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Speculator Extremes: SOFR-3m, Nasdaq, Corn & Soybeans Lead Bullish & Bearish Positions
January 21, 2024
This weekly Extreme Positions report highlights the Most Bullish and Most Bearish Positions for the speculator category. Extreme positioning in these markets can foreshadow strong moves in the...
Via
Talk Markets
Exposures
Ethanol
One Call To Rule Them All
January 21, 2024
Every year, Wall Street's brightest minds release their forecasts for the financial markets and the economy. Our belief is that there will primarily be one call to get correct, and that is whether the...
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Economy
Exposures
Economy
Higher For Longer? Insights From The Copper/Gold Ratio
January 21, 2024
In the realm of institutional asset management, the copper/gold ratio has served as a key indicator for some, providing insights into the potential trajectory of 10-year Treasury yields. There are...
Via
Talk Markets
Per CoT, Futures Positions Of Hedge Funds, Noncommercials
January 21, 2024
The message to futures traders is clear, which is to ratchet their unrealistic expectations down. They are fighting a battle they cannot win with the Fed.
Via
Talk Markets
Breakout to ATHs – Will It Last?
January 20, 2024
This soft patch won‘t be the end of it – I expect stocks to shake it off, and surge even higher so as to make a top, and then a true correction hits to position stocks for 2H 2024 rally.
Via
Talk Markets
Rates Spark: A Hawkish Send Off
January 18, 2024
Rates are nudging higher with the 10Y Bund touching 2.35% and Treasuries close to our envisaged 4.15% tactical target.
Via
Talk Markets
US Stock Futures: Federal Reserve And ECB Comments
January 17, 2024
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Economy
Exposures
Interest Rates
Rate Cuts Come In Response To Intensifying Financial Strife
January 12, 2024
With inflation cooling and unemployment rising, rate cuts are coming into view.
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Economy
Exposures
Interest Rates
US Stock Market Rallies To Record Highs Amid Strong Corporate Earnings And Economic Data
January 20, 2024
The US stock market experienced a significant rally this past week, with the S&P 500 closing at an all-time high, driven by strong performances in the technology sector and positive corporate earnings...
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Stocks
Exposures
US Equities
Quiet End To A Busy Week
January 19, 2024
The equity rally in North America yesterday, which saw the NASDAQ 100 set a new record-high seemed to help bourses in Asia Pacific today, led by a 2.6% jump in Taiwan.
Via
Talk Markets
Asia Morning Bites For Friday, January 19
January 18, 2024
Japan's December inflation is in line with expectations. Malaysia is set to release trade and GDP data
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Economy
Exposures
Interest Rates
Financial Markets Report For Thursday, January 18
January 18, 2024
In this video, Ira Epstein reviews the activity in the Financial Markets after the day that just ended, Thursday, January 18
Via
Talk Markets
Stocks Rebound Despite Hawkish Send Off To The Week
January 18, 2024
Futures still indicate a probability of more than 50% for a move as early as March. Furthermore, the futures market predicts a total of 145 basis points of easing through December
Via
Talk Markets
10-Year Treasury Yield Holds Above 4.1% As Early Rate Cuts Seem Unlikely
January 18, 2024
The Federal Reserve is less likely to begin cutting rates in March after recent economic data and comments by Fed officials.
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Economy
Exposures
Interest Rates
Stock Market Volatility May Come Starting Next Week
January 18, 2024
Economic data points to a higher for longer monetary policy path, while options expiration will reduce gamma levels and create greater stock market instability.
Via
Talk Markets
US Stocks In Light Of Corporate Earnings And Economic Data
January 18, 2024
The S&P 500 and Nasdaq experienced gains, driven by positive corporate news and earnings, particularly in the chipmaker sector, while the Dow Jones saw a slight decline.
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Stocks
Exposures
US Equities
Dollar Rally Pauses, But Fuel From Interest Rate Adjustment May Not Be Complete
January 18, 2024
This week's dollar surge is consolidating today. Interest rates have steadied, but the adjustment, which involves pushing the first rate from March toward June does not appear complete.
Via
Talk Markets
Financial Markets Report For Wednesday, January 17
January 17, 2024
In this video, Ira Epstein reviews the activity in the Financial Markets after the day that just ended, Wednesday, January 17.
Via
Talk Markets
Fed Waller's Remarks Continue To Reverberate Across Financial Markets
January 17, 2024
When the entire market goes off script, you end up with these volatile sell-all inflection points.
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Economy
Exposures
Interest Rates
Stronger-Than-Expected UK CPI Helps Steady Sterling After Dollar Rally Extended
January 17, 2024
The sharp dollar advance is stabilizing after follow-through gains earlier today. A larger-than-expected rise in the UK's December CPI helped sterling recover from the push below $1.26, the lower end...
Via
Talk Markets
Don’t Make This Fixed Income Mistake
January 17, 2024
Short-term rates are higher than long-term rates across many kinds of fixed income investments right now, which is the opposite of how things usually are.
Via
Talk Markets
Financial Markets Report For Tuesday, January 16
January 16, 2024
In this video, Ira Epstein reviews the activity in the Financial Markets after the day that just ended, Tuesday, January 16
Via
Talk Markets
Higher Rates And A Dollar Breakout Sends The Stock Market Lower
January 16, 2024
The U.S. dollar is strong against the Canadian dollar and Mexican peso, pushing the S&P 500 lower.
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Stocks
Exposures
US Equities
Stocks And Bonds Tumble After Fed's Waller Sends Rate-Cut Odds Reeling
January 16, 2024
At first glance, Fed Governor Chris Waller's comments were more of the same, but it was the level of detail he added that colored the market's perceptions of hawkish.
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Economy
Exposures
Interest Rates
Elliott Wave Insights: Commodities And Futures Market Analysis
January 15, 2024
Bitcoin's current move down appears impulsive, so we can expect a corrective rally and then another leg lower into 39 - 38K at a rough guess.
Via
Talk Markets
Bond Market, Gold, Yield Curve And The Changes To Come
January 15, 2024
Long-term bonds are much more vulnerable to inflation’s negative effects than short-term bonds. Short-term bonds also act as a liquidity haven during deflationary market crises.
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Bonds
Economy
Exposures
Debt Markets
Interest Rates
Market Briefing For Tuesday, January 16
January 15, 2024
Interesting speculation about things we're already likely late to change.
Via
Talk Markets
CoT Report: What The Future Holds, Per Hedge Funds, Noncommercials
January 14, 2024
Having stayed net short uninterrupted for 146 weeks, non-commercials went net long Russell 2000 mini-index futures this week – the first time they have done so since March 2021.
Via
Talk Markets
Financial Markets Report For Friday, January 12
January 12, 2024
In this video, Ira Epstein reviews the activity in the Financial Markets after the day that just ended, Friday, January 12
Via
Talk Markets
10-Year US Treasury Yield ‘Fair Value’ Estimate - Friday, Jan. 12
January 12, 2024
The US 10-year Treasury yield continues to fall, which is narrowing the gap between the higher market rate and a lesser “fair-value” estimate.
Via
Talk Markets
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