UNITED STATES
SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION
Washington, D.C. 20549
Form 6-K
REPORT OF FOREIGN PRIVATE ISSUER PURSUANT TO RULE 13a-16 OR 15d-16
UNDER THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934
February 11, 2009
Commission File Number 001-15244
CREDIT SUISSE GROUP AG
(Translation of registrants name into English)
Paradeplatz 8, P.O. Box 1, CH-8070 Zurich, Switzerland
(Address of principal executive office)
Commission File Number 001-33434
CREDIT SUISSE
(Translation of registrants name into English)
Paradeplatz 8, P.O. Box 1, CH-8070 Zurich, Switzerland
(Address of principal executive office)
Indicate by check mark whether the registrant files or will file annual reports under cover of Form 20-F or Form 40-F.
Form 20-F |
Form 40-F |
Indicate by check mark if the registrant is submitting the Form 6-K in paper as permitted by Regulation S-T Rule 101(b)(1):
Note: Regulation S-T Rule 101(b)(1) only permits the submission in paper of a Form 6-K if submitted solely to provide an attached annual report to security holders.
Indicate by check mark if the registrant is submitting the Form 6-K in paper as permitted by Regulation S-T Rule 101(b)(7):
Note: Regulation S-T Rule 101(b)(7) only permits the submission in paper of a Form 6-K if submitted to furnish a report or other document that the registrant foreign private issuer must furnish and make public under the laws of the jurisdiction in which the registrant is incorporated, domiciled or legally organized (the registrants home country), or under the rules of the home country exchange on which the registrants securities are traded, as long as the report or other document is not a press release, is not required to be and has not been distributed to the registrants security holders, and, if discussing a material event, has already been the subject of a Form 6-K submission or other Commission filing on EDGAR.
Indicate by check mark whether the registrant by furnishing the information contained in this Form is also thereby furnishing the information to the Commission pursuant to Rule 12g3-2(b) under the Securities Exchange Act of 1934.
Yes |
No |
If Yes is marked, indicate below the file number assigned to the registrant in connection with Rule 12g3-2(b): 82-.
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CREDIT SUISSE GROUP AG | |
Paradeplatz 8 P.O. Box CH-8070 Zurich Switzerland |
Telephone +41 844 33 88 44 Fax +41 44 333 88 77 media.relations@credit-suisse.com
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Media Release
Credit Suisse Group reports full-year 2008 net loss of CHF 8.2 billion
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FY08 loss from continuing operations of CHF 7.7 billion; FY08 loss from continuing operations of CHF 7.1 billion excluding costs after tax from the accelerated implementation of the strategic plan. |
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4Q08 net loss of CHF 6.0 billion; 4Q08 loss from continuing operations of CHF 4.9 billion excluding costs after tax from the accelerated implementation of the strategic plan. |
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Capital position remains very strong; tier 1 ratio of 13.3% as of end-2008; liquidity remained strong throughout the year. |
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Private Banking remained solidly profitable and recorded net new assets of CHF 50.9 billion in FY08. |
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In 4Q08, continued strong net client inflows in Wealth Management of CHF 13.8 billion were partially offset by deleveraging of client portfolios of CHF 11.8 billion, resulting in net new assets of CHF 2.0 billion. |
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In FY08, the Corporate & Retail Banking business achieved record income before taxes of CHF 1.8 billion. |
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Continued risk reduction in Investment Banking: |
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Illiquid leveraged finance and structured products assets as of end-2008 declined 53% from end-3Q08 and 87% from end-3Q07. |
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Risk-weighted assets declined 31% from end-2007 and 15% from end-3Q08 to USD 163 billion as of end-2008 and are expected to decline to USD 135 billion by year-end 2009. |
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Good progress made on strategic measures announced in December 2008: |
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Investment Banking is focusing on its new streamlined business portfolio and capital-efficient strategy; |
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With the sale of part of the global investors business, Asset Management has made tangible progress on its strategy to focus on scalable, high-margin areas; |
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Credit Suisse is on track to deliver cost reductions of CHF 2 billion through the combined strategic measures. |
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Good contribution from collaboration revenues across the integrated bank: CHF 5.2 billion in 2008. |
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Credit Suisse has had a strong start to 2009 and was profitable across all divisions year to date. |
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Media Release |
February 11, 2009 Page 2/8 |
Zurich, February 11, 2009 Credit Suisse Group reported a loss from continuing operations of CHF 7,687 million in the full year 2008 compared with income from continuing operations of CHF 7,754 million in 2007. Excluding costs after tax from the accelerated implementation of the strategic plan, the full-year 2008 loss from continuing operations was CHF 7,100 million. Core net revenues were CHF 11,862 million in 2008 compared with CHF 34,539 million in 2007.
In the fourth quarter of 2008, the loss from continuing operations excluding costs after tax from the accelerated implementation of the strategic plan was CHF 4,899 million, compared with income from continuing operations of CHF 530 million in the prior-year period. The fourth-quarter net loss was CHF 6,024 million compared with net income of CHF 540 million in the fourth quarter of 2007. The fourth-quarter net loss included a loss from discontinued operations of CHF 538 million relating to the disposal of part of the Asset Management business. Core net revenues were a negative CHF 1,830 million in the fourth quarter of 2008 compared with a positive CHF 6,458 million in the prior-year period.
Brady W. Dougan, Chief Executive Officer, said: While our full-year results are clearly disappointing, we entered 2009 with a very strong capital position, a robust business model, a clear strategy and well-positioned businesses. In a year of unprecedented market turmoil, our Private Banking business recorded strong asset inflows, underscoring the trust that clients place in Credit Suisse. Our global Wealth Management business performed well and our Swiss Corporate & Retail Banking business achieved record pre-tax income. In Investment Banking, we continued to reduce our overall risk. Illiquid leveraged finance and structured products assets as of the end of 2008 declined 87% from the end of the third quarter of 2007. We now have a capital-efficient and streamlined Investment Banking business with a significantly lower risk profile. And in Asset Management, we took an important step in our strategy to focus our resources on alternative investments, asset allocation and our Swiss businesses. These are scalable, high-margin businesses that provide excellent investment opportunities for our clients.
He added: Credit Suisse has one of the strongest capital ratios in the industry, which we achieved without significantly diluting shareholders. We accelerated the implementation of our strategic plan, which will bring about a further substantial reduction of our risk and cost base. We also took steps to further strengthen our control culture. We have had a strong start to 2009 and were profitable across all divisions year to date. We have positioned our businesses to be less susceptible to negative market trends if they persist in the coming months and to prosper when markets recover.
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Media Release |
February 11, 2009 Page 3/8 |
Financial Highlights |
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|
in CHF million |
2008 |
Change in % |
4Q08 |
Change in % |
Change in % |
|
|
vs. 2007 |
|
vs. 3Q08 |
vs. 4Q07 |
Net loss |
(8,218) |
- |
(6,024) |
378 |
- |
Loss from continuing operations |
(7,687) |
- |
(5,486) |
333 |
- |
Diluted earnings/(loss) per share (CHF) |
(7.83) |
- |
(5.34) |
338 |
- |
Return on equity (annualized) |
(21.1)% |
- |
(62.0)% |
- |
- |
Tier 1 ratio (end of period) 1) |
13.3% |
- |
13.3% |
- |
- |
Core results 2) |
|
|
|
|
|
Net revenues |
11,862 |
(66) |
(1,830) |
- |
- |
Provision for credit losses |
813 |
239 |
486 |
271 |
139 |
Total operating expenses |
23,212 |
(8) |
6,344 |
18 |
5 |
Loss from continuing operations before taxes |
(12,163) |
- |
(8,660) |
246 |
- |
1) Under Basel II from January 1, 2008; prior periods are reported under Basel I and are therefore not comparable. | |||||
2) Core results include the results of the three segments and the Corporate Center, excluding revenues and | |||||
expenses in respect of minority interests in which we do not have a significant economic interest. |
Segment Results
Private Banking
Private Banking, which comprises the Wealth Management and Corporate & Retail Banking businesses, reported income before taxes of CHF 4,209 million in the full year 2008, a decrease of 23% from 2007. Net revenues were down 5%. In the fourth quarter of 2008, income before taxes was CHF 876 million, down 36% from the prior-year period. Net revenues were down 10%.
The Wealth Management business reported income before taxes of CHF 2,442 million in the full year 2008, down 37% from 2007. Net revenues remained solid, but were 8% below the level of 2007, a good result given the lower client activity and lower average assets under management, reflecting the resilience of the business. Total operating expenses rose 9%, mainly reflecting net provisions of CHF 407 million relating to action rate securities (ARS), a charge of CHF 190 million related to the close-out of a clients account and higher expenses due to the ongoing growth strategy. However, excluding the ARS provisions and the charge related to the close-out of a clients account, total operating expenses decreased 2%. The pre-tax income margin was 27.8% in 2008 compared with 40.3% in 2007. Credit Suisse strengthened its team of professionals by adding 340 relationship managers in Wealth Management during 2008.
In the fourth quarter of 2008, income before taxes was CHF 363 million, down 63% from the prior-year period. The fourth-quarter 2008 result included net provisions of CHF 97 million related to ARS, the above-mentioned charge related to the close-out of a clients account, and provision for credit losses of CHF 113 million. Net revenues declined 17%, reflecting a decrease in both recurring and transaction-based revenues. Total operating expenses were 5% higher, driven by the provisions related to ARS and the charge related to the close-out of a clients account, partly offset by a decrease in compensation and benefits. The pre-tax income margin was 17.7% in the fourth quarter of 2008 compared with 39.4% in the prior-year period.
The Corporate & Retail Banking business reported record income before taxes of CHF 1,767 million in the full year 2008, up 9% from 2007. Net revenues rose 5%. Total operating expenses decreased slightly. The pre-tax income margin was 42.8% in 2008 compared with 41.2% in 2007.
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Media Release |
February 11, 2009 Page 4/8 |
In the fourth quarter of 2008, income before taxes was CHF 513 million, up 28% from the prior-year period. Net revenues increased 9%. Provision for credit losses was CHF 17 million in the fourth quarter of 2008 compared with releases of CHF 8 million in the prior-year period. Total operating expenses were down 8%. The pre-tax income margin was 47.0% in the fourth quarter of 2008 compared with 40.0% in the prior-year period.
Credit Suisse will continue to judiciously invest in the growth of its Private Banking business, both globally and in Switzerland.
Investment Banking
Investment Banking reported a loss before taxes of CHF 14,183 million in the full year 2008, compared with income before taxes of CHF 3,649 million in 2007. Net revenues were negative CHF 1,835 million in 2008 compared with positive CHF 18,958 million in 2007.
In the fourth quarter of 2008, the loss before taxes was CHF 7,779 million, compared with a loss before taxes of CHF 849 million in the prior-year period. Net revenues were negative CHF 4,571 million compared with positive CHF 2,741 million, as the widespread market disruption intensified in the fourth quarter, adversely impacting most of the businesses in Investment Banking. In December 2008, as index-hedge positions rallied and cash markets depreciated, Credit Suisse incurred significant losses due to standard hedges becoming ineffective in the extraordinary market environment. In addition, the results were negatively impacted by a severe widening of credit spreads, resulting in sharp declines in fair value levels of credit instruments across most markets. The fourth-quarter results in Investment Banking included combined net writedowns of CHF 3,192 million in the leveraged finance and structured products businesses. The client-driven businesses reported solid fourth-quarter results.
Fixed income trading revenues were significantly lower in the fourth quarter of 2008 than in the prior-year period, primarily reflecting the above-mentioned net writedowns in the leveraged finance and structured products businesses, losses in the emerging markets and leveraged finance trading businesses and losses associated with structured foreign exchange derivatives in Asia. Partially offsetting these results were factors including record revenues in flow-based rate products and good revenues in the foreign exchange business. Equity trading revenues declined substantially, primarily due to significant losses in equity derivatives, convertibles, and long/short and event and risk arbitrage strategies. These results were partially offset by good performances in cash equities and prime services. Fixed income and equity trading benefited from combined fair value gains of CHF 1,919 million due to widening credit spreads on Credit Suisse debt. In the fourth quarter of 2008, the underwriting and advisory businesses produced lower revenues compared with the prior-year period, reflecting a decline in overall market activity and lower revenues from the private fund group. Total operating expenses in the fourth quarter of 2008 declined 16% compared with the prior-year period, reflecting a 28% decrease in compensation and benefits, partially offset by a 4% increase in total other operating expenses.
Net valuation adjustments and exposures in Investment Banking
In the fourth quarter of 2008, combined net writedowns in the leveraged finance and structured products businesses were CHF 3,192 million.
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Media Release |
February 11, 2009 Page 5/8 |
Net valuation adjustments | |||
in CHF million |
4Q08 |
3Q08 |
4Q07 |
Leveraged finance |
(889) |
(870) |
(231) |
Commercial mortgage-backed securities (CMBS) |
(989) |
(1'006) |
(384) |
Residential mortgage-backed securities (RMBS) and subprime collateralized debt obligations (CDO) |
(1'314) |
(552) |
(1'821) |
Total |
(3'192) |
(2'428) |
(2'436) |
Dislocated asset balances |
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| ||
in CHF billion |
4Q08 |
3Q08 |
4Q07 |
Change in % |
Change in % |
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|
|
vs. 3Q08 |
vs. 4Q07 |
Leveraged finance |
0.9 |
11.9 |
35.1 |
(92) |
(97) |
Commercial mortgages |
8.8 |
12.8 |
25.9 |
(31) |
(66) |
Residential mortgages and subprime CDO |
5.1 |
6.8 |
13.3 |
(25) |
(62) |
In December 2008, Credit Suisse announced plans to accelerate the implementation of its existing strategy to reposition Investment Banking in light of the changed competitive and market environment. This move reflected the weaker macroeconomic environment, continued market volatility and shifts in client demand away from more complex products towards the greater use of exchange-based and flow trading. Investment Banking will build on the momentum already achieved in areas such as algorithmic trading, cash equities, prime services, rates, foreign exchange, high grade credit and strategic advisory businesses. The business will continue to reduce origination capacity in complex credit and structured product businesses and cut risk capital usage, including exiting certain proprietary and principal trading operations. The new operating model is expected to reduce earnings volatility, improve capital efficiency and better leverage the strengths of the integrated bank, particularly in a significantly disrupted competitive environment.
Asset Management
Asset Management reported a loss before taxes of CHF 1,127 million in the full year 2008, compared with income before taxes of CHF 197 million in 2007. Net revenues decreased 75%, primarily reflecting private equity and other investment-related losses. Total operating expenses declined 11%.
In the fourth quarter of 2008, the loss before taxes was CHF 670 million compared with a loss before taxes of CHF 302 million in the prior-year period. The results reflected mostly unrealized losses from private equity and other investments of CHF 599 million, compared with gains of CHF 305 million in the prior-year period, as well as losses on securities purchased from Credit Suisses money market funds of CHF 164 million, compared with CHF 774 million in the prior-year period. Net revenues were a negative CHF 403 million in the fourth quarter of 2008, down CHF 615 million from the prior-year period, and decreased CHF 321 million to CHF 360 million before the purchased securities and the private equity and other investment-related gains/(losses). Total operating expenses declined 48%,
primarily reflecting significantly lower performance-related compensation. The fair value of Credit
Suisses balance sheet exposure from the purchased securities was CHF 567 million at the end of the fourth quarter of 2008, down 44% from the end of the third quarter of 2008.
Asset Management has focused its resources on alternative investments, asset allocation and the Swiss businesses, which are scalable, high-margin businesses that provide excellent investment opportunities for its clients. Credit Suisse generated good inflows of net new assets of CHF 11.5 billion in the alternative investments business in the full year 2008. In the fourth quarter of 2008, Credit Suisse decided to close
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Media Release |
February 11, 2009 Page 6/8 |
certain money market funds and agreed to sell the majority of its traditional funds business to Aberdeen Asset Management, one of the UKs leading asset managers, for a stake of up to 24.9% in Aberdeen. The new organization also provides further potential to reduce costs.
Segment Results |
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|
|
| |
in CHF million |
|
2008 |
Change in % |
4Q08 |
Change in % |
Change in % |
|
|
|
vs. 2007 |
|
vs. 3Q08 |
vs. 4Q07 |
Private |
Net revenues |
12,907 |
(5) |
3,139 |
0 |
(10) |
Banking |
Provision for credit losses |
133 |
- |
130 |
- |
- |
|
Total operating expenses |
8,565 |
6 |
2,133 |
(9) |
1 |
|
Income before taxes |
4,209 |
(23) |
876 |
11 |
(36) |
Investment |
Net revenues |
(1,835) |
- |
(4,571) |
- |
- |
Banking |
Provision for credit losses |
680 |
127 |
355 |
198 |
69 |
|
Total operating expenses |
11,668 |
(22) |
2,853 |
10 |
(16) |
|
Loss before taxes |
(14,183) |
- |
(7,779) |
141 |
- |
Asset |
Net revenues |
496 |
(75) |
(403) |
- |
- |
Management |
Provision for credit losses |
0 |
(100) |
0 |
- |
(100) |
|
Total operating expenses |
1'623 |
(11) |
267 |
(38) |
(48) |
|
Loss before taxes |
(1,127) |
- |
(670) |
- |
122 |
Net New Assets
In the full year 2008, Private Bankings net new assets were CHF 50.9 billion, including CHF 42.2 billion from Wealth Management, compared with CHF 53.5 billion in Private Banking in 2007. In the fourth quarter of 2008, continued strong net client inflows in Wealth Management of CHF 13.8 billion were partially offset by deleveraging of client portfolios of CHF 11.8 billion, resulting in net new assets of CHF 2.0 billion. Asset Management reported net asset outflows of CHF 21.1 billion in the fourth quarter of 2008. The Groups total assets under management from continuing operations were CHF 1,106.1 billion as of December 31, 2008, down 24.4% from December 31, 2007, primarily reflecting adverse market and foreign exchange-related movements, net asset outflows in Asset Management and the closure of certain US money market funds.
Benefits of the integrated bank
Credit Suisse is committed to the integrated business model. Throughout 2008, collaboration between its three businesses provided a source of stable, high-margin revenues in an environment that saw significantly lower volumes. Credit Suisse generated CHF 5.2 billion in revenues from cross-divisional activities in the full year 2008, including revenues of CHF 1.2 billion in the fourth quarter. This compares with collaboration revenues of CHF 5.9 billion in the full year 2007.
Capital and liquidity management
Credit Suisses capital position remains very strong. The tier 1 ratio was 13.3% as of the end of the fourth quarter of 2008 compared with 10.4% as of the end of the third quarter of 2008. Credit Suisse had access to the capital markets throughout 2008. Total long-term debt raised in 2008 amounted to CHF 37.1 billion. In the fourth quarter of 2008, Credit Suisse issued CHF 1.3 billion of senior long-term debt, underlining the banks ongoing position as an attractive issuer, even in turbulent markets. Even if its balance sheet remains at its current size, Credit Suisse expects to refinance only CHF 12 billion of long-term debt in 2009.
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Media Release |
February 11, 2009 Page 7/8 |
Dividend proposal
The Board of Directors will propose a cash dividend of CHF 0.10 at the Annual General Meeting on April 24, 2009 for the financial year 2008, compared with a cash dividend of CHF 2.50 per share for the financial year 2007.
Information
Media Relations Credit Suisse, telephone +41 844 33 88 44, media.relations@credit-suisse.com
Investor Relations Credit Suisse, telephone +41 44 333 71 49, investor.relations@credit-suisse.com
Credit Suisse
As one of the worlds leading banks, Credit Suisse provides its clients with private banking, investment banking and asset management services worldwide. Credit Suisse offers advisory services, comprehensive solutions and innovative products to companies, institutional clients and high-net-worth private clients globally, as well as retail clients in Switzerland. Credit Suisse is active in over 50 countries and employs approximately 47,800 people. Credit Suisse is comprised of a number of legal entities around the world and is headquartered in Zurich. The registered shares (CSGN) of Credit Suisses parent company, Credit Suisse Group AG, are listed in Switzerland and, in the form of American Depositary Shares (CS), in New York. Further information about Credit Suisse can be found at www.credit-suisse.com.
Cautionary statement regarding forward-looking information and non-GAAP information
This press release contains statements that constitute forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act. In addition, in the future we, and others on our behalf, may make statements that constitute forward-looking statements. Such forward-looking statements may include, without limitation, statements relating to the following:
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our plans, objectives or goals; |
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our future economic performance or prospects; |
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the potential effect on our future performance of certain contingencies; and |
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assumptions underlying any such statements. |
Words such as believes, anticipates, expects, intends and plans and similar expressions are intended to identify forward-looking statements but are not the exclusive means of identifying such statements. We do not intend to update these forward-looking statements except as may be required by applicable securities laws. By their very nature, forward-looking statements involve inherent risks and uncertainties, both general and specific, and risks exist that predictions, forecasts, projections and other outcomes described or implied in forward-looking statements will not be achieved. We caution you that a number of important factors could cause results to differ materially from the plans, objectives, expectations, estimates and intentions expressed in such forward-looking statements. These factors include:
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the ability to maintain sufficient liquidity and access capital markets; |
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market and interest rate fluctuations; |
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the strength of the global economy in general and the strength of the economies of the countries in which we conduct our operations, in particular the risk of a continued US or global economic downturn in 2009 and beyond; |
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the direct and indirect impacts of continuing deterioration of subprime and other real estate markets; |
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further adverse rating actions by credit rating agencies in respect of structured credit products or other credit-related exposures or of monoline insurers; |
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the ability of counterparties to meet their obligations to us; |
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the effects of, and changes in, fiscal, monetary, trade and tax policies, and currency fluctuations; |
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political and social developments, including war, civil unrest or terrorist activity; |
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the possibility of foreign exchange controls, expropriation, nationalization or confiscation of assets in countries in which we conduct our operations; |
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operational factors such as systems failure, human error, or the failure to implement procedures properly; |
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actions taken by regulators with respect to our business and practices in one or more of the countries in which we conduct our operations; |
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the effects of changes in laws, regulations or accounting policies or practices; |
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competition in geographic and business areas in which we conduct our operations; |
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the ability to retain and recruit qualified personnel; |
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the ability to maintain our reputation and promote our brand; |
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the ability to increase market share and control expenses; |
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technological changes; |
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the timely development and acceptance of our new products and services and the perceived overall value of these products and services by users; |
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acquisitions, including the ability to integrate acquired businesses successfully, and divestitures, including the ability to sell non-core assets; |
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the adverse resolution of litigation and other contingencies; |
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the ability to achieve our cost efficiency goals and other cost targets; and |
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our success at managing the risks involved in the foregoing. |
We caution you that the foregoing list of important factors is not exclusive. When evaluating forward-looking statements, you should carefully consider the foregoing factors and other uncertainties and events, as well as the information set forth in our Form 20-F Item 3 Key Information Risk Factors.
This press release contains non-GAAP financial information. Information needed to reconcile such non-GAAP financial information to the most directly comparable measures under GAAP can be found in the Credit Suisse Financial Report 4Q08.
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Media Release |
February 11, 2009 Page 8/8 |
Presentation of fourth-quarter and full-year 2008 results
Media conference
§ |
Wednesday, February 11, 2009 |
09:00 Zurich / 08:00 London
Credit Suisse Forum St. Peter, Auditorium, St. Peterstrasse 19, Zurich
§ |
Speakers |
Brady W. Dougan, Chief Executive Officer of Credit Suisse
Renato Fassbind, Chief Financial Officer of Credit Suisse
The presentations will be held in English.
Simultaneous interpreting (English/German)
§ |
Internet |
Live broadcast at: www.credit-suisse.com/results
Video playback available approximately three hours after the event
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Telephone |
Live audio dial-in on +41 44 580 40 01 (Switzerland), +44 1452 565 510 (Europe) and
+1 866 389 9771 (US); ask for Credit Suisse Group quarterly results.
Please dial in 10-15 minutes before the start of the presentation.
Telephone replay available approximately one hour after the event on +41 41 580 00 07 (Switzerland), +44 1452 55 0000 (Europe) and +1 866 247 4222 (US); conference ID English - 80192726#, conference ID German - 82330121#.
Analyst and investor conference
(Presentation of the Groups results, followed by an update on the Investment Banking division)
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Wednesday, February 11, 2009 |
10:30 Zurich / 09:30 London
Credit Suisse Forum St. Peter, Auditorium, St. Peterstrasse 19, Zurich
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Speakers |
Brady W. Dougan, Chief Executive Officer of Credit Suisse
Renato Fassbind, Chief Financial Officer of Credit Suisse
Paul Calello, Chief Executive Officer Investment Banking of Credit Suisse
D. Wilson Ervin, Chief Risk Officer, Credit Suisse
The presentations will be held in English.
Simultaneous interpreting (English/German)
§ |
Internet |
Live broadcast at: www.credit-suisse.com/results
Video playback available approximately three hours after the event
§ |
Telephone |
Live audio dial-in on +41 44 580 40 01 (Switzerland), +44 1452 565 510 (Europe) and
+1 866 389 9771 (US); ask for Credit Suisse Group quarterly results.
Please dial in 10-15 minutes before the start of the presentation.
Telephone replay available approximately one hour after the event on +41 41 580 00 07 (Switzerland), +44 1452 55 0000 (Europe) and +1 866 247 4222 (US); conference ID English - 82339542#, conference ID German - 82342131#.
Fourth-Quarter and
Full-Year Results 2008
Zurich
February 11, 2009
Cautionary statement
Cautionary statement regarding forward-looking and non-GAAP information
This presentation contains forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private
Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Forward-looking statements involve inherent risks
and uncertainties,
and we might not be able to achieve the predictions, forecasts,
projections and other outcomes we describe or imply in forward-looking statements.
A number of important factors could cause results to differ materially from the plans,
objectives, expectations, estimates and intentions we express in these forward-looking
statements, including
those we identify in "Risk Factors" in our Annual Report on Form 20-
F for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2007 filed with the US Securities and Exchange
Commission, and in other public filings and press releases. We do not intend to update
these
forward-looking statements except as may be required by applicable laws.
This presentation contains non-GAAP financial information. Information needed to reconcile
such non-GAAP financial information to the most directly comparable measures under
GAAP can be found
in Credit Suisse Group's fourth quarter report 2008.
Slide 2
Fourth quarter and full-year 2008 results
Renato Fassbind, Chief Financial Officer, Credit Suisse
Introduction
Brady W. Dougan, Chief Executive Officer, Credit Suisse
Risk review and outlook
D. Wilson Ervin, Chief Risk Officer, Credit Suisse
Investment Banking: Capital efficient strategy
Paul Calello, Chief Executive Officer, Investment Banking
Summary
Brady W. Dougan
Slide 3
Key messages
Achievements
2008
Well positioned
going into 2009
Sustained strong capital position and solid funding
Rapid risk reduction dislocated assets down 88% vs. 3Q07
Maintained client momentum net new assets of CHF 51 bn in Private
Banking; solid performance in client businesses in Investment Banking
Good progress on strategic implementation in all three divisions
Strong collaboration revenues
Stable platform as competitive advantage in current landscape
Committed to integrated model
Positioned to manage well through difficult markets, but also to benefit
from improvement in the market environment
Strong start in 2009 with all divisions profitable quarter-to-date
Slide 4
Fourth quarter and full-year 2008 results
Renato Fassbind, Chief Financial Officer, Credit Suisse
Introduction
Brady W. Dougan, Chief Executive Officer, Credit Suisse
Risk review and outlook
D. Wilson Ervin, Chief Risk Officer, Credit Suisse
Investment Banking: Capital efficient strategy
Paul Calello, Chief Executive Officer, Investment Banking
Summary
Brady W. Dougan
Slide 5
Remain well capitalized with robust business despite 4Q08 results
4Q08 net loss driven by widespread market disruption
Private Banking with solid revenues and continued strong asset inflows evidencing the
resilience of the business
Investment Banking with writedowns and negative trading revenues, but solid results
in client-driven businesses
Asset Management with significant investment losses
Capital ratio of 13.3%, one of the strongest in the industry
Strong capital and funding position, robust business model and clear strategy
Realigned Investment Bank; adapted to new environment with significantly reduced risks
Strong start in 2009 with all divisions profitable quarter-to-date
Looking ahead
Slide 6
4Q08 results summary
4Q08 Core Results detail (CHF bn)
Results through November 30
Results in December
(3.2)
(1.7)
4Q08 Income from continuing operations
(4.9)
Loss from the sale of part of global
investors business (incl. goodwill, after-tax)
(0.5)
4Q08 Net loss
(6.0)
Reported as 'income from
discontinued operations'
Costs from accelerated implementation
of our strategic plans (after-tax)
(0.6)
Reported in 'corporate center'
1) Before costs from accelerated implementation of our strategic plans of CHF 833 m (CHF 587 m after-tax)
Slide 7
1)
Wealth Management shows resilience in challenging markets
Pre-tax income
CHF m
4Q08 results also include
additional ARS provisions of CHF 97 m
charge of CHF 190 m related to an
account close-out in highly volatile
markets
4Q08 results affected by lower asset base,
reduced client-activity and credit provisions
of CHF 113 m
Resilient business model with sustainable
profitability and continued strong asset
inflows and stable gross margin
2007
2008
4Q07
3,865
3Q08
4Q08
2,442
976
389
363
(37%)
(7%)
699
650
1) Excluding ARS settlements of CHF 310 in 3Q08 and CHF 97 m in 4Q08 and the charge of CHF 190 m related to an account close-out in 4Q08
3,039
1)
1)
1)
1)
1)
1)
Slide 8
Pre-tax income margin in %
40.3
34.6
39.4
32.7
31.7
Wealth Management with solid revenues and stable margins
Net revenues and gross margin on average assets under management
CHF m
9,583
8,776
2007
2008
115
115
2007
2008
35
29
80
86
(2%)
(24%)
(8%)
Total revenues and average assets
under management declined
both by 8% in 2008
Transaction-based revenues reflect
lower client activity in 2008
Recurring revenues supported by
higher net interest income
Basis points
117
4Q08
30
87
Transaction-based
Recurring
Slide 9
Solid net client inflows reflecting strength of franchise
Net new assets in 2008
CHF bn
1Q08
2Q08
13.5
3Q08
4Q08
15.4
11.3
42.2
14.2
8.4
16.6
EMEA
APAC
Americas
Switzerland
2008
2.0
3.0
Continued solid net client inflows mostly
offset by significant deleveraging
Loan repayments/deleveraging most
pronounced in Switzerland
13.8
(11.8)
2.0
Net new assets (NNA) in 4Q08
Net client
inflows
De-
leveraging
Net new
assets
Slide 10
Rolling four-quarter NNA growth on AuM in %
6.0
5.9
6.2
5.0
5.0
Lower asset base in Wealth Management
Assets under management (AuM)
Period-end in CHF bn
2007
Currency
effects
839
Market
movements
and other
Net new
assets
(54)
(181)
646
2008
42
Strong net new assets of CHF 42 bn
Assets under management declined 23%
due to downturn of global equity and bond
markets
Swiss franc strengthened against major
currencies
Lower asset base will impact 2009
revenues
(23%)
Slide 11
Corporate & Retail Banking achieves record results
Pre-tax income
CHF m
Solid revenue growth reflecting resilient
business model in a more challenging
environment
Strong 4Q08 results also reflect fair value
gains of CHF 57 m on loan portfolio
hedges
Swiss lending volumes up CHF 4 bn
in 2008
CHF 8.7 bn net new assets in 2008
2007
2008
4Q07
1,621
3Q08
4Q08
1,767
401
400
513
+9%
+28%
+28%
Slide 12
Pre-tax income margin in %
41.2
42.8
40.0
39.6
47.0
Investment Banking results
Pre-tax income
CHF m
Market disruption in the first nine months of
2008 intensified in 4Q08 and had an
adverse impact on our trading results
Net valuation reductions in our structured
products and leveraged finance businesses
of CHF 3.2 bn in 4Q08
88% reduction in dislocated asset balances
since 3Q07
Solid results in 4Q08 and 2008 in client-
driven businesses, including flow-based
rate products, foreign exchange, prime
services and cash equities
2007
2008
4Q07
3,649
3Q08
4Q08
(14,183)
(849)
(3,225)
(7,779)
Slide 13
236
230
214
193
163
135
Significant progress in risk reduction in Investment Banking
Significant reduction in risk-weighted
assets in 4Q08 despite USD 16 bn
increase due to methodology changes
Targeted to decline to USD 135 bn by
year-end 2009
Investment Banking RWAs (period-end in USD bn)
2007
1Q08
2Q08
3Q08
2009E
4Q08
RWA = risk-weighted assets
(31)%
(16)%
Slide 14
Sustained and consistent risk exposure reduction
Dislocated asset balances in Investment Banking
3Q07
4Q07
(88)%
1Q08
2Q08
3Q08
4Q08
1) Excluding US prime, US Alt-A and European/Asian residential mortgage exposures of CHF 3.2 bn
CHF bn
99
12
Leveraged finance
Subprime residential mortgages
and CDO
Commercial mortgages
4
36
59
4Q08
CHF 11.6 bn
27
31
43
67
Slide 15
1.9 bn
8.8 bn
0.9 bn
1)
0.7
2.5
2.1
4.1
Robust pro forma earnings and returns over the cycle with
lower volatility
Pro forma Investment Banking pre-tax income
Pro forma analysis of repositioned
business demonstrates robust results and
lower volatility
Average margins and returns should be
higher through the cycle
Significantly lower risk capital usage
resulting in a more balanced capital
allocation across Credit Suisse
2005
2006
2007
2008
CHF bn
1) Excludes litigation charge of CHF 960 m in 2005 and net insurance settlement
credits of CHF 508 m in 2006 and CHF 208 m in 2008
Slide 16
1)
Pro forma risk-weighted assets in CHF bn
99
129
161
135
Asset Management affected by significant valuation reductions;
tangible progress in re-focusing the business
Pre-tax income
CHF m
Sold traditional long-only business outside
Switzerland in line with strategy to focus on
high margin and scalable business
Strong net new assets in alternative
investment strategies during 2008
Downturn of global markets resulted in losses
of CHF 599 m from private equity and other
investments and CHF 164 m from money
market lift-out portfolio in 4Q08
Excluding these items, the business was
marginally profitable
Money market lift-out portfolio further reduced
by 44% to CHF 0.6 bn in 4Q08
197
(1,127)
(302)
(670)
2007
2008
4Q07
3Q08
4Q08
(98)
Slide 17
208
212
239
143
145
147
111
69
63
47
37
226
Asset Management with stable recurring revenue base
Asset management fees
CHF m
1Q08
2Q08
3Q08
4Q08
420
420
433
374
Business focused around core
competencies in AI and MACS
AI with stable fees due to resilient asset
base and fund raising
Revenues in MACS decline in line with
asset compression; margin maintained at
33 bps
Results exclude the businesses agreed to
be sold
Multi-asset class solutions (MACS)
Alternative investments (AI)
Other traditional investments
1) Excluding gains/losses on investments, performance fees, net
interest income and other revenues
Slide 18
1)
1)
Gross fee margin on assets under management in bps
30
32
34
33
Alternative investments with solid results
over the cycle
Alternative investment-related gains/(losses) and revenues
CHF m
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
Significant market deterioration in 2008
impacted investments in real estate,
financial services, commodities and
energy sectors
Portfolio remains well diversified in
terms of vintage and industry
Portfolio focused on middle-market
investments; no highly leveraged
large-cap exposures
698
502
681
355
520
171
180
274
(676)
955
682
869
681
(321)
Fees and other revenues
Gains / (losses)
161
1) Includes CHF 2.6 bn in private equity investments
Slide 19
1)
Credit Suisse's alternative investments in CHF bn
1.1
1.4
2.5
3.3
4.0
Asset Management with strong growth in high-margin
alternative investments
Assets under management
CHF bn
Asset
Management
division
412
146
Alternative investment with
strong inflows
Traditional investment
strategies with outflows
predominantly in low margin
businesses
Negative markets led to
reduction in asset base
Alternative
investment
strategies
(57.7)
(17.1)
127
139
Multi-asset
class solutions
Other traditional
investments
(63.3)
+11.5
Includes outflows of CHF (40.1) bn in
money market and pension advisory assets
Net new
assets 2008
CHF bn
Slide 20
Balance sheet reduced by 16% in 4Q08 while maintaining
strong funding structure
1,170
1,170
Assets
4Q08
Capital & liabilities
4Q08
Reverse 299
repo
Trading 367
assets
Loans 227
Other 187
Repo 273
Trading liab.154
Short-term1)100
Long-term 151
debt
Deposits 266
Capital 226
& Other
117%
coverage
Asset and liabilities by category (period-end in CHF bn)
1,394
Total assets in 4Q08 reduced by
CHF 224 bn, or 16%, whereof
CHF 59 bn due to FX movements
Trading assets reduced 22% in
4Q08 and 35% in 2008
Increased market spreads only
affect a small part of funding base
(CHF 13 bn of long-term debt
matures in 2009)
Stable and low cost deposit base
a key funding advantage
Assets
3Q08
Reverse 379
repo
Trading 468
assets
Loans 239
Other 261
Change in %
Cash 47
Cash 1) 90
(28)%
(5)%
(22)%
(21)%
+91%
1) Includes due from/to banks
Slide 21
32.2
29.4
30.8
32.2
34.2
Capital strength as competitive advantage
1Q08
2Q08
3Q08
Tier 1 capital and tier 1 capital ratio
Tier 1
capital
13.3%
9.8%
10.2%
Tier 1
capital ratio
(CHF bn and %)
Industry-leading capital ratio
Strongly positioned to continue
building client franchises
16% reduction in risk-weighted assets
during 4Q08, primarily in Investment
Banking
Raised CHF 11.2 bn of capital in
4Q08, while minimizing dilution (share
count today below January 2006 level)
2008 dividend proposal of CHF 0.10
4Q08
10.4%
4Q07
10.0%
Slide 22
Adjusting capacity in line with strategic plan
Targeted efficiency improvements
(announced in December 2008)
Reduction in headcount by 5,300, or 11%
plus an additional reduction of 1,400
contractors
CHF 2 bn cost reduction, including additional
reductions, most of which is to be implemented
by mid-2009
Already achieved 50% to date
Approx. 2/3 of total headcount reduction relates
to Investment Banking, including Shared
Services personnel
Headcount Credit Suisse (period-end)
Headcount Investment Banking (period-end)
2005
2006
3Q08
2005
2006
2007
3Q08
2007
17,300
18,700
21,300
19,700
20,600
44,600
44,900
50,300
48,100
4Q08
47,800
(5%)
2009E
17,500
(8%)
4Q08
Achieved
around 50%
of targeted
headcount
reduction
(11%)
Slide 23
Collaboration
1) Excludes valuation reductions and fair value gains/losses on own debt of net CHF 2.9 bn and CHF 6.6 bn in 2007 and 2008, respectively
Collaboration revenues remained resilient
reflecting the strength of the integrated
bank model
Core and collaboration revenues
CHF bn
Collaboration revenues
Core revenues
(different scale)
2006
2007
2008
37.9
4.9
5.9
5.2
34.9
18.5
Slide 24
1)
Collaboration revenues as % of core revenues
14%
16%
28%
Integrated bank key performance indicators
Growth
Efficiency and
Performance
More than CHF 10 bn of revenues from cross-
divisional collaboration by 2012
Collaboration
NNA growth
Annual net new asset (NNA) growth rate
above 6%
Cost / income
ratio
Cost / income ratio of 65%
Performance to be achieved over a three to five year period across market cycles
Return on
equity
Annual rate of return above 18%
Total share-
holder return
Superior total shareholder return vs. peer
group
Risk and
Capital
Tier 1 ratio
(Basel 2)
Minimum level of 12.5 %
Earnings
Volatility
Low pre-tax income volatility vs. peer group
Updated
Updated
New target
Updated
Slide 25
Investment
Banking
Wealth
Management
Asset
Management
Pre-tax margin > 25%
BIS RWA target by end of 2009: USD 135 bn
Pre-tax margin > 40%
NNA growth > 6%
Pre-tax margin > 40%
NNA growth in key asset classes1) > 5%
1) Private equity, real estate, hedge fund strategies, multi-asset class solutions
Divisional key performance indicators
Corporate and
Retail Banking
Pre-tax margin > 40%
Performance to be achieved over a three to five year period across market cycles
Updated
Updated
Slide 26
Fourth quarter and full-year 2008 results
Renato Fassbind, Chief Financial Officer, Credit Suisse
Introduction
Brady W. Dougan, Chief Executive Officer, Credit Suisse
Risk review and outlook
D. Wilson Ervin, Chief Risk Officer, Credit Suisse
Investment Banking: Capital efficient strategy
Paul Calello, Chief Executive Officer, Investment Banking
Summary
Brady W. Dougan
Slide 27
Market backdrop
Risk reductions
Current risks and risk strategy
Slide 28
-100
-
100
200
300
400
500
Market backdrop
Credit spreads widened dramatically in late 2008
Multi-year highs tested in many sectors
Nearly all credit sectors affected (including
corporate, emerging markets and asset-backed)
Credit Spreads
Dec 07
Sept 08
Leveraged Loans
Emerging Markets
Option volatility (VIX)
Basis risk / hedge relationships
Cash to CDS spread
Equity Volatility
Dec 06
Basis risk gapped wider in many sectors
Longstanding hedge relationships disrupted by
loss of liquidity and forced deleveraging
Cash bonds traded well below CDS protection;
other relative value positions also affected
Volatility hit extraordinary levels in Q4
Typical daily % moves in equity markets reached
levels not seen in postwar era
Option volatility levels touched 80% (VIX) as
investors sought refuge by buying options
Slide 29
4Q08 losses driven primarily by three underlying risk factors
CHF bn
(4.6)
Revenues from
client & other trading
Primary
underwriting
Basis risks/
hedging
relationships
Volatility (structured
derivatives risks)
+3.3
(2.7)
(1.9)
Secondary
credit trading
(3.3)
(1.9)
Credit
Spreads
Fair value of own debt
+1.9
4Q08
Revenues
1) Risk factor attribution estimates based on risk department analysis
Key impacted
businesses
Investment Banking revenues Risk contribution analysis 1)
Slide 30
Leveraged finance
CMBS
Emerging markets
Credit trading
Convertibles
RMBS/ CDOs
Equity arbitrage
strategies
Structured equity
derivatives
Structured interest
rate derivatives
Market backdrop
Risk reductions
Current risks and risk strategy
Slide 31
0
20
40
60
Reductions in dislocated sectors
Aggressive reductions in underwriting
exposures continued in 4Q08
Leveraged finance positions down 97% in
2008 and now below CHF 1 bn
Commercial mortgages (CMBS) reduced by
66% in 2008 (31% in 4Q08);
now at CHF 8.8 bn
Underwriting exposures (CHF bn)
13.3
(62)%
6.2
7.4
6.5
1Q08
2Q08
6.8
3Q08
5.1
4Q08
1.9
RMBS and subprime CDO trading (CHF bn)
4Q07
1Q08
2Q08
3Q08
4Q08
4Q07
Leveraged finance
Commercial
mortgages
Net position down 25% in 4Q08
Subprime net positions down 10%;
gross positions cut by 50% to CHF 3.1 bn
Other RMBS categories reduced by 32%,
from CHF 4.7 bn to CHF 3.2 bn
Other
Subprime
Slide 32
0
25
50
75
100
Convertibles
Subprime CDO
Equity relative value
0
25
50
75
100
Traded loans
Preferred & hybrid securities
Emerging market bonds
Credit spread driven books show reductions in
the first 9M08 and further cuts in 4Q08
Overall, credit spread risk is down 60% to 75%
during 2008
Broader overall credit scenarios show similar
reductions for 2008 across all our books
Basis spread driven books are directionally
hedged, but subject to value differentials between
long positions and
hedges
The gross size of these books have been cut
throughout 2008 to reduce exposure to basis risk
and changes in hedging relationships
Reductions in trading exposures
Credit trading exposures (Indexed, net market value)
3Q08
4Q08
4Q07
Basis risk exposures (Indexed, gross long market value)
3Q08
4Q08
4Q07
Slide 33
10.1
8.8
6.8
9.8
11.9
12.6
Credit Suisse
Investment Bank
53
88
41
31
Reductions in overall risk measures
Value-at-Risk (VaR) is a broad measure of trading
risk
Underlying 1-day VaR declined in 4Q08 by
21% vs. 3Q08 average
53% vs. 4Q07 average
Further declines toward end of 4Q08 with 64%
overall reduction by year-end 2008 vs. 4Q07
Investment Banking average 1-Day VaR (USD m)
150
159
Positioning (underlying)
Dataset / methodology
changes
End 4Q08
3Q08
4Q07
117
4Q08
140
(53)%
(21)%
Economic risk capital (ERC) is our broadest internal
risk measure; position risk ERC declined by
23% vs. 3Q08 and 33% vs. 4Q07 in IB
Reductions driven by cuts in underwriting books
and trading positions
ERC held up well in 2008 crisis; some severity
parameters were tested by 4Q08 events and
will be updated in 2009
Position risk ERC
3Q08
4Q07
4Q08
(period-end, CHF bn)
1) Indexed to pre crisis (June 2007) levels
Slide 34
1)
Market backdrop
Risk reductions
Current risks and risk strategy
Slide 35
0
100
200
300
2000
2002
2004
2006
2008
Focus area: Private Banking loan portfolio
Lending is largely Switzerland focused
85% collateralized with strong credit ratings
Wealth Management: CHF 72 bn
Lombard (securities-backed) lending and
mortgage backed lending, with good haircuts
Corporate and Retail Banking: CHF 103 bn
Corporate loans & comm. mortgages: CHF 54bn
Good credit quality with low concentrations
Retail banking: CHF 50 bn
Residential mortgages: CHF 46bn
Swiss market avoided real estate bubble seen
in other markets
Underwriting is based on strict income and LTV
requirements (average LTV is 65%)
Credit Suisse does not make direct unsecured
consumer loans outside of Switzerland
AAA to A
7% BB+ to BB
1 % BB- and below
BBB
65%
27%
(Portfolio ratings composition,
by CRM transaction rating
Los Angeles residential prices
(Case-Shiller data, indexed)
Swiss single family home (4 to 6 rooms)
(SNB monthly statistics, indexed)
Swiss real estate - prices relatively stable
Private Banking loan book strong credit quality
Slide 36
23
(17)
18
(23)
47
Focus area: Investment Bank loan portfolio
Emerging Markets
Net exposure of CHF 6 bn (few unfunded commitments)
Hedges (CDS and insurance) cover 74% of portfolio
Well diversified by region and name
Corporate loan portfolio (Developed Markets)1)
Exposures (loans and commits.) are 80% investment grade
Well diversified by industry and name
Significant use of name specific and index CDS hedging
Corporate book is mostly accounted for on fair value basis
Loans marked down CHF 3.0 bn in 2008 as spreads
widened; offset by CHF 2.2 bn gains on CDS hedges
Developed Markets
Emerging Markets
Loans
(Hedges)
Unfunded
commitments
Loans
(Hedges)
Risk significantly reduced by fair value discount and substantial hedging
1) Excludes repo and other collateralized securities financing; exposure based on risk management view
Slide 37
Focus area: Commercial mortgages (CMBS)
Total exposure by geography
Asia
10%
Germany
34%
US
25%
Exposure by loan type
Office
46%
Retail 20%
Hotel
15%
Other 4%
Healthcare 2%
Multi-family
13%
Portfolio statistics
Book size is down 31% in 4Q08 to CHF 8.8 bn
Exposures are 65% to developed Europe
Largest regions: Germany (34%), Benelux (17%)
Diversified product mix
Property credit fundamentals have become more
stressed, but large majority of positions are performing
Valuation
Positions accounted for on a fair value basis no
reclassification to accrual books
Average price is 74% (wide variation by position);
substantial protection from existing fair value discount
Portfolio is well-diversified with good original LTV
ratios: 70% (global average)
LTV on a MTM basis (i.e. reflecting markdowns in both
property and loan values) is 82%
UK
2%
Other
Continental
Europe 29%
Slide 38
Focus areas: Other
Money market
lift-outs
Monolines
We do not rely on monolines in our hedging
Inventory of monoline-wrapped paper is modest and offset by
CDS and other forms of protection
SIVs
Credit Suisse does not sponsor any SIVs
Auction rate
securities
Market value of CHF 0.4 bn (among smallest of the settlement banks)
Average price of <60%
Portfolio down to CHF 0.6 bn; carried at average price of <45%
Retail
credit
Credit Suisse does not make direct unsecured loans to consumers
outside Switzerland
Slide 39
Summary
Extraordinary financial market
conditions in 4Q08 with severe
moves in nearly all markets
Credit Suisse profitability impacted
by moves in credit spread, basis
risk and high volatility
Market stresses moving quickly to
real economy
Credit Suisse moved aggressively to reduce
risks early in this crisis; risk reductions
expanded to address 4Q08 events
2008 risk reductions in the Investment Bank:
Underwriting risks down 84%
Underlying VaR down 64%
Position ERC down 33%
Credit books in Switzerland performing well;
conservative underwriting
Credit books in Investment Bank have
significant protection from fair value discount
and hedges
Reduced risk is critical in a period of high
uncertainty and to support overall strategy
Challenging market conditions
Reducing risk
Slide 40
Fourth quarter and full-year 2008 results
Renato Fassbind, Chief Financial Officer, Credit Suisse
Introduction
Brady W. Dougan, Chief Executive Officer, Credit Suisse
Risk review and outlook
D. Wilson Ervin, Chief Risk Officer, Credit Suisse
Investment Banking: Capital efficient strategy
Paul Calello, Chief Executive Officer, Investment Banking
Summary
Brady W. Dougan
Slide 41
4Q08: Market conditions and financial results
Repositioning the Investment Bank
Financial implications
Slide 42
4Q08 conditions reinforce rationale for Investment Bank strategy
Sharp declines in credit and mortgage securities
values
Disruption in hedging relationships due to loss of
liquidity
Sharp increase in volatility and correlations
impacting derivative valuations
Risk reduced substantially in 4Q08, both in
dislocated assets and trading positions
Risk-weighted assets usage in 2008 cut by 31%
to USD 163 bn; underlying 1-day VaR declined
53% from 4Q07 average
2009 expense base targeted to be CHF 1.3 bn
lower compared to the 9M08 run-rate
Resources focused on capital efficient, lower risk
client and flow businesses
Market conditions
Progress on strategic plan
Negative revenues of CHF 4.6 bn, resulting in
pre-tax loss of CHF 7.8 bn
Includes writedowns of CHF 3.2 bn on dislocated
assets, partly offset by fair value gain on own debt
of CHF 1.9 bn
Under re-aligned business model, 2008 pro forma
revenues of CHF 13.2 bn and pre-tax profit of
CHF 2.1 bn
Financial results
Slide 43
Majority of 4Q08 losses in businesses being reduced/exited
Investment Banking 4Q08 revenues
CHF bn
(4.6)
3.6
(3.0)
1.9
(7.1)
Prime services, cash
equities/AEP, rates/FX,
high grade,
commodities (joint
venture), strategic
advisory, flow
derivatives
Illiquid principal trading,
non-US leveraged finance
trading, structured
products,
complex derivatives,
power/emission trading
Convertibles,
emerging markets,
US leveraged finance
Fair value gains
on own debt
Repositioned
businesses
Key client
businesses
Exit businesses
Slide 44
4Q08: Market conditions and financial results
Repositioning the Investment Bank
Financial implications
Slide 45
in a challenging market environment
Investor preference for strong counterparties
Positive outlook for many of our core franchise
businesses
Increased demand for exchange-based products;
structural growth in electronic trading
Fewer competitors and better pricing
Strategic plan for the Investment Bank
Re-aligned Investment Bank remains core to the
Integrated Bank model
Reduce volatility and improve capital efficiency;
cut risk capital usage
Focus on client and flow-based businesses;
greater reliance on cross-bank collaboration
revenues
Substantially reduce/exit from businesses that
are strategically challenged by the new
environment
Positive trends for Credit Suisse
Credit Suisse strategic response
Weak global economy leading to continued
volatile markets and deteriorating credit quality
Changed environment resulting in lower leverage
and reduced demand for complex products
Reduced liquidity leads to divergence between
cash and synthetic markets
Government intervention creates competitive
uncertainties
Slide 46
Allocate resources towards client and flow-based businesses
Reduce/exit businesses that are highly volatile or capital intensive
Implementing our strategy
Priorities
Key objectives
Streamline
expense base
Reduce headcount
Ongoing expense management
Re-align business
portfolio
Reduce risk
Sustained and consistent reduction in dislocated assets
Significant reduction in riskier, more volatile trading positions
Slide 47
Sustained and consistent reduction in dislocated assets
Risk reduction
Leveraged finance CHF bn
Commercial mortgages CHF bn
RMBS and subprime CDO trading
3Q07
4Q07
59
35
(98)%
36
26
(75)%
(69)%
21
1Q08
19
14
15
2Q08
3Q08
11.9
12.8
CHF bn
8.8
0.9
4Q08
1.9
1) Subprime gross positions cut 50% in 4Q08 to CHF 3.1 bn
Exposure cut to minimal levels
with the expiration of certain
commitments and sales of CHF
1.7 bn
No accounting reclassification of
leveraged finance fair valued
assets
Exposure reduced by 31% in
4Q08; sales of CHF 3.9 bn
No accounting reclassification of
CMBS fair valued assets
Reduction in the gross size of the
subprime RMBS and CDO
portfolio to gross CHF 3.1 bn,
net CHF 1.9 bn
No reclassification of RMBS and
subprime CDO fair valued assets
3Q07
4Q07
1Q08
2Q08
3Q08
4Q08
3Q07
4Q07
1Q08
2Q08
3Q08
4Q08
13.3
7.4
6.5
6.8
5.1
16.2
Unfunded
Funded
Other
Subprime
Slide 48
1)
0
25
50
75
100
0
25
50
75
100
Significant reduction in certain equity trading positions
Equity convertibles (market value at period-end, indexed)
Equity trading strategies (gross book at period-end, indexed)
Sell-down of convertibles trading book
now mostly complete
Cumulative position reduction of 76% in
2008
Convertibles business is now primarily
focused on client flow with limited
facilitation
Sell-down of equity principal trading and
risk arbitrage positions now mostly
complete
Cumulative position reduction of 85% in
2008
4Q07
2Q08
3Q08
4Q08
(70)%
4Q07
2Q08
3Q08
4Q08
(73)%
Slide 49
Allocate resources towards client and flow-based businesses
Reduce/exit businesses that are highly volatile or capital intensive
Implementing our strategy
Priorities
Key objectives
Re-align business
portfolio
Reduce risk
Sustained and consistent reduction in dislocated assets
Significant reduction in riskier, more volatile trading positions
Streamline
expense base
Reduce headcount
Ongoing expense management
Slide 50
Emerging Markets - maintain
leading business but with more
limited risk/credit provision
US Leveraged Finance - maintain
leading business but focus on
smaller/quicker to market deals
Cash Equities
Electronic Trading
Prime Services
Equity Derivatives - focus on
flow and corporate trades
Re-aligning the Investment Bank
Equity trading - focus on
quantitative and liquid strategies
Convertibles - focus on client flow
Highly structured derivatives
Illiquid principal trading
Equities
Fixed
Income
Advisory
Develop existing strong market
positions
Maintain competitive advantage but
reduce risk and volatility
Release capital and resources;
reduce volatility
Global Rates
FX
High Grade Credit / DCM
US RMBS secondary trading
Commodities trading
(joint venture)
Strategic advisory (M&A) and
capital markets origination
Mortgage origination
CDO
Non-US Lev fin trading
Non-US RMBS
Highly structured derivatives
Power & Emission trading
Key client businesses
Repositioned businesses
Exit businesses
Corporate Lending - improved
alignment of lending with business
and ability to hedge
Origination of slow to market,
capital-intensive financing
transactions
Slide 51
Re-aligning resources with the strategy
Capital reallocation
Period-end in USD bn
2007 risk-
weighted
assets (RWA)
236
135
Key client
businesses
Repositioned
businesses
Exit
businesses
2008
pro forma
RWA
+16
(34)
(83)
Slide 52
2008 pro forma
revenues
2008 pro forma equity business (CHF bn)
Re-aligning the equity businesses
Repositioned
businesses
5.5
Key client
businesses
Exit businesses
(0.6)
4.9
(2.5)
Equity trading and underwriting revenues
Cash equities
Electronic trading
Prime Services
Flow Derivatives
Equity trading strategies
Convertibles
Complex equity trading
Highly Structured
Derivatives
Develop existing strong
positions
Focus on liquid trading and
client business
Capital/risk reduction
Slide 53
2008 pro forma fixed income business (CHF bn)
Re-aligning the fixed income businesses
(3.6)
7.4
(12.1)
Fixed Income trading and underwriting revenues
11.0
2008 pro forma
revenues
Repositioned
businesses
Key client
businesses
Exit businesses
Global Rates
FX
High Grade / DCM
US RMBS agency
/secondary trading
Commodities trading
(joint venture)
Emerging Markets
US Leveraged Finance
Mortgage origination
CDO
Non-US Leveraged
Finance Trading
Non-US RMBS
Power & Emission trading
Develop existing strong
positions
Focus on liquid trading and
client business
Capital/risk reduction
Slide 54
Cross-bank collaboration effort remains critical
Collaboration revenues
CHF bn
IBs collaboration revenues with the Private
Bank and Asset Management have been
resilient despite market conditions, totaling
CHF 2.4 bn in 2008 vs. CHF 2.7 bn in 2007
Continued cross-selling efforts remain critical,
including tailored products (the Solution
Partners JV) and new client introduction
IB-related revenues are expected to continue
to contribute approximately half of Credit
Suisses collaboration target of CHF 10 bn
2006
2007
2008
Total
4.9
IB - PB
1.6
IB - AM
0.3
Total
5.9
IB - PB
2.2
IB - AM
0.5
Total
5.2
IB - PB
2.0
IB - AM
0.4
Slide 55
Allocate resources towards client and flow-based businesses
Reduce/exit businesses that are highly volatile or capital intensive
Implementing our strategy
Priorities
Key objectives
Re-align business
portfolio
Reduce risk
Sustained and consistent reduction in dislocated assets
Significant reduction in riskier, more volatile trading positions
Streamline
expense base
Reduce headcount
Ongoing expense management
Slide 56
117
118
118
118
112
111
105
110
115
120
Reducing headcount and non-compensation expenses
Source: McLagan
(1) 2008 benchmark data not yet available
Credit Suisse and benchmark non-comp per head (McLagan)
Benchmark non-comp per head
Credit Suisse non-comp per head
(1)
-8%
2005
2006
2007
2008
Investment Banking headcount (period-end)
17,300
18,700
19,700
17,500
20,600
21,300
2005
2006
4Q08
2009E
2007
3Q08
Outperformed peers in both absolute and relative terms
with CS non-comp/head declining by 8% since 2005
Resulting non-comp spend is among the lowest in the
industry
Committed to meeting 2009 year-end target of
17,500
Headcount reduction of 1,600 in 4Q08 with further
reductions scheduled for 2009 consistent with
December announcement
Slide 57
108
In USD thousands
Investment Bank cost savings target
Total expected 2009 cost savings of CHF 1.3 bn of Credit Suisse total CHF 2 bn compared to
9M08 annualized
82% of savings from direct costs and 18% from shared services allocations
IB direct
compensation
(0.7)
IB direct
non-comp
Shared
services
Total cost
savings
Cost savings planned from re-alignment program
CHF bn
(0.4)
(0.2)
(1.3)
Slide 58
4Q08: Market Conditions and Financial Results
Repositioning the Investment Bank
Financial Implications
Slide 59
2008 pro forma results
17.7
(11.1)
2.1
CHF bn
(4.5)
13.2
5.5
10.9
1.3
(0.2)
1.1
7.2
4.9
Equity
Fixed Income
Strategic Advisory (M&A)
and Capital Markets
Origination
Key client
businesses
Repositioned
businesses
Operating costs
and credit
provisions
Pre-tax
Income
2008
pro forma
revenues
(3.7)
(1)
1) Includes fair value gain on own debt of CHF 3.6 bn
(0.6)
Slide 60
2.5
4.1
2.1
0.7
13.2
17.0
14.9
11.8
Improved returns over the cycle with lower volatility
Pro forma Investment Banking revenue
2005
2006
2007
2008
Pro forma Investment Banking pre-tax income
Pro forma analysis of repositioned Investment
Bank demonstrates robust revenues and
earnings and at a much lower volatility
Average margins and returns should be higher
through the cycle with the IB avoiding the
losses suffered in 2008
Significantly lower risk capital usage in
Investment Bank resulting in a more balanced
capital allocation across Credit Suisse
Re-aligned model intended to be capital
generative through the cycle, with tight capital
and risk usage across all businesses,
particularly for illiquid positions
2005
2006
2007
2008
1) Excludes litigation charge of CHF 960 m in 2005 and net insurance settlement credits of CHF 508 m in 2006 and CHF 208 m in 2008
CHF bn
CHF bn
Slide 61
1)
Pro forma risk-weighted assets (USD bn)
99
129
161
135
A client-focused, capital efficient business
Competitive strengths of the Investment Bank strategy
Capital generative strategy
Profitable through the cycle: lower volatility, lower risks and lower costs
Focus on clients, core to the Integrated Bank model
Stable counterparty in highly stressed environment
Slide 62
Fourth quarter and full-year 2008 results
Renato Fassbind, Chief Financial Officer, Credit Suisse
Introduction
Brady W. Dougan, Chief Executive Officer, Credit Suisse
Risk review and outlook
D. Wilson Ervin, Chief Risk Officer, Credit Suisse
Investment Banking: Capital efficient strategy
Paul Calello, Chief Executive Officer, Investment Banking
Summary
Brady W. Dougan
Slide 63
Supplemental information
Continued reduction in exposures; additional
writedowns due to deteriorating credit markets
Business area (in CHF bn)
Change
Exposures
4Q08
Origination-
based
(exposures
shown gross)
Trading-
based
(exposures
shown net)
3Q08
Net writedowns
4Q08
3Q08
Slide 65
1)
1) Exposure shown gross of index hedges of CHF 8.2 bn (CHF 7.0 bn in 3Q08) held in focus areas. These hedges include non-investment grade, crossover and non-residential
mortgage indices
only. Excludes other indices (e.g. investment grade) and single name hedges. Residential hedges embedded in US Subprime residential mortgage & CDO
trading are included in the net exposures shown above and not included in the total
for Index hedges.
Leveraged finance
0.9
11.9
(92%)
(0.9)
(0.9)
Commercial mortgages
8.8
12.8
(31%)
(1.0)
(1.0)
Residential mortgages and
subprime CDO trading
5.1
6.8
(25%)
(1.3)
(0.6)
of which US subprime
1.9
2.1
(10%)
Total
(3.2)
(2.4)
Leveraged finance exposures
Total exposure down 92% during 4Q08 to
CHF 0.9 bn
Significant reduction was primarily due to the
expiration of a commitment to a single
borrower, which accounted for over half of our
exposure in 3Q08
Positions are fair valued; no reclassifications to
banking book
Gross exposure (CHF bn)
Roll-forward (CHF bn)
1) Figures exclude term financing to support certain sales transactions (total CHF 1.8 bn)
4Q08
3Q08
Unfunded
Funded
4Q08
3Q08
(CHF bn)
Slide 66
Unfunded commitments
0.3
8.9
Funded positions
0.6
2.8
Equity bridges
0.0
0.2
Total gross exposure 1)
0.9
11.9
Net writedowns
(0.9)
(0.9)
Exposures 3Q08
8.9
2.8
New exposures
Fundings
(0.7)
0.7
Sales, terminations,
writedowns and FX
(7.9)
(2.9)
Exposures 4Q08
0.3
0.6
Commercial mortgage (CMBS) exposures
Gross exposure reduced 31% to CHF 8.8 bn
Average original loan-to-value (LTV) is
approximately
70%
Development loans are less than 4% of portfolio
Positions are fair valued; no reclassifications to
banking book
Properties seeing more stress in fundamentals,
but most credits are performing
Portfolio has significant protection from LTV
haircut and fair valuation
(CHF bn)
4Q08
3Q08
Roll-forward of exposure (CHF bn)
1) Includes both loans in the warehouse as well as securities in syndication; excludes term financing CHF 0.4 bn to support certain sales transactions
(CHF bn)
4Q08
3Q08
Slide 67
Warehouse exposure 1)
8.8
12.8
Exposure 3Q08
12.8
New loan originations
0.0
Sales, terminations,
writedowns & FX
(4.0)
Exposure 4Q08
8.8
Net writedowns
(1.0)
(1.0)
Residential mortgages and subprime CDO trading
Exposures are fair valued using market levels
Losses mostly from declines in value of non-
subprime positions, including impairment of a
swap counterparty
25% decrease in exposures during 4Q08,
mainly from Europe and Alt-A positions
4Q08
3Q08
Net exposure 1) (CHF bn)
4Q08
3Q08
1) All non-agency business, including higher quality segments and CDO subprime only
(CHF bn)
Slide 68
Net writedowns
(1.3)
(0.6)
US subprime
1.9
2.1
US Alt-A
0.6
1.1
US prime
0.6
0.9
Europe
0.8
1.8
Asia
1.2
0.9
Total net exposure
5.1
6.8
US subprime exposure detail
Gross exposure (i.e. driver of basis risk")
reduced by 50%
Exposures are fair valued using market
level
Most exposure in the AAA rated and from
2007 vintage
Exposure to basis risks if values shift
among vintage / rating buckets reduced
during 4Q08
Exposure (CHF bn)
Long
Short
Net
Sensitivities to possible adverse market
developments
(CHF bn)
Slide 69
4Q08
3.1
(1.2)
1.9
of which Legacy CDO
0.7
(0.5)
0.2
3Q08
6.2
(4.1)
2.1
of which Legacy CDO
2.8
(1.8)
1.0
Potential scenario
Estimated loss
20% drop in ABS subprime
(0.4)
10% wider cash/CDS basis
(0.4)
2006 vintage outperforms by 10%
0.0
AAA underperforms by 10%
(0.1)
Asset Management: money market liftout portfolio
Gross exposure (CHF bn)
4Q08
Securities transferred to bank balance sheet
Roll-forward of exposure (CHF bn)
3Q08
4Q08
3Q08
Portfolio reduced by 44% in 4Q08 largely due to
sale and restructuring of SIV and ABS positions
Modest liftouts (Corporates) during 4Q08
Positions now carried at a weighted average
value of approx. 43% to par
(CHF bn)
Slide 70
Structured Inv. Vehicles (SIVs)
0.4
0.7
Asset Backed Securities (ABS)
0.0
0.2
Corporates
0.2
0.1
Total
0.6
1.0
of which subprime-related
0.0
0.1
Exposure 3Q08
1.0
Sales, maturities, writedowns and FX
(0.4)
Exposure 4Q08
0.6
Net writedowns
(0.2)
(0.0)
SIGNATURES
Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned, thereunto duly authorized.
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CREDIT SUISSE GROUP AG and CREDIT SUISSE |
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(Registrant) |
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By: |
/s/ Urs Rohner |
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(Signature)* |
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General Counsel |
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Credit Suisse Group AG and Credit Suisse |
Date: February 11, 2009 |
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/s/ Charles Naylor |
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Head of Corporate Communications |
*Print the name and title under the signature of the signing officer. |
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Credit Suisse Group AG and Credit Suisse |