sector and/or name-specific reviews.
In the first half of 2017 it has conducted sector reviews in the
Asia sovereign sector and continues to review the developments
around central clearing;
●
Regular
deep dive assessments; and
●
Close
monitoring or restrictions on investments that may be of
concern.
Debt and loan portfolio
Our UK
business is mainly exposed to credit risk on fixed income assets in
the shareholder-backed portfolio. At 30 June 2017, this portfolio
contained fixed income assets worth £35.4 billion. Credit risk
arising from a further £55.9 billion of fixed income assets is
largely borne by the with-profits fund, to which the shareholder is
not directly exposed although under extreme circumstances
shareholder support may be required if the fund is unable to meet
payments as they fall due.
The
value of our debt portfolio in our Asia business was £39.1
billion at 30 June 2017. The majority (69 per cent) of the
portfolio is in unit-linked and with-profits funds and so exposure
of the shareholder to this component is minimal. The remaining 31
per cent of the debt portfolio is held to back the shareholder
business.
Credit
risk also arises in the general account of the Jackson business,
where £38.0 billion of fixed income assets are held to support
shareholder liabilities including those from our fixed annuities,
fixed index annuities and life insurance products.
The
shareholder-owned debt and loan portfolio of the Group’s
asset management business of £2.4 billion as at 30 June 2017
mostly belongs to our Prudential Capital (PruCap)
operations.
Further
details of the composition and quality of our debt portfolio, and
exposure to loans, can be found in the IFRS financial
statements.
Group sovereign debt
We also
invest in bonds issued by national governments. This sovereign debt
represented 17 per cent or £14.9 billion of the shareholder
debt portfolio as at 30 June 2017 (31 December 2016: 19 per cent or
£17.1 billion). 5 per cent of this was rated AAA and 90 per
cent was considered investment grade (31 December 2016: 92 per cent
investment grade). At 30 June 2017, the Group’s shareholder
holding in Eurozone sovereign debt1 was £844
million. 77 per cent of this relates to German government
debt2 (31
December 2016: 75 per cent).
The
particular risks associated with holding sovereign debt are
detailed further in our disclosures on risk factors.
The
exposures held by the shareholder-backed business and with-profits
funds in sovereign debt securities at 30 June 2017 are given in
Note C3.2(f) of the Group’s IFRS financial
statements.
Bank debt exposure and counterparty credit risk
Our
exposure to banks is a key part of our core investment business, as
well as being important for the hedging and other activities we
undertake to manage our various financial risks. Given the
importance of our relationship with our banks, exposure to the
sector is a considered a key risk for the Group with an appropriate
level of management information provided to the Group’s risk
committees and the Board.
The
exposures held by the shareholder-backed business and with-profits
funds in bank debt securities at 30 June 2017 are given in Note
C3.2(f) of the Group’s IFRS financial
statements.
Our
exposure to derivative counterparty and reinsurance counterparty
credit risk is managed using an array of risk management tools,
including a comprehensive system of limits.
Where
appropriate, we reduce our exposure, buy credit protection or use
additional collateral arrangements to manage our levels of
counterparty credit risk.
At 30
June 2017, shareholder exposures by rating and sector are shown
below:
●
96 per cent of the
shareholder portfolio is investment grade rated. In particular, 69
per cent of the portfolio is rated A and above; and
●
The Group’s
shareholder portfolio is well diversified: no individual sector
makes up more than 10 per cent of the total portfolio (excluding
the financial and sovereign sectors).
Our
liquidity risk arises from the need to have sufficient liquid
assets to meet policyholder and third-party payments as they fall
due. This incorporates the risk arising from funds composed of
illiquid assets and results from a mismatch between the liquidity
profile of assets and liabilities. Liquidity risk may arise, for
example, where external capital is unavailable at sustainable cost,
increased liquid assets are required to be held as collateral under
derivative transactions or redemption requests are made against
Prudential issued illiquid funds.
We have
significant internal sources of liquidity, which are sufficient to
meet all of our expected cash requirements for at least 12 months
from the date the financial statements are approved, without having
to resort to external sources of funding. In total, the Group has
£2.6 billion of undrawn committed facilities that we can make
use of, £2.4 billion of which expire in 2022 and £0.2
billion in 2021. We have access to further liquidity by way of the
debt capital markets, and also have in place an extensive
commercial paper programme and have maintained a consistent
presence as an issuer in this market for the last
decade.
Liquidity
uses and sources are assessed at a Group and business unit level
under both base case and stressed assumptions. We calculate a
Liquidity Coverage Ratio (LCR) under stress scenarios as one
measure of our liquidity risk, and this ratio and the liquidity
resources available to us are regularly monitored and are assessed
to be sufficient.
Our
risk management and mitigation of liquidity risk
include:
●
Our
liquidity risk policy;
●
The
risk appetite statements, limits and triggers that we have in
place;
●
The
monitoring of liquidity risk we perform through regular management
information to committees and the Board;
●
Our
Liquidity Risk Management Plan, which includes details of the Group
Liquidity Risk Framework as well as gap analysis of our liquidity
risks and the adequacy of our available liquidity resources under
normal and stressed conditions;
●
Regular
stress testing;
●
Our
established contingency plans and identified sources of
liquidity;
●
Our
ability to access the money and debt capital markets;
●
Regular
deep dive assessments; and
●
The
access we enjoy to external sources of finance through committed
credit facilities.
4.2
Risks from our
products
Insurance
risk makes up a significant proportion of our overall risk
exposure. The profitability of our businesses depends on a mix of
factors including levels of, and trends in, mortality
(policyholders dying), morbidity (policyholders becoming ill) and
persistency (customers lapsing their policies), and increases in
the costs of claims, including the level of medical expenses
increases over and above price inflation (claim
inflation).
The key
drivers of the Group’s insurance risks are persistency and
morbidity risk in the Asia business; and longevity risk in the
Jackson and Prudential UK & Europe businesses.
We
manage and mitigate our insurance risk using the
following:
●
Our
insurance and underwriting risk policies;
●
The
risk appetite statements, limits and triggers we have in
place;
●
Using
longevity, morbidity and persistency assumptions that reflect
recent experience and expectation of future trends, and industry
data and expert judgement where appropriate;
●
We
use reinsurance to mitigate longevity and morbidity
risks;
●
Morbidity
risk is also mitigated by appropriate underwriting when policies
are issued and claims are received;
●
Persistency
risk is mitigated through the quality of sales processes and with
initiatives to increase customer retention;
●
Medical
expense inflation risk mitigated through product re-pricing;
and
●
Regular
deep dive assessments.
Longevity
risk is an important element of our insurance risks for which we
need to hold a large amount of capital under Solvency II
regulations. Longevity reinsurance is a key tool for us in managing
our risk. The enhanced pensions freedoms introduced in the UK
during 2015 greatly reduced the demand for retail annuities and
further liberalisation is anticipated. Although we have scaled down
our participation in the annuity market by reducing new business
acquisition, given our significant annuity portfolio the
assumptions we make about future rates of improvement in mortality
rates remain key to the measurement of our insurance liabilities
and to our assessment of any reinsurance transactions.
We
continue to conduct research into longevity risk using both
experience from our annuity portfolio and industry data. Although
the general consensus in recent years is that people are living
longer, there is considerable volatility in year-on-year longevity
experience, which is why we need expert judgement in setting our
longevity basis.
Our
morbidity risk is mitigated by appropriate underwriting when
policies are issued and claims are received. Our morbidity
assumptions reflect our recent experience and expectation of future
trends for each relevant line of business.
In
Asia, we write significant volumes of health protection business,
and so a key assumption for us is the rate of medical inflation,
which is often in excess of general price inflation. There is a
risk that the expenses of medical treatment increase more than we
expect, so the medical claim cost passed on to us is higher than
anticipated. Medical expense inflation risk is best mitigated by
retaining the right to re-price our products each year and by
having suitable overall claim limits within our policies, either
limits per type of claim or in total across a policy.
Our
persistency assumptions similarly reflect a combination of recent
past experience for each relevant line of business and expert
judgement, especially where a lack of relevant and credible
experience data exists. Any expected change in future persistency
is also reflected in the assumption. Persistency risk is mitigated
by appropriate training and sales processes and managed locally
post-sale through regular experience monitoring and the
identification of common characteristics of business with high
lapse rates. Where appropriate, we make allowance for the
relationship (either assumed or historically observed) between
persistency and investment returns and account for the resulting
additional risk. Modelling this dynamic policyholder behaviour is
particularly important when assessing the likely take-up rate of
options embedded within certain products. The effect of persistency
on our financial results can vary but mostly depends on the value
of the product features and market conditions.
4.3
Risks from our business
operations
Operational
risk is the risk of loss (or unintended gain or profit) arising
from inadequate or failed internal processes, personnel and
systems, or from external events. This includes employee error,
model error, system failures, fraud or some other event which
disrupts business processes.
We
manage and mitigate our operational risk using the
following:
●
Operational
risk and outsourcing and third-party supply policies;
●
Corporate
insurance programmes to limit the impact of operational
risks;
●
Scenario
analysis for operational risk capital requirements, which focus on
extreme, yet plausible, events;
●
Internal
and external review of cyber security capability;
●
Regular
testing of elements of the disaster-recovery plan;
●
Group
and Business Unit level Compliance oversight and testing in respect
of adherence with in-force regulations; and
●
Regulatory
change teams in place assist the business in proactively adapting
and complying with regulatory developments.
An
important element of operational risk relates to compliance with
changing regulatory requirements. The high rate of global
regulatory change, in an already complex regulatory landscape,
increases the risk of non-compliance due to a failure to identify,
correctly interpret, implement and/or monitor regulations.
Legislative developments over recent years, together with enhanced
regulatory oversight and increased capability to issue sanctions,
have resulted in a complex regulatory environment that may lead to
breaches of varying magnitude if the Group’s
business-as-usual operations are not compliant. As well as
prudential regulation, we focus on conduct regulation, including
regulations related to anti-money laundering, bribery and
corruption, and sales practices. We have a particular focus on
these regulations in newer/emerging markets.
The
performance of core activities places reliance on the IT
infrastructure that supports day-to-day transaction processing. Our
IT environment must also be secure and we must address an
increasing cyber risk threat as our digital footprint increases
– see separate Cyber risk section below. The risk that our IT
infrastructure does not meet these requirements is a key area of
focus, particularly the risk that legacy IT infrastructure
supporting core activities/processes affects business continuity or
impacts on business growth.
Addressing
these key risks requires change and transformation activities in
order for Prudential to meet the expectations of its stakeholders,
regulators, customers and shareholders, as well as to maintain
market competitiveness in an industry where innovation is steadily
accelerating. There are financial and reputational implications if
such activities fail (either wholly or in part) to meet its
objectives, and even if successful there is a potential to alter
Prudential’s operational risk profile. Owing to these
factors, the execution and implications of internal change
activities is an important area of focus.
As well
as the above, other key areas of focus within operational risk
include:
●
The risk of a
significant failure of a third-party outsourcing partner impacting
critical services;
●
The risk of trading
or transaction errors having a material cost across
Group;
●
The risk that
errors within models and user-developed applications used by the
Group result in incorrect or inappropriate transactions being
instructed;
●
Departure of key
persons or teams resulting in disruption to current and planned
business activities;
●
The risk that key
people, processes and systems are unable to operate (thus impacting
on the on-going operation of the business) due to a significant
unexpected external event; for example pandemic, terrorist attack,
natural disaster or political unrest; and
●
The risk of
inadequate or inappropriate controls, governance structures or
communication channels in place to support the desired culture and
ensure that the business is managed in line with the core business
values, within the established risk appetite and in alignment with
external stakeholder expectations.
b.
Global regulatory and political risk
Our
risk management and mitigation of regulatory and political risk
includes the following:
●
Risk
Assessment of the Business Plan which includes consideration of
current strategies;
●
Close
monitoring and assessment of our business environment and strategic
risks;
●
Board
strategy sessions that consider risk themes;
●
A
Systemic Risk Management Plan that details the Group’s
strategy and Risk Management Framework; and
●
A
Recovery Plan covering corporate and risk governance for managing
risks in a distressed environment, a range of recovery options, and
scenarios to assess the effectiveness of these recovery
options.
On 29
March 2017 the UK submitted formal notification of its intention to
withdraw from the EU. The potential outcome of the negotiations on
UK withdrawal and any subsequent negotiations on trade and access
to major trading markets, including the single EU market, is
currently highly uncertain. Following submission of this
notification, the UK has a period of two years to negotiate the
terms of its withdrawal from the EU. If no formal withdrawal
agreement is reached then it is expected the UK’s membership
of the EU will automatically terminate two years after the
submission of the notification.
The
ongoing uncertainty and likelihood of a lengthy negotiation period
may increase volatility in the markets where we operate, creating
the potential for a general downturn in economic activity and for
further or prolonged falls in interest rates in some jurisdictions
due to easing of monetary policy and investor sentiment. We have
several UK-domiciled operations, including Prudential UK and
M&G, and these may be impacted by a UK withdrawal from the EU.
However, our diversification by geography, currency, product and
distribution should reduce some of the potential impact.
Contingency plans were developed ahead of the referendum by
business units and operations that may be immediately impacted by a
vote to withdraw the UK from the EU, and these plans have been
enacted since the referendum result.
The
UK’s decision to leave the EU has the potential to result in
changes to future applicability of the Solvency II regime in the
UK. The European Commission has commenced a review of some elements
of the application of the Solvency II legislation with a particular
focus on the Solvency Capital Requirement calculated using the
standard formula.
National
and regional efforts to curb systemic risk and promote financial
stability are also underway in certain jurisdictions in which
Prudential operates, including the Dodd-Frank Wall Street Reform
and Consumer Protection Act in the US, and other European Union
legislation related to the financial
services industry, such as MiFID2.
There
are a number of ongoing policy initiatives and regulatory
developments that are having, and will continue to have, an impact
on the way Prudential is supervised. These include addressing
Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) reviews, ongoing engagement with
the Prudential Regulation Authority (PRA), and the work of the
Financial Stability Board (FSB) and standard-setting institutions
such as the International Association of Insurance Supervisors
(IAIS). Decisions taken by regulators, including those related to
solvency requirements, corporate or governance structures, capital
allocation and risk management may have an impact on our
business.
The
IAIS’s Global Systematically Important Insurers (G-SII)
regime form additional compliance considerations for us. Groups
designated as G-SIIs are subject to additional regulatory
requirements, including enhanced group-wide supervision, effective
resolution planning, development of a Systemic Risk Management
Plan, a Recovery Plan and a Liquidity Risk Management Plan.
Prudential’s designation as a G-SII was reaffirmed by the
IAIS in November 2016, based on the updated methodology published
in June 2016. Prudential is monitoring the development and
potential impact of the policy measures and is continuing to engage
with the PRA on the implications of the policy measures and
Prudential’s designation as a G-SII. The IAIS is intending to
review the G-SII designation methodology, including considering the
activity based designation methodology in 2019.
We
continue to engage with the IAIS on developments in capital
requirements for groups with G-SII designation. The regime introduces capital requirements in the
form of a Higher Loss Absorption (HLA) requirement. While this
requirement was initially intended to come into force in 2019, this
has now been postponed to 2022. The HLA is also now intended to be
based on the Insurance Capital Standard (ICS), which is being
developed by the IAIS as the capital requirements under the
its Common Framework (ComFrame). This framework is focused
on the supervision of Internationally Active Insurance Groups and
will establish a set of common principles and standards designed to
assist regulators in addressing risks that arise from insurance
groups with operations in multiple jurisdictions. As part of this,
work is underway to develop a global Insurance Capital Standard
that is intended to apply to Internationally Active Insurance
Groups.
A
consultation on the ICS was concluded in 2016 and the IAIS intends
to publish an interim version of ICS in 2017. Further field
testing, consultations and private reporting to group-wide
supervisors on the interim version of the ICS are expected over the
coming years. It is currently planned to be adopted as part of
ComFrame by the IAIS in late 2019.
The
IAIS’s Insurance Core Principles, which provide a
globally-accepted framework for the supervision of the insurance
sector and ComFrame evolution, are expected to create continued
development in both prudential and conduct regulations over the
next two to three years.
In the
US, the Department of Labor rule became effective on 9 June 2017
(although some provisions do not come into effect until January
2018), and introduces new fiduciary obligations for distributors of
investment products to holders of regulated accounts, which may
dramatically reshape the distribution of retirement products.
Jackson's strong relationships with distributors, history of
product innovation and efficient operations should help mitigate
any impacts.
The US
National Association of Insurance Commissioners (NAIC) is currently
conducting an industry consultation with the aim of reducing the
non-economic volatility in the variable annuity statutory balance
sheet and risk management. Following an industry quantitative
impact study, changes have been proposed to the current framework;
however, these are considered to be at an early stage of
development. Jackson continues to be engaged in the consultation
and testing process. The proposal is expected to be effective from
2019 at the earliest.
With
the new US administration having taken office in January 2017, the
potential uncertainty as to the timetable and status of these key
US reforms has increased given preliminary indications from
Washington. Our preparations to manage the impact of these reforms
will continue until further clarification is provided.
In May
2017, the International Accounting Standards Board (IASB) published
IFRS 17 which will introduce fundamental changes to the statutory
reporting of insurance entities that prepare accounts according to
IFRS from 2021. We are currently considering the potential impact
of the complex requirements of this standard on the Group which can
be expected to, amongst other things, alter the timing of IFRS
profit recognition.
In
Asia, regulatory regimes are developing at different speeds, driven
by a combination of global factors and local considerations. New
requirements could be introduced in these and other regulatory
regimes that challenge legal or ownership structures, current sales
practices, or could retrospectively be applied to sales made prior
to their introduction, which could have a negative impact on
Prudential’s business or reported results.
Cyber
risk is an area of increased scrutiny for global regulators after a
number of recent high profile attacks and data losses. The growing
maturity and industrialisation of cyber-criminal capability,
together with an increasing level of understanding of complex
financial transactions by criminal groups, are two reasons why
risks to the financial services industry are increasing.
Developments in data protection worldwide (such as the EU General
Data Protection Regulation that is expected to come into force in
2018) may increase the financial and reputational implications for
Prudential on a breach of its IT systems.
Given
this, cyber security is seen as a key risk for the Group. Our
current threat assessment is that, while we are not individually
viewed as a compelling target for a direct cyber-attack, there have
been recent changes to the threat landscape and the risk from
untargeted but sophisticated and automated attacks has increased,
as has the risk stemming from geopolitical tensions. These have the
potential to significantly impact on business continuity, our
customer relationship and our brand reputation.
The
Board receives periodic updates on cyber risk management throughout
the year. The current Group-wide Cyber Risk Management Strategy and
the associated Group-wide Coordinated Cyber Defence Plan were
approved by the Board in 2016.
The
Cyber Risk Management Strategy includes three core objectives: to
develop a comprehensive situational awareness of our business in
cyberspace, to pro-actively engage cyber attackers to minimise harm
to our business and to enable the business to grow confidently and
safely in cyberspace.
The
Cyber Defence Plan consists of a number of work-streams, including
developing our ability to deal with incidents; alignment with our
digital transformation strategy; and increasing cyber oversight and
assurance to the Board.
Protecting
our customers remains core to our business, and the successful
delivery of the Cyber Defence Plan will reinforce our capabilities
to continue doing so in cyberspace as we transition to a digital
business.
Group
functions work with each of the business units to address cyber
risks locally within the national and regional context of each
business, following the strategic direction laid out in the Cyber
Risk Management Strategy and managed through the execution of the
Cyber Defence Plan.
The
Group Information Security Committee, which consists of senior
executives from each of the businesses and meets on a regular
basis, governs the execution of the Cyber Defence Plan and reports
on delivery and cyber risks to the Group Executive Risk Committee.
Both committees also receive regular operational management
information on the performance of controls.
1
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Excludes
Group’s proportionate share in joint ventures and associates
and unit-linked assets and holdings of consolidated unit trust and
similar funds.
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2
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Including bonds
guaranteed by the federal government.
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Corporate governance
The
directors confirm that the Company has complied with all relevant
provisions set out in the Corporate Governance Code issued by Hong
Kong Stock Exchange (HK Code) throughout the accounting period.
With respect to Code Provision B.1.2(d) of the HK
Code, the responsibilities of the Remuneration Committee
do not include making recommendations to the Board on the
remuneration of non-executive directors. In line with the
principles of the UK Corporate Governance Code, fees for
Non-executive Directors are determined by the Board.
The
directors also confirm that the financial results contained in this
document have been reviewed by the Group Audit
Committee.
The
Company confirms that it has adopted a code of conduct regarding
securities transactions by directors on terms no less exacting than
required by the Hong Kong Listing Rules and that the directors of
the Company have complied with this code of conduct throughout the
period.
SIGNATURES
Pursuant
to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the
registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf
by the undersigned, thereunto duly authorized.
Date: 10
August 2017
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PRUDENTIAL
PUBLIC LIMITED COMPANY
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By:
/s/ Mark FitzPatrick
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Mark
FitzPatrick
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Chief
Financial Officer
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