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Market Harkens A Reversal On Fed Speak: Your Guide To The Long-Awaited Reversal
December 20, 2023
After seven weeks of seemingly non-stop upside action in most equity markets, we saw a sharp, long-awaited reversal take stocks lower from their intraday highs.
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Economy
Exposures
Interest Rates
Geopolitical Conditions Intensify Amidst Firmer Econ Data
December 20, 2023
Amidst a Santa Claus rally in stocks, an important consideration is whether hotter economic data and challenging geopolitics threaten the Fed’s accommodation next quarter.
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Economy
Exposures
Interest Rates
Financial Markets Report For Tuesday, December 19
December 19, 2023
In this video, Ira Epstein reviews the activity in the Financial Markets after the day that just ended, Tuesday, December 19.
Via
Talk Markets
Financial Markets Report For Monday, December 18
December 19, 2023
In this video, Ira Epstein reviews the activity in the Financial Markets after the day that just ended, Monday, December 18.
Via
Talk Markets
Rates Spark: There Is Still A Job To Get Done
December 13, 2023
Market expectations of policy easing for the next year are about to get tested tonight with the Federal Reserve likely to signal that there is still a job to get done.
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Economy
Exposures
Interest Rates
Goolsbee Grounds Bond-Bulls But Bitcoin, Black Gold, And Big-Tech Bounce
December 18, 2023
Having had the weekend to soak up the good-cop, bad-cop routine of last week, futures pushed higher overnight extending the exuberance and giving the benefit of the doubt during this quiet week to...
Via
Talk Markets
S&P 500 Likely To 'Test The 5,000 Level': JP Morgan On Where To Allocate In 2024
December 18, 2023
JP Morgan is overweight U.S., Japanese & U.S. Treasury equity, high-yield corporate debt for Q1 2024. Cash returns fall & S&P 500 to test 5,000 level.
Via
Benzinga
Topics
Stocks
Exposures
US Equities
A Logical Assessment Of Recession And Bear Market Odds
December 18, 2023
Since we know Fed policy works with long and variable lags, it is prudent to revisit the soft vs. hard landing question as we prepare for 2024.
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Economy
Exposures
Economy
Interest Rates
CoT This Week: Peeking Into The Future Thru Futures, Hedge Fund Positions
December 17, 2023
At a time like this when literally everyone seems to be on one side of the boat, surprises can spring up out of nowhere.
Via
Talk Markets
Financial Markets Report For Friday, December 15
December 15, 2023
In this video, Ira Epstein reviews the activity in the Financial Markets after the day that just ended, Friday, December 15
Via
Talk Markets
Irrational FOMC Exuberance
December 15, 2023
High impact moves in a low VIX continue.
Via
Talk Markets
U.S. Weekly FundFlows: Money Market Funds See First Weekly Outflow In Eight Weeks
December 15, 2023
Investors were overall net sellers of fund assets (including both conventional funds and ETFs) for the first week in eight, removing a net $19.1 billion.
Via
Talk Markets
How It Started. How It’s Going – Stock Market (And Sentiment Results)
December 14, 2023
A look back at what we were doing and publishing when all of the bears were out in full force. Also, an update on PYPL following their reported results.
Via
Talk Markets
Wild Swings Following The Great Fed Pivot
December 14, 2023
A look at equity and commodity responses to the Fed Policy Pivot.
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Economy
Exposures
Interest Rates
Traders May Need Frequent Portfolio Adjustments In 2024: BlackRock
December 14, 2023
BlackRock Inc sees rate cuts in second half of 2024. Shape of the yield curve to be key drivers of returns. ETFs could be good investment vehicles.
Via
Benzinga
Topics
ETFs
Economy
Exposures
Interest Rates
Risk-On Signal For Global Markets Strengthens After Fed News
December 14, 2023
The central bank left its policy rate unchanged for a third time while suggesting that a round of rate cuts is on the table for 2024.
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Economy
Exposures
Interest Rates
Fed Rate Cut Next Move – Bears Remain Embarrassingly Wrong
December 13, 2023
Post-Fed Day, stocks are supposed to pause or pull back very mildly before another assault higher.
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Economy
Exposures
Interest Rates
10-Year US Treasury Yield ‘Fair Value’ Estimate - Wednesday, Dec. 13
December 13, 2023
Today’s update of the “fair-value” model for the US 10-year Treasury yield reaffirms that the benchmark rate appears unusually high relative to the economic fundamentals.
Via
Talk Markets
Asia Morning Bites For Wednesday, December 13
December 13, 2023
The latest Tankan survey beat expectations, but Korea's unemployment rate rose. FOMC meeting later...
Via
Talk Markets
Financial Markets Report For Tuesday, December 12
December 12, 2023
In this video, Ira Epstein reviews the activity in the Financial Markets after the day that just ended, Tuesday, December 12
Via
Talk Markets
Elliott Wave Analysis: Commodity Market
December 12, 2023
Bitcoin, Bonds, Yields, Dollar, Gold, Silver, Iron Ore, Copper, Uranium, Crude Oil, Natural Gas.
Via
Talk Markets
Exposures
Fossil Fuels
Are Markets Sleepwalking Into Powell’s Presser Tomorrow?
December 12, 2023
Stocks are seeing positive signs such as semiconductors breaking out to new multi-year highs.
Via
Talk Markets
Gold Stocks: A Meeting With Michelangelo
December 12, 2023
The H&S formation on the GDX chart is magnificent. In a nutshell, the incredibly bullish pattern for the miners looks like it was carved into gold bull era marble by Michelangelo himself.
Via
Talk Markets
Soft US CPI Today Paves Way For Fed Pivot Tomorrow
December 12, 2023
The US dollar is trading softer against all the G10 currencies ahead of what is expected to be a soft November CPI report, which paves the way for a pivot by the FOMC tomorrow.
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Economy
Exposures
Interest Rates
BOJ Speculation Unwound, Taking The Yen Lower
December 11, 2023
Many participants seemed to exaggerate the risks of a BOJ move next week and the dollar continued its recovery that began ahead of the weekend.
Via
Talk Markets
Speculator Extremes: Brazil Real & 2-Year Bond Lead Bullish & Bearish Positions
December 11, 2023
The Brazil Real speculator position comes in as the most bullish extreme standing this week. The Brazil Real speculator level is currently at a 99.7 percent score of its 3-year range.
Via
Talk Markets
AI Forecast: Efficient Forecasting Segments Of The Financial Market By AI
December 10, 2023
Based on our analysis, all financial assets, to varying degrees (with the exception of VIX, the volatility index), exhibit long-term patterns, allowing for the application of machine learning methods.
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Artificial Intelligence
Stocks
Exposures
Artificial Intelligence
US Equities
CoT Report Analysis: What Large Specs, Noncommercials Are Buying
December 10, 2023
Non-commercials remain committed to gold for now, with net longs highest since April last year. If gold fails to regain momentum soon, these traders can decide to move on.
Via
Talk Markets
Financial Markets Report For Friday, December 8
December 08, 2023
In this video, Ira Epstein reviews the activity in the Financial Markets after the day that just ended, Friday, December 8.
Via
Talk Markets
Investing In 2024 And Beyond
December 08, 2023
Following the monthly labor report (NFP), the S&P 500 printed a new high for 2023. Numerous macro fundamental factors have shifted in recent years, telling us it is important to adjust to the new world...
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Stocks
Exposures
US Equities
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