UNITED STATES
SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION
Washington, D.C. 20549
Form 6-K
REPORT OF FOREIGN PRIVATE ISSUER PURSUANT TO RULE 13a-16 OR 15d-16
UNDER THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934
For the month of March 20, 2008
Commission File Number 001-15244
CREDIT SUISSE GROUP
(Translation of registrants name into English)
Paradeplatz 8, P.O. Box 1, CH-8070 Zurich, Switzerland
(Address of principal executive office)
Indicate by check mark whether the registrant files or will file annual reports under cover of Form 20-F or Form 40-F.
Form 20-F |
Form 40-F |
Indicate by check mark if the registrant is submitting the Form 6-K in paper as permitted by Regulation S-T Rule 101(b)(1):
Note: Regulation S-T Rule 101(b)(1) only permits the submission in paper of a Form 6-K if submitted solely to provide an attached annual report to security holders.
Indicate by check mark if the registrant is submitting the Form 6-K in paper as permitted by Regulation S-T Rule 101(b)(7):
Note: Regulation S-T Rule 101(b)(7) only permits the submission in paper of a Form 6-K if submitted to furnish a report or other document that the registrant foreign private issuer must furnish and make public under the laws of the jurisdiction in which the registrant is incorporated, domiciled or legally organized (the registrants home country), or under the rules of the home country exchange on which the registrants securities are traded, as long as the report or other document is not a press release, is not required to be and has not been distributed to the registrants security holders, and, if discussing a material event, has already been the subject of a Form 6-K submission or other Commission filing on EDGAR.
Indicate by check mark whether the registrant by furnishing the information contained in this Form is also thereby furnishing the information to the Commission pursuant to Rule 12g3-2(b) under the Securities Exchange Act of 1934.
Yes |
No |
If Yes is marked, indicate below the file number assigned to the registrant in connection with Rule 12g3-2(b): 82-.
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CREDIT SUISSE GROUP | |
Paradeplatz 8 P.O. Box CH-8070 Zurich Switzerland |
Telephone +41 844 33 88 44 Fax +41 44 333 88 77 media.relations@credit-suisse.com
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Media Release
Credit Suisse Group completes review related to revaluation of certain asset-backed securities positions in its CDO trading business
Final valuation reduction of CHF 2.86 billion is CHF 200 million less than previously estimated.
Valuation reduction of CHF 1.18 billion (CHF 789 million net of tax) relating to the fourth quarter of 2007, and CHF 1.68 billion relating to the first quarter of 2008.
Revised income from continuing operations for 2007 of CHF 7.8 billion is down 6% from the record level in 2006.
With regard to 2008, including valuation reductions, Credit Suisse was profitable through the end of February. In light of the difficult market conditions in March, at this time, Credit Suisse believes it is unlikely to be profitable in the first quarter.
Zurich, March 20, 2008 Credit Suisse Group today announced the completion of an internal review related to the revaluation of certain asset-backed securities positions in the Collateralized Debt Obligations (CDO) trading business within its Investment Banking division.
Credit Suisse recorded a total valuation reduction of CHF 2.86 billion (USD 2.65 billion), of which CHF 1.18 billion is related to the fourth quarter of 2007, and CHF 1.68 billion to the first quarter of 2008. Net income for Credit Suisse for the fourth quarter and full-year 2007 has been revised by CHF 789 million to CHF 540 million, and CHF 7,760 million, respectively.
Reflecting the good performance for 2007 and the strong capitalization with a year-end BIS tier 1 ratio of 11.1%, the proposal for a CHF 2.50 per share dividend to the shareholders meeting remains unchanged.
With regard to 2008, including these valuation reductions, Credit Suisse was profitable through the end of February. However, in light of the difficult market conditions in March, at this time, Credit Suisse believes it is unlikely to be profitable in the first quarter.
Following its revaluation review, Credit Suisse has determined that the pricing errors were, in part, the result of intentional misconduct by a small number of traders. These employees have been terminated or have been suspended and are in the process of being disciplined under local employment law. The review also found that the controls put in place to prevent or detect this activity were not effective.
The Executive Board of Credit Suisse will oversee a series of remedial actions:
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Reassignment of the trading responsibility for the CDO trading business and enhancement of related control processes. |
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Improvement of the effectiveness of supervisory reviews and formalization of escalation procedures. |
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Media Release |
March 20, 2008 Page 2/3 |
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Improvement of the coordination among trading, product control and risk management and addition of further resources. |
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Improvement of training and enhancement of tools and other technical resources available to our employees. |
Brady Dougan, Chief Executive Officer of Credit Suisse Group, said: This incident is unacceptable and it does not represent the high standard of Credit Suisse. Our overall control framework remains sound. We are taking strong action to remediate and move forward. Mr. Dougan added: Credit Suisse continues to be well positioned through the challenging and volatile markets that have existed since the middle of 2007. We are one of the worlds best capitalized banks, and our funding is conservative. Our Private Banking business continues to perform very well. Client momentum across our businesses is strong. We benefit from our diverse mix of businesses, our extensive global reach and our integrated banking model. I am confident in our ability to navigate current market conditions and deliver long-term value to our shareholders.
2007 Annual Report available online from today
Credit Suisse Group today published its 2007 Annual Report (including the Form 20-F filed with the US SEC) online in English at www.credit-suisse.com/annualreporting. The Annual Report will be available in print in English on April 4, 2008.
The Annual Report contains a detailed presentation of Credit Suisses strategy, annual financial statements for 2007 with management discussion and analysis, risk and treasury management and corporate governance.
Information
Media Relations Credit Suisse, telephone +41 844 33 88 44, media.relations@credit-suisse.com
Investor Relations Credit Suisse, telephone +41 44 333 71 49, investor.relations@credit-suisse.com
Audio webcast and telephone conference for analysts and the media today
Date: |
Thursday, March 20, 2008 | |||
Time: |
09:00 CET / 08:00 GMT / 04:00 EST | |||
Speaker: |
Brady W. Dougan, CEO of Credit Suisse Group The presentation will be held in English. | |||
Slides: |
www.credit-suisse.com/results | |||
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Audio webcast: |
www.credit-suisse.com/results | |||
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Dial-in: |
Switzerland: |
+41 44 580 48 72 |
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Europe: |
+44 1452 561 158 |
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US: |
+1 866 874 0926 |
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Reference: |
Credit Suisse Group Conference Call | ||
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We recommend that you dial in 10-15 minutes before the start of the conference. | |||
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Q&A session: |
You will have the opportunity to ask questions during the telephone conference. | |||
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Media Release |
March 20, 2008 Page 3/3 |
Replay: |
Audio replay available approximately 2 hours after the event at: | ||
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www.credit-suisse.com/results | ||
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Telephone replay available approximately 2 hours after the event on +41 44 580 34 56 | ||
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(Switzerland), +44 1452 55 00 00 (Europe) and +1 866 247 4222 (US); | ||
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conference ID: 38666693# |
Credit Suisse Group
As one of the worlds leading banks, Credit Suisse provides its clients with private banking, investment banking and asset management services worldwide. Credit Suisse offers advisory services, comprehensive solutions and innovative products to companies, institutional clients and high-net-worth private clients globally, as well as retail clients in Switzerland. Credit Suisse is active in over 50 countries and employs approximately 48,000 people. Credit Suisses parent company, Credit Suisse Group, is a leading global financial services company headquartered in Zurich. Credit Suisse Groups registered shares (CSGN) are listed in Switzerland and, in the form of American Depositary Shares (CS), in New York. Further information about Credit Suisse can be found at www.credit-suisse.com.
Cautionary statement regarding forward-looking information
This press release contains statements that constitute forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act. In addition, in the future we, and others on our behalf, may make statements that constitute forward-looking statements. Such forwardlooking statements may include, without limitation, statements relating to the following:
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our plans, objectives or goals; |
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our future economic performance or prospects; |
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the potential effect on our future performance of certain contingencies; and |
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assumptions underlying any such statements. |
Words such as believes, anticipates, expects, intends and plans and similar expressions are intended to identify forward-looking statements but are not the exclusive means of identifying such statements. We do not intend to update these forward-looking statements except as may be required by applicable securities laws. By their very nature, forward-looking statements involve inherent risks and uncertainties, both general and specific, and risks exist that predictions, forecasts, projections and other outcomes described or implied in forwardlooking statements will not be achieved. We caution you that a number of important factors could cause results to differ materially from the plans, objectives, expectations, estimates and intentions expressed in such forward-looking statements. These factors include:
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the ability to maintain sufficient liquidity and access capital markets; |
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market and interest rate fluctuations; |
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the strength of the global economy in general and the strength of the economies of the countries in which we conduct our operations, in particular the risk of a US or global economic downturn in 2008; |
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the direct and indirect impacts of continuing deterioration of subprime and other real estate markets; |
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further adverse rating actions by credit rating agencies in respect of structured credit products or other credit-related exposures or of monoline insurers; |
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the ability of counterparties to meet their obligations to us; |
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the effects of, and changes in, fiscal, monetary, trade and tax policies, and currency fluctuations; |
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political and social developments, including war, civil unrest or terrorist |
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activity; |
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the possibility of foreign exchange controls, expropriation, nationalization or confiscation of assets in countries in which we conduct our operations; |
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operational factors such as systems failure, human error, or the failure to implement procedures properly; |
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actions taken by regulators with respect to our business and practices in one or more of the countries in which we conduct our operations; |
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the effects of changes in laws, regulations or accounting policies or practices; |
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competition in geographic and business areas in which we conduct our operations; |
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the ability to retain and recruit qualified personnel; |
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the ability to maintain our reputation and promote our brand; |
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the ability to increase market share and control expenses; |
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technological changes; |
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the timely development and acceptance of our new products and services and the perceived overall value of these products and services by users; |
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acquisitions, including the ability to integrate acquired businesses successfully, and divestitures, including the ability to sell non-core assets; |
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the adverse resolution of litigation and other contingencies; and |
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our success at managing the risks involved in the foregoing. |
We caution you that the foregoing list of important factors is not exclusive. When evaluating forward-looking statements, you should carefully consider the foregoing factors and other uncertainties and events, as well as the information set forth in our Form 20-F Item 3 Key Information Risk Factors.
Brady Dougan
Chief Executive Officer
Re-pricing of certain asset-backed
securities positions in
CDO trading business
Zurich
March 20, 2008
Cautionary statement
Cautionary statement regarding forward-looking and non-GAAP information
This presentation contains forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities
Litigation Reform Act of 1995.
Forward-looking statements involve inherent risks and uncertainties, and we might not be able to
achieve the predictions, forecasts, projections and other outcomes we describe or imply in forward-
looking
statements.
A number of important factors could cause results to differ materially from the plans, objectives,
expectations, estimates and intentions we express in these forward-looking statements, including
those
we identify in "Risk Factors" in our Annual Report on Form 20-F for the fiscal year ended December
31, 2007 filed with the US Securities and Exchange Commission, and in other public filings and press
releases.
We do not intend to update these forward-looking statements except as may be required by applicable
laws.
This presentation contains non-GAAP financial information. Information needed to reconcile such non-
GAAP financial information to the most directly comparable measures under GAAP can be found
in
Credit Suisse Group's revised fourth quarter report 2007 and in our Annual Report on Form 20-F for
the fiscal year ended December 31, 2007.
Slide 2
Summary
Final valuation reductions of CHF 2.86 bn or USD 2.65 bn
(vs. USD 2.85 bn estimate announced on February 19)
Valuation reductions of CHF 1.18 bn relating to 4Q07 and CHF 1.68 bn
relating to first six weeks of 1Q08
Revised net income for 2007 of CHF 7.8 bn, down 6% from record income
from continuing operations in 2006
Pricing errors on certain CDO positions were in part due to intentional trader
misconduct
Sound overall control framework, but controls in place to detect this misconduct
were not effective in this case
Re-pricing limited to CDO trading business
Slide 3
Financial impact of valuation reductions
CHF m
Valuation
reduction
impact
As presented on
February 12
Revised
4Q07
2007
As presented on
February 12
Revised
nm = not meaningful
Slide 4
Investment Banking
Net revenues
(1,177)
3,918
2,741
20,135
18,958
Pre-tax income
(1,177)
328
(849)
4,826
3,649
Group (Core Results)
Pre-tax income
(1,177)
1,380
203
10,325
9,148
Income taxes
(388)
(15)
(403)
1,638
1,250
Net income
(789)
1,329
540
8,549
7,760
Tier 1 ratio in %
(0.3)
11.4
11.1
11.4
11.1
ROE in %
nm
12.4
5.1
19.8
18.0
CDO gross and net exposures
Valuation changes in 2007
ABS & indices marked down largely in higher-
rated structured assets
Synthetic ABS CDOs marked down for spread
consistency with ABS bonds
Cash CDOs marked down to reflect declines
in underlying collateral; valuation changed to a
distressed/net asset value approach
Valuation changes in 2008
Lower values for ABS & indices from market
declines and basis risks
Lower synthetic CDO valuations based on
calibration to current market conditions; reflects
wider market spreads, recovery rates near 0%
and correlations near 100%
Note: Positions related to US subprime. Sensitivity
changes include impacts from model parameter, duration and FX changes as well
as position changes from trading activities post year-end.
Exposure (CHF bn)
Long
Short
Net
Slide 5
YE2007 as presented on Feb.12
14.7
(12.0)
2.7
Valuation changes
ABS & indices
(0.5)
(0.5)
Synthetic ABS CDOs
(0.1)
(0.1)
Cash CDOs
(0.5)
(0.5)
YE2007 revised
13.6
(12.0)
1.6
Valuation changes
ABS & indices
(0.7)
(0.7)
Synthetic ABS CDOs
(0.3)
(0.4)
(0.7)
Cash CDOs
0.0
0.0
Sensitivity changes
3.1
(0.9)
2.2
As of February 2008
15.7
(13.3)
2.4
Remedial action and consequences
Reassign trading responsibility for the impacted CDO trading business
and enhance related control processes
Improve the effectiveness of supervisory reviews and formalizing
escalation procedures
Improve the co-ordination among trading, product control and risk
management
Slide 6
Outlook
Managing positions more conservatively than most
Although profitable through to the end of February, in light of difficult market
conditions in March, we believe we are unlikely to be profitable in 1Q08
Benefiting from diverse business mix and global reach
Seeing strong client momentum in a number of our businesses
Integrated banking model provides opportunities to drive growth and enhance
efficiency
Slide 7
Fourth-Quarter and
Full-Year Results 2007
Zurich
Revised on March 20, 2008
Cautionary statement
Cautionary statement regarding forward-looking and non-GAAP information
This presentation contains forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities
Litigation Reform Act of 1995.
Forward-looking statements involve inherent risks and uncertainties, and we might not be able to
achieve the predictions, forecasts, projections and other outcomes we describe or imply in forward-
looking
statements.
A number of important factors could cause results to differ materially from the plans, objectives,
expectations, estimates and intentions we express in these forward-looking statements, including
those
we identify in "Risk Factors" in our Annual Report on Form 20-F for the fiscal year ended December
31, 2007 filed with the US Securities and Exchange Commission, and in other public filings and press
releases.
We do not intend to update these forward-looking statements except as may be required by applicable
laws.
This presentation contains non-GAAP financial information. Information needed to reconcile such non-
GAAP financial information to the most directly comparable measures under GAAP can be found
in
Credit Suisse Group's revised fourth quarter report 2007 and in our Annual Report on Form 20-F for
the fiscal year ended December 31, 2007.
Slide 2
Fourth-quarter and full-year 2007 results
Renato Fassbind, Chief Financial Officer
Risk management update
Wilson Ervin, Chief Risk Officer
Strategy review and outlook
Brady W. Dougan, Chief Executive Officer
Slide 3
34.9
35.0
8.3
7.8
2006
2007
Net revenues
Income from continuing operations
Stable results despite challenging environment
Record Private Banking results
Investment Banking navigated relatively
well through markets, despite significantly
lower results in structured products and
leveraged finance
Continuity of management and strong
momentum in client franchises
Strong capital base allowing for
increased dividend
1) for Core Results, i.e. excluding results from minority interests without significant economic interest
2) Income from discontinued operations of CHF 3,070 m (Winterthur)
Revenues and income
CHF bn
1)
+0%
(6)%
2)
Slide 4
Full-year performance affected by challenging markets in the
second half of the year
4Q07
CHF m, except where indicated
1) Includes net credit of CHF 83 million in 4Q07 from the re-measurement of uncertain tax positions and a benefit of CHF 315 million in 3Q07
due to an assessment that previously unrecognized
deferred tax assets would be realizable
2) for Core Results, i.e. excluding results from minority interests without significant economic interest
Change in
% vs.
2006
2007
Change in
% vs.
4Q06
2007
Change in
% vs.
3Q07
4Q06
3Q07
4Q07
2006
Slide 5
1)
2)
Income from continuing operations
540
(59)
(79)
7,760
(6)
Diluted EPS from
continuing operations in CHF
0.49
(58)
(79)
6.96
(3)
Return on equity
5.1%
12.4%
44.1%
18.0%
27.5%
Cost/income ratio
93.8%
78.6%
65.7%
73.1%
69.6%
4,596
5,951
5,486
508
3,649
354
Full-year pre-tax income benefited from diversified earnings mix
1) Before credits from insurance settlements for litigation and related costs of CHF 508 m
2) Before realignment costs of CHF 225 m 3) Before losses of CHF 920
m from our money market business
Asset Management
Major losses from money
market funds
Strong performance
across most businesses
3)
(30%)
733
1,274
(39)%
CHF m
Investment Banking
Most business lines with
improved performance but
significantly lower results in
leveraged finance and
structured products
1)
2006
2007
+19%
Private Banking
Profitable growth and
momentum in hiring
Continued international
expansion
2006
2007
2006
2007
2)
Slide 6
Well balanced global footprint delivering consistent earnings
+23%
+15%
-25%
+11%
Americas
EMEA
APAC
Switzerland
2007 net revenues by region
in CHF bn and up/down in % vs. 2006
Well balanced contribution
Strong growth in Asia, but also
Switzerland and EMEA
4.0bn
10.4bn
9.6bn
11.1bn
2007 pre-tax income by region
APAC = Asia / Pacific, EMEA = Europe, Middle East and Africa
Based on Core Results before Corporate Center
+31%
+19%
-92%
+50%
Switzerland a growing profit anchor
Strong growth in Asia and EMEA
1.4bn
4.7bn
0.3bn
3.1bn
Slide 7
74
61
74
79
60
64
47
45
46
29
25
25
Cost/income ratios in 2007
Cost/income ratio
%, based on Core Results
2007
2005
1) Excluding charge to increase the reserve for private litigation of CHF 960 m and charge of CHF 630 m for change in accounting for share-based compensation
2) 2006 excluding credits received from insurance settlements for litigation costs of CHF 508 m
3) 2006 excluding business realignment costs of CHF 225 m
4) excluding losses from money market business of CHF 920 m
IB
PB
AM
2006
2007
2006
1)
2) 3)
2)
3) 4)
4)
Compensation
and benefits
76
70
Other operating
expenses
71
Slide 8
Record full-year results in Wealth Management while
continuing to invest in growth markets
Strong results despite challenging markets
Solid revenue momentum: record in
4Q07 and for 2007
Record 2007 pre-tax income; margin at
mid-term target level
Net new assets of CHF 50.2 bn in 2007
with recently improved momentum in Asia
Strong and healthy client base
Pre-tax income
CHF m
4Q06
3Q07
4Q07
2006
2007
+20%
+8%
811
976
900
+19%
3,865
3,237
Slide 9
Pre-tax income margin in %
39.6
40.3
39.0
38.4
39.4
Strong growth in mature markets and increased presence in
key emerging markets
Japan onshore in
preparation
China onshore
established
Australia onshore
launched
Implementing
India onshore
Gulf: leverage
integrated bank
Continued
investment in
Russia
Mexico onshore in
preparation
Expanded presence
in Brazil (Hedging-
Griffo)
Started turnaround
in the US
Accelerated
growth in Western
Europe
2004
2007
Goal
2010
Relationship managers
at year-end
Opened 10 new
locations in 4 new
countries during 2007
2,540
3,140
4,100
Slide 10
+200 p.a.
+330 p.a.
Wealth Management growing recurring revenues
Net revenues
CHF m
4Q06
3Q07
4Q07
2006
2007
+29%
2,077
2,344
2,476
+23%
8,181
9,583
+7%
+2%
Higher full-year recurring revenues
net interest income due to lower
funding costs
commissions and fees, including fees
from managed investment products
Full-year transaction-based revenues
increased mainly due to higher brokerage
and product issuing fees
+17%
Transaction-based
Recurring
Slide 11
Recurring revenues as % of net revenues
63.5
66.7
64.5
69.9
69.6
71
77
70
75
78
41
39
43
41
34
81
72
36
38
Strong full-year and 4Q07 gross margin and good asset inflows
Wealth Management assets under management
CHF bn
Net new asset growth on AuM
Full-year 2007 6.4%
30.09.07
31.12.07
FX, acqui-
sitions and
other
Net new
assets
834.7
+12.0
(3.6)
Wealth Management gross margin
4Q06
1Q07
2Q07
3Q07
4Q07
113
118
109
115
2007
2006
Basis points
112
112
117
(4.5)
Market and
performance
838.6
Transaction-based
Recurring
Slide 12
Strong profitability in Corporate & Retail Banking continues
Pre-tax income
CHF m
4Q06
3Q07
4Q07
2006
2007
+21%
332
389
401
+19%
1,359
1,621
Record net revenues and pre-tax income in
2007
Interest income benefited from
higher liability volumes and margins
partially offset by lower asset margins
Non-interest income increased significantly
due to higher commissions and fees
Continued favorable credit environment;
no significant deterioration envisaged
Slide 13
Pre-tax income margin in %
38.9
41.2
37.1
39.7
40.0
Investment Banking remained profitable for the year although
affected by market dislocation
Record year in equity trading and
advisory/underwriting
Fixed income with mixed results
Well contained write-downs for
the full-year 2007
Pre-tax income
CHF m
2,342
6
(849)
5,951
3,649
1)
1) Excluding CHF 508 m of credits received from insurance settlements for litigation and related costs
(39%)
4Q06
3Q07
4Q07
2006
2007
Slide 14
Pre-tax income margin in %
29.1
19.2
38.5
0.3
(31.0)
Record full-year equity trading
Equity trading
CHF m
4Q06
3Q07
4Q07
1,596
1,037
2,068
+32%
5,881
7,751
2006
2007
4Q07 trading with strong performances in global cash, prime services and derivatives
Higher level of equity issuance, recovering from weak 3Q07
Strong market position in IPOs to #3 in 2007
Equity underwriting
CHF m
4Q06
3Q07
4Q07
484
327
393
+14%
1,270
1,444
2006
2007
Slide 15
Fixed income trading conditions much more challenging
Debt underwriting
CHF m
4Q06
3Q07
4Q07
686
85
341
(16)%
2,206
1,864
2006
2007
Fixed income trading
CHF m
2,755
514
(484)
(37)%
9,598
6,084
4Q06
3Q07
4Q07
2006
2007
Writedowns in structured products and leveraged finance in 2H07
4Q07 with solid performance in interest rate products, fixed income proprietary
trading and foreign exchange
Slide 16
6,015
7,102
5,737
214
Strong fixed income revenues outside most affected areas
1) Investment banking fixed income revenues comprising of all primary and secondary fixed income businesses;
numbers include certain fixed income revenues reported in other
2) Structured products
includes revenues from origination and trading activities within CMBS, RMBS, ABS and CDO businesses
Fixed income net revenues
+18%
2006
2007
18% increase in revenues before
leveraged finance and structured products
Strong performance in a number of areas,
e.g. rates, derivatives, emerging markets
and foreign exchange
Weaker revenues from commodities and
US investment grade
CHF m
Leveraged finance and
structured products
Other FID businesses
Slide 17
2)
1)
Record underwriting and advisory results; up 3% from 2006
Advisory and other fees
CHF m
4Q06
3Q07
4Q07
785
440
670
+19%
1,900
2,253
2006
2007
Underwriting
CHF m
341
+14%
2,206
1,864
4Q06
3Q07
4Q07
2006
2007
Weaker performance in leveraged finance
and structured products business
Higher level of equity issuance compared
to weak 3Q07
High level of global M&A activity
Strong advisory and placement fees in
4Q07
#6 in announced M&A in 2007
1,270
1,444
(16)%
393
686
484
85
327
Equity underwriting
Debt underwriting
Slide 18
3,085
3,436
3,585
3,435
56.5
55.5
50.1
53.8
Continued focus on cost management in Investment Banking
2006
2005
Compensation/revenue ratio in %
G&A expenses in CHF m
Disciplined approach to compensation
G&A expenses at 2005 level and
down compared to 2006
Systems and processes in place to
continue driving efficiency gains
Lean organization and increased
flexibility of our cost base positions us
well in these markets
Trends in 2007
1) Ratio would have been higher excluding revenues from fair value adjustments on
Credit Suisse debt
2) Excluding charge to increase the reserve for certain private litigation of CHF 960 m
3) Excluding credits received from insurance settlements for litigation of CHF 508 m
(4%)
2007
2004
2006
2005
2007
2004
2)
3)
1)
Slide 19
Improvement in Asset Management masked by losses from
money market funds
Pre-tax income
CHF m
4Q06
3Q07
4Q07
2006
2007
89
45
(247)
733
1,274
1) Before realignment costs
2) Before losses from money market funds
527
2)
2)
2)
191
2)
122
1)
354
1)
508
Strong increases in underlying revenues
(+22%) and pre-tax income (+74%), along
with contained costs (+5%)
Strong results in alternative investments
Additional CHF 774 m losses on securities
purchased from funds in 4Q07
Purchased securities reduced by 58%
from over CHF 9 bn to under CHF 4 bn as
securities matured and sold
Money market funds now stabilized with
good liquidity and no material exposures to
subprime, SIVs or CDOs
(30%)
Slide 20
Pre-tax income margin in %
17.8
36.4
12.1
25.8
46.7
2,359
646
681
2,816
823
Strong revenue development
Net revenues before losses from money market funds
CHF m
1) Fixed income and money market, equity, balanced, alternative investments and other
2006
2007
4Q06
3Q07
4Q07
Asset management and
administrative fees 1)
Private equity and other
investment-related gains
+19%
305
502
681
92
59
+36%
+21%
Slide 21
Gross margin on AuM before private equity gains and
losses from money market funds in bp
37
39
39
37
47
14%
16%
30%
40%
(27.9)
Assets under management with strong inflows in alternative
investments
Assets under management
CHF bn
Asset Manage-
ment division
Balanced
Fixed income
Equity
Alternative
investments
Total division includes 'other' category with CHF 25.1 bn in AuM, net new assets of CHF (0.3) bn for 4Q07 and CHF 0.3 bn for 2007, and 2007 revenues of CHF 219 m
Net new assets
(1.7)
(3.3)
(1.4)
(24.9)
Revenue split by asset class
4Q07
2007, before private equity gains and losses from
money market funds and excluding other revenues
(28.4)
(5.1)
+6.7
+4.7
+3.6
2007
+9.7
+25.4
Money market
Fixed income &
money markets
Balanced
Equity
Alternative
investments
CHF bn
Slide 22
47
101
107
137
270
67
112
165
284
670
691
38
Year-end 2007
Year-end 2006
233
254
296
299
312
11.1
12.0
13.0
13.9
11.3
Maintained strong capital position
Cash dividend proposal of CHF 2.50 per
share (vs. CHF 2.24 in 2006)
Ahead of plan with 51% completed of
current CHF 8 bn buyback program
May adjust buyback activity in light of
market conditions
4Q07 RWA increase largely due to higher
market risk equivalents, driven by VaR
increases
Our 4Q07 tier 1 ratio would have been
approximately 120 basis points lower
under Basel II
2006
2Q07
4Q07
2005
Tier 1 capital in CHF bn
26.3 35.1 38.6 35.9 34.7
+23%
+4%
3Q07
Risk-weighted assets in CHF bn
BIS Tier 1 ratio in %
Slide 23
Reverse
repo
325
Liquid assets
601
Trading liabilities
202
LT debt
160
Loans
230
Other
205
Capital & other
224
Deposits
287
ST liabilities
159
Conservative Asset/Liability structure
Funding by asset category, year-end 2007 in CHF bn
Assets
Capital and
liabilities
Repo
329
1,361
1,361
Funded conservatively
Strong deposit base: long-term debt available to
fund short-term trading book
Liquid assets include CHF 60 bn of 'prime liquid'
positions accepted by central banks
Benefited from 'flight to quality' during 2H07
adding medium-term funding
Integrated bank enables efficient access to retail
funding and liquid markets globally
All internal funding priced at market levels to
ensure correct disciplines
125%
coverage
Slide 24
Well diversified unsecured funding mix
Unsecured funding by type/product
Retail &
private banking
deposits 1)
47%
Long-term
debt 2)
27%
Institutional
deposits 3)
26%
Well diversified funding distribution by client
type and product
Client deposits increased 15%,
or CHF 37 bn, during 2007
Centralized funding function covering both
CDs and long-term borrowing ensures
optimum efficiency in global market access
Total:
CHF 606 bn
1) Time, demand and saving deposits
2) Structured notes, mid and long-term Bonds and subordinated debt
3) Bank deposits, CDs, corporates
Slide 25
Summary
Stable results despite challenging environment
Growth momentum and strong profitability in Private Banking
further investing in the international expansion
net new asset momentum in Asia and increased global hiring
Maneuvered well through difficult environment in Investment Banking
avoided excessive exposures; losses well contained
most business lines outside affected areas with improved performance
Strong performance across most Asset Management businesses, but
performance affected by losses on purchased money market securities
Strong capital and conservative liquidity management
Slide 26
Fourth-quarter and full-year 2007 results
Renato Fassbind, Chief Financial Officer
Risk management update
Wilson Ervin, Chief Risk Officer
Strategy review and outlook
Brady W. Dougan, Chief Executive Officer
Slide 27
Investment Banking: Overview of key sectors
Business area
Change
Exposures (CHF bn)
1) All non-agency business, including higher quality segments; global total
2) Positions related to US subprime; total IB subprime is CHF 3.2 bn (across RMBS & CDOs)
3) In addition to trading hedges embedded in US subprime RMBS & CDO trading.
4Q07
4Q07
(231) m
To manage risk in the above activities,
we held CHF 27.1 bn of index hedges in non-investment
grade, crossover credit and mortgage indices 3)
. We also carry various single name hedges.
Origination-
based
(exposures
shown gross)
Trading-
based
(exposures
shown net)
2007
(835) m
3Q07
Writedowns (Net, CHF bn)
Slide 28
1)
2)
Leveraged finance
Unfunded commitments
25.3
52.3
(52%)
Funded positions
10.7
6.3
70%
Commercial mortgages
25.9
35.9
(28%)
(384) m
(554) m
Residential mortgages
8.7
16.3
(47%)
(480) m
(513) m
of which US subprime
1.6
3.9
(59%)
CDO trading
1.6
2.3
(30%)
(1,341) m
(1,285) m
Total writedowns
(2,436) m
(3,187) m
Leveraged finance exposures
Leading franchise with strong underwriting,
distribution and trading capability
Unfunded commitments reduced by 52% over
4Q07; total exposure down 39%
All positions are fair valued based on market
levels (no accrual book). Exposures valued at
a weighted-average discount to par of 6.3% at
year end
Significant amount of index and single-name
hedges in place
Gross exposure 1) (CHF bn)
Roll-forward (CHF bn)
1) Non-investment grade exposures, at fair value
4Q07
3Q07
Unfunded
Funded
(CHF m)
4Q07
2007
Slide 29
Unfunded commitments
25.3
52.3
Funded positions
10.7
6.3
Equity bridges
0.3
0.6
Net writedowns
(231)
(835)
of which gross writedowns
(670)
(1,469)
Exposures 3Q07
52.3
6.3
New
3.6
Fundings
(16.2)
16.2
Sales, terminations
and writedowns
(14.4)
(11.8)
Exposures 4Q07
25.3
10.7
Leveraged finance portfolio analysis
Portfolio is largely with large-cap companies
with stable cash flows, substantial assets and
multi-billion dollar enterprise values
US bias reflects market leadership with
financial sponsors / LBO deals
The largest 5 commitments represent 60% of
the portfolio; remainder spread among 41
deals with an average size of CHF 356 m
Underwriting procedures require both market
approval and independent credit sign-off
Little exposure to highly cyclical industries and
no exposure to home building or auto sector
Total exposure by geography
Asia
1%
Europe
14%
US
85%
Exposure by industry sector
Specialty
chemicals 21%
Electronics 7%
Energy 9%
Entertainment &
leisure 13%
Other 13%
Publishing
& printing 11%
Services &
leasing 10%
Telecom 16%
Slide 30
Commercial mortgage (CMBS) exposures
Leading franchise that underwrites and
distributes mortgages backed by commercial
real estate
Gross exposure reduced by 28% during 4Q07
All positions carried at fair value, taking into
consideration prices for cash trading and
relevant indices (e.g. CMBX), as well as
specific asset fundamentals
Significant amount of mortgage-related index
hedges in place
(CHF bn)
4Q07
3Q07
Roll-forward of exposure (CHF bn)
(CHF m)
4Q07
2007
1) Includes both loans in the warehouse as well as securities still in syndication
Slide 31
1)
Warehouse exposure
25.9
35.9
Exposure 3Q07
35.9
New loan originations
2.3
Sales, terminations, writedowns
(12.3)
Exposure 4Q07
25.9
Net writedowns
(384)
(554)
of which gross writedowns
(737)
(1,237)
Commercial mortgage (CMBS) portfolio analysis
Total exposure by geography
Asia
10%
Continental
Europe
48%
US
40%
Exposure by loan type
Office
44%
Retail 15%
Multifamily
11%
Other 9%
Healthcare 6%
Hotel 14%
Industrial 1%
Weighted average loan-to-value (LTV) ratio
Europe
US
Asia
Total
72
60
70
68
%
CMBS exposures are fundamentally different
from residential mortgage exposures
Majority of our portfolio is secured by high
quality, income-producing real estate
Development loans are less than 5% of our
portfolio and have an average LTV of 51%
Portfolio is well-diversified with solid LTV ratios
UK
2%
Slide 32
Residential mortgage (RMBS) exposure and portfolio analysis
Reduced origination activity early in crisis
RMBS re-positioned largely as a trading business;
exposures are managed on a net basis
US subprime positions reduced by 59% in 4Q07;
positions also reduced in higher quality credit
sectors (Alt-A and Prime)
Exposures are fair valued based on market levels
Benchmark price testing: valuations for our
subprime positions (across both RMBS and
CDOs) are consistent with ABX index levels
Significant amount of additional index hedges
(CHF m)
4Q07
2007
Net exposure (CHF bn)
4Q07
3Q07
1) All non-agency business, including higher quality segments; global total
1)
Slide 33
Net writedowns
(480)
(513)
US subprime
1.6
3.9
US Alt-A
2.8
7.0
US prime
1.4
1.6
European/Asian
2.9
3.7
(CHF m)
4Q07
2007
CDO trading exposures and portfolio analysis
Exposures are relatively modest in industry
context
Credit Suisse was a market leader in 2000 to
2003, but reduced CDO origination activity in
recent years (ranked 11th in 2007)
Now positioned largely as a trading business
and actively managed
Reduced originations and active hedging
enabled us to navigate challenging 2007
markets
Net exposure 1) (CHF bn)
4Q07
3Q07
1) Positions related to US subprime
Exposure detail 4Q07 1) (CHF bn)
Slide 34
Net writedowns
(1,341)
(1,285)
ABS & indices
3.2
4.3
Synthetic ABS CDOs
(1.1)
(1.9)
Cash CDOs
(0.5)
(0.1)
Total exposure
1.6
2.3
Gross long exposures
13.6
Gross short exposures
(12.0)
Net exposures 4Q07
1.6
Other focus sectors
We do not rely on monolines in our subprime hedging, in either RMBS
or CDO trading
Gross credit exposures of approx. CHF 2 bn with monolines are more
than offset by combination of reinsurance, other hedges and trading
positions
Monolines
SIVs
Credit Suisse does not sponsor any SIVs
Investment bank has CHF 930 m of gross exposure
(mostly undrawn liquidity facilities)
SIV = Structured Investment Vehicles
Slide 35
Asset Management: money market fund repositioning
Gross exposure (CHF bn)
4Q07
CHF m
4Q07
2007
Responded to highly stressed market conditions
affecting money market funds
Bought CHF 9.3 bn of securities from its third party
funds onto Credit Suisse balance sheet
Actions taken to maintain liquidity and to protect client
franchise
Money market funds are now operating normally
No material exposure to SIVs, CDOs or US subprime
Purchased securities caused significant losses
Valuations impacted as mortgage market stress
began to affect higher rated securities
Positions are marked-to-market, and carry typical
discounts to par of 15% to 20%
Portfolio reduced by 58% in 4Q07 and we continue to
reduce/hedge positions
Securities transferred to bank balance sheet
Roll-forward of exposure (CHF bn)
Slide 36
Structured Investment Vehicles (SIV)
2,481
Asset Backed Securities (ABS)
1,026
of which subprime-related
419
Corporates / banks
414
Total
3,921
Losses
(774)
(920)
Purchased in 2H07
9,286
Sold or matured
(4,445)
Losses
(920)
Exposure as of year-end 2007
3,921
Value-at-Risk (VaR)
Broad measure of trading risk, calculated in line with
regulatory requirements
Based on historical market data (backward looking)
As 2H07 market swings were absorbed into the
model, the VaR for the
same positions increased by
almost 2x (vs. pre-crisis calibration at mid-year)
When adjusted for model effects, 4Q07 VaR is
roughly flat vs. 2Q07 and up 21% vs. 3Q07
Actual trading P&L was more volatile than predicted
by VaR in fall 2007 (until new market volatility was
incorporated by the model)
As these limitations of VaR are well known, we do not
use VaR as part of our planning for stress events
Reported VaR 1) in CHF m
1) Average one-day 99% VaR;
Does not reflect the valuation reductions from revaluing certain ABS positions in our CDO trading business, as we do not consider
the impact of these valuation
reductions to be material to our economic capital, position risk, VaR or related trends
Slide 37
4Q07
176
3Q07
95
2Q07
110
4Q06
70
Private
Banking
Corporate
and Retail
Lending
(14%)
International
lending &
counterparty
exposure
(23%)
Emerging
markets
(12%)
Fixed
income
trading
(14%)
Equity
trading &
investments
(17%)
Real estate
&
structured
assets
(20%)
Economic Risk Capital (ERC)
Proprietary risk model based on long-term
stress market analysis
Captures all positions on a consistent basis
(incl. market, credit and investment risks)
Assumptions generally held up well, even
vs. 2007 stress levels
ERC declined 10% in 4Q07 as IB worked
down key positions; risk capital coverage
remains strong
Disclosed on quarterly basis to show
portfolio trends
Helped us take action in certain portfolios
(e.g. Leveraged finance) in early 2007
ERC risk breakdown at 4Q07
ERC a broader view of risk
Note: Does not reflect the valuation reductions from revaluing certain ABS positions in our CDO
trading business, as we do not consider the impact of these valuation reductions to be
material
to our economic capital, position risk, VaR or related trends.
Slide 38
Agenda
Fourth-quarter and full-year 2007 results
Renato Fassbind, Chief Financial Officer
Risk management update
Wilson Ervin, Chief Risk Officer
Strategy review and outlook
Brady W. Dougan, Chief Executive Officer
Slide 39
29.2
34.8
Stable Group revenues despite lower contribution from
leveraged finance and structured products
34.9
Credit Suisse net revenue analysis 1)
1) for Core Results 2) Structured products includes revenues from origination and trading activities within CMBS, RMBS, ABS and CDO businesses
Leveraged finance and
structured products 2)
Other Group revenues
35.0
2006
+19%
2007
5.7
0.2
CHF bn
Slide 40
Integrated banking model delivers CHF 5.9 bn of collaboration
revenues in 2007
Investment
Banking
Asset
Management
Private
Banking
CHF 0.5 bn
+54%
CHF 2.3 bn
+43%
CHF 3.1 bn
+5%
2006
4.9 bn
Collaboration revenues
2007
2008
5.9 bn
+ 20% p.a.
7.0 bn
2010
> 10 bn
2009
8.5 bn
Slide 41
Key collaboration initiatives
Examples of initiatives
Private
Banking
Asset
Management
Investment
Banking
Investment
Banking
Private
Banking
Asset
Management
Asset referrals
Structured Investment Products
UHNW client solutions
Increase penetration of Managed Investment Products
Product innovation
Private Equity/Hedge Fund distribution
Alternative investments distribution via securities business
Pension / Insurance solutions
Fund linked products grow scope outside of EMEA
Hedge Fund referrals
Slide 42
Efficiency improvement of 6 percentage points by 2010
Revenues
Costs
C/I ratio
C/I ratio
19.0
15.0
79%
70%
13.5
8.1
60%
60%
3.5
2.2
64%
60%
35.9
25.6
71%
65%
Core Results 2007
Targeted 2010 efficiency levels
CHF bn
Reduction of
6% over
three years
1) before losses from securities purchased from our money market funds of CHF 920 m
Private
Banking
Asset
Management 1)
Investment
Banking
Credit
Suisse
1)
Well over one billion post-tax savings
Slide 43
Cost efficiency initiative examples
Process
improvement and
reengineering
Outsourcing and
off-shoring
Continuous cost
management
Integrating sourcing, procurement and payment activities
Investment operations system
Single global HR platform
Fund accounting in three locations
Private Equity accounting
Deployment in Centers of Excellence
Exchange flow optimization and brokerage, clearing and exchange
fee reduction
Projects focusing on non-compensation expenses, e.g. travel &
entertainment, professional services, occupancy, market data
Optimization of IT end user equipment and server
Slide 44
Integrated bank performance indicators across the cycle
Growth
measures
Efficiency
measure
Performance
measures
Double-digit annual earnings per share growth in %
EPS growth
NNA growth
Annual net new asset growth rate above 6 %
Cost / income
ratio
65% by 2010, subject to business mix
Return on equity
Annual rate of return above 20 %
Total share-
holder return
Superior total shareholder return compared to peer group
(i.e. share price appreciation plus dividends)
Capital
measure
BIS tier 1
capital ratio
Minimum target level of 10 %
Net revenues > CHF 10 bn by 2010
Collaboration
revenues
Note: performance to be achieved over a three to five year period (across-the-cycle)
Slide 45
Capital deployment
Balance between growth at attractive returns (> 20% RoE) and
returning capital to shareholders
Maintain flexibility to deploy our capital prudently
Focus on bolt-on acquisitions that fit our strategy and are in line
with our business objectives
May partner with strategic third-party investors to fund growth in
Investment Banking and Asset Management
Slide 46
Growth priorities across divisions and regions
Investment
Banking
Private
Banking
Asset
Management
Emerging markets
Prime services
Commodities
Derivatives
Managed Investment Products
Ultra High Net Worth individuals
Middle market initiatives and entrepreneurs
Illiquid alternative investments
Liquid alternative investments
Asset allocation strategies/products
Regional
focus
on
growth
markets
Slide 47
Outlook
Expect challenging environment to continue near-term, but remain well
positioned given capital strength and well established efficiency culture
Substantial opportunities to grow and strengthen our franchise
Long-term growth prospects for Wealth Management remain intact
Growth in Investment Banking targeted at the less cyclical areas
Asset Management continues to grow significantly in high margin
businesses
Slide 48
SIGNATURES
Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned, thereunto duly authorized.
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CREDIT SUISSE GROUP |
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(Registrant) |
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By: |
/s/ Urs Rohner |
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(Signature)* |
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General Counsel |
Date: March 20, 2008 |
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/s/ Charles Naylor |
*Print the name and title under the signature of the signing officer. |
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Head of Corporate Communications |