UNITED STATES SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION Washington, D.C. 20549 FORM 8-K CURRENT REPORT Pursuant to Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 Date of Report (Date of earliest event reported) July 27, 2004 THE COMMERCE GROUP, INC. (Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter) Massachusetts 001-13672 04-2599931 (State or other (Commission File (IRS Employer jurisdiction Number) Identification of Incorporation) No.) 211 Main Street, Webster, Massachusetts 01570 (Address of principal executive offices) (Zip Code) Registrants telephone number, including area code: (508) 943-9000 Page 1 of 9 The Commerce Group, Inc. Form 8-K July 27, 2004 Item 12. RESULTS OF OPERATIONS AND FINANCIAL CONDITION The following information is being furnished under Item 12 - Results of Operations and Financial Condition. Such information, including the exhibit attached hereto, shall not be deemed "filed" for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, or otherwise subject to the liability of that section. On July 23, 2004, The Commerce Group, Inc. (the "Company") issued a press release announcing its results for the quarter ended June 30, 2004. A copy of the press release is attached as Exhibit 99.1 to this Form 8-K. SIGNATURE Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, the Registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned thereunto duly authorized. THE COMMERCE GROUP, INC. July 27, 2004 /s/ Randall V. Becker Randall V. Becker Treasurer and Accounting Officer Page 2 of 9 Exhibit 99.1 Press Release RELEASE: Immediate (July 23, 2004) CONTACT: Randall V. Becker Treasurer (508) 949-4129 The Commerce Group, Inc. Announces 2004 Second Quarter Results and Comparison to 2003 WEBSTER, Mass., July 23, 2004 -- The Commerce Group, Inc. (NYSE:CGI) today reported 2004 second quarter results. Net earnings were $37.4 million, or $1.14 per diluted share, compared to net earnings of $71.5 million or $2.22 per diluted share for 2003. During the second quarter of 2004, the Company had net realized investment losses of $8.6 million or $0.17 per diluted share, compared to gains of $65.9 million or $1.53 per diluted share in the second quarter of 2003. A complete breakdown of this information is included in the attached tables. Earned premiums were $404.5 million for the second quarter of 2004, compared to $350.3 million for 2003. A schedule of direct written premiums to earned premiums is included in the attached tables. The second quarter GAAP consolidated operating combined ratio was 91.7%, compared to 100.5% for 2003. The decrease in the combined ratio was the result of a decrease in both the loss ratio and the underwriting ratio. The Companys GAAP consolidated loss ratio for the second quarter of 2004 decreased to 68.4% from 76.9% during the same period last year. The improvement was primarily the result of an increase in average earned premium revenue per automobile and a decline in the current year personal automobile physical damage claim frequency. The Companys GAAP consolidated underwriting ratio decreased to 23.3%, as compared to 23.6% for last years second quarter, primarily as a net result of lower 2004 policy year mandated Massachusetts personal automobile commission rates partially offset by higher accrued contingent commissions. Cumulative June 30, 2004 Results Net earnings for the first six months of 2004 were $88.4 million, or $2.70 per diluted share, compared to net earnings of $84.4 million or $2.62 per diluted share for 2003. During the first six months of 2004, the Company had net realized investment gains of $11.9 million or $0.24 per diluted share, compared to gains of $60.0 million or $1.33 per diluted share in the same period of 2003. A complete breakdown of this information is included in the attached tables. Earned premiums were $800.1 million for the six months of 2004, compared to $688.3 million for 2003. A schedule of direct written premiums to earned premiums is included in the attached tables. MORE Page 3 of 9 CGI 2Q04 Earnings Release (page 2 of 7) The 2004 six month GAAP consolidated operating combined ratio was 92.7%, compared to 100.5% for 2003. The decrease in the combined ratio was the result of a decrease in the loss ratio, partially offset by an increase in the underwriting ratio. The Companys GAAP consolidated loss ratio for the first six months of 2004 decreased to 69.8% from 79.0% during the same period last year. The improvement was the result of several factors, including: (1) an increase in average earned premium revenue per automobile; (2) a decline in the current year personal automobile physical damage claim frequency; and, (3) a decrease in the overall Commonwealth Automobile Reinsures (C.A.R.) deficit. The Companys GAAP consolidated underwriting ratio increased to 22.9% for the first six months of 2004, as compared to 21.5% for 2003, primarily as a net result of higher accrued contingent commissions offset by lower 2004 policy year mandated Massachusetts personal automobile commission rates. A complete presentation of June 30, 2004 and 2003 financial statement information, including a breakdown of the components of the combined ratio and realized investment gains and losses, is included in the financial statements attached to this press release. Additional supplemental financial information will be available on July 26th on the Companys website at www.commerceinsurance.com, under the "Links" section of the "News and Investor Information" area. At June 30, 2004, the Company had authority to purchase approximately 858,000 additional shares of common stock under the current Board of Directors stock re-purchase authorization, which excludes treasury stock acquired as a result of officer stock option exercises. During the second quarter of 2004, the Company acquired 493,361 shares of treasury stock at an average price of $45.95 per share as a result of option exercises. Also during the second quarter, the Company issued approximately 924,000 shares of common stock related to all option exercises. All quarterly figures are unedited and all results are reported in accordance with accounting principles generally accepted in the United States (GAAP). About The Commerce Group, Inc. The Commerce Group, Inc. is headquartered in Webster, Massachusetts. Property and casualty insurance subsidiaries include The Commerce Insurance Company and Citation Insurance Company in Massachusetts, Commerce West Insurance Company in California, and American Commerce Insurance Company in Ohio. Through its subsidiaries combined insurance activities, the Company is ranked as the 20th largest personal automobile insurance group in the country by the Auto Insurance Report, based on NAIC 2003 direct written premium information. Forward Looking Statements This press release may contain statements that are not historical fact and constitute "forward-looking statements" within the meaning of Section 27A of the Securities Act and Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act. Statements about our expectations, beliefs, plans, objectives, assumptions or future events or performance are not historical facts and may be forward- looking. These statements are often, but not always, made through the use of words or phrases such as "anticipates," "estimates," "plans," "projects," "continuing," "ongoing," "expects," "may," "should," "management believes," "we believe," "we intend," and similar words or phrases. MORE Page 4 of 9 CGI 2Q 04 Earnings Release (page 4 of 7) THE COMMERCE GROUP, INC. (NYSE - CGI) CONSOLIDATED BALANCE SHEETS June 30, 2004 and 2003 (Thousands of Dollars, Except Per Share Data) Unaudited June 30, June 30, 2004 2003 Investments Fixed maturities, at market $ 1,668,640 $ 808,990 Assets Investments Fixed maturities, at market $ 1,594,035 $ 918,793 Preferred stocks, at market $ 380,783 $ 349,075 Common stocks, at market $ 94,932 $ 69,454 Preferred stock mutual funds, at equity $ 51,687 $ 259,403 Mortgage loans $ 14,788 $ 19,135 Cash and cash equivalents $ 73,794 $ 142,755 Other investments $ 29,409 $ 24,749 Total investments $ 2,239,428 $ 1,783,364 Accrued investment income $ 20,100 $ 15,820 Premiums receivable $ 446,418 $ 392,743 Deferred policy acquisition costs $ 174,375 $ 157,247 Property and equipment $ 51,722 $ 51,552 Due from reinsurers $ 124,656 $ 111,679 Residual market receivable $ 222,392 $ 179,628 Current income taxes $ 6,790 $ - Deferred income taxes $ 59,046 $ 34,912 Receivable for securities sold $ 2,282 $ 21,505 Other assets $ 17,312 $ 12,647 Total assets $ 3,364,521 $ 2,761,097 Liabilities Losses and LAE $ 1,015,264 $ 893,248 Unearned premiums $ 943,157 $ 822,727 Bonds payable $ 298,085 $ - Current income taxes $ - $ 15,270 Deferred income $ 9,132 $ 7,730 Contingent commissions accrued $ 33,790 $ 21,192 Payable for securities purchased $ 16 $ 52,361 Outstanding checks payable $ 37,521 $ 31,715 Other liabilities $ 63,790 $ 56,700 Total liabilities $ 2,400,755 $ 1,900,943 Minority interest $ 4,542 $ 4,228 Stockholders equity Preferred stock - - Common stock $ 20,135 $ 19,178 Paid-in capital $ 118,125 $ 42,140 Net accumulated other comprehensive income (loss) $ (21,821) $ 32,353 Retained earnings $ 1,064,876 $ 941,544 Stockholders equity before treasury stock $ 1,181,315 $ 1,035,215 Treasury stock $ (222,091) $ (179,289) Total stockholders equity $ 959,224 $ 855,926 Total liabilities, minority interest and stockholders equity $ 3,364,521 $ 2,761,097 Common shares outstanding 32,913,020 31,955,030 Stockholders equity per share $ 29.14 $ 26.79 Page 6 of 9 CGI 2Q 04 Earnings Release (page 5 of 7) THE COMMERCE GROUP, INC. (NYSE - CGI) CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF EARNINGS Three and Six Months Ended June 30, 2004 and 2003 (Thousands of Dollars, Except Per Share Data) Three Months Ended Six Months Ended June 30, June 30, 2004 2003 2004 2003 Revenues: Earned premiums $ 350,269 $ 296,410 $ 688,256 $ 577,174 Earned premiums $ 404,511 $ 350,269 $ 800,079 $ 688,256 Net investment income $ 28,209 $ 23,108 $ 56,024 $ 45,812 Premium finance and service fees $ 6,706 $ 6,915 $ 13,750 $ 13,245 Net realized investment gains (losses) $ (8,602) $ 65,864 $ 11,857 $ 60,020 Other income $ 113 $ - $ 113 $ - TOTAL REVENUES $ 430,937 $ 446,156 $ 881,823 $ 807,333 Expenses: Losses and LAE $ 276,506 $ 269,211 $ 558,688 $ 543,605 Policy acquisition costs $ 98,200 $ 86,268 $ 190,424 $ 155,770 Interest expense & amortization of bond fees $ 4,512 $ - $ 9,095 $ - TOTAL EXPENSES $ 379,218 $ 355,479 $ 758,207 $ 699,375 Earnings before income taxes and minority interest $ 51,719 $ 90,677 $ 123,616 $ 107,958 Income taxes $ 14,152 $ 19,080 $ 34,904 $ 23,485 Earnings before minority interest $ 37,567 $ 71,597 $ 88,712 $ 84,473 Less the income in minority interest in subsidiary $ (177) $ (124) $ (282) $ (80) NET EARNINGS $ 37,390 $ 71,473 $ 88,430 $ 84,393 COMPREHENSIVE INCOME (LOSS) $ (20,915) $ 75,057 $ 37,526 $ 91,482 EARNINGS PER COMMON SHARE: BASIC $ 1.14 $ 2.24 $ 2.72 $ 2.64 DILUTED $ 1.14 $ 2.22 $ 2.70 $ 2.62 Cash dividends paid per common share $ 0.33 $ 0.32 $ 0.65 $ 0.63 Weighted average shares outstanding: BASIC 32,684,245 31,930,507 32,484,585 31,986,847 DILUTED 32,906,206 32,156,738 32,692,519 32,187,013 Page 7 of 9 CGI 2Q 04 Earnings Release (page 6 of 7) THE COMMERCE GROUP, INC. (NYSE - CGI) ADDITIONAL EARNINGS INFORMATION Three Months and Six Months June 30, 2004 and 2003 (Thousands of Dollars, Except Per Share Data) Unaudited Three Months Ended Six Months Ended June 30, June 30, 2004 2003 2004 2003 ADDITIONAL EARNINGS INFORMATION: Direct written premiums to earned premiums reconciliation: Direct written premiums $ 467,986 $ 415,787 $ 966,573 $ 864,581 Assumed premiums $ 43,492 $ 29,769 $ 77,570 $ 57,752 Ceded premiums $ (65,719) $ (60,081) $ (120,710) $ (109,823) Net written premiums $ 445,759 $ 385,475 $ 923,433 $ 812,510 Increase in unearned premiums $ (41,248) $ (35,206) $ (123,354) $ (124,254) Earned premiums $ 404,511 $ 350,269 $ 800,079 $ 688,256 GAAP consolidated operating ratios: (1) Loss ratio 68.4% 76.9% 69.8% 79.0% Underwriting ratio 23.3% 23.6% 22.9% 21.5% Combined ratio 91.7% 100.5% 92.7% 100.5% GAAP operating ratios for combined insurance subsidiaries only: (2) Loss ratio 67.5% 76.1% 68.9% 78.7% Underwriting ratio 22.5% 23.0% 22.0% 21.3% Combined ratio 90.0% 99.1% 90.9% 100.0% Breakdown of net realized investment gains (losses) Fixed maturities $ (6,387) $ 12,652 $ 3,271 $ 16,025 Preferred stocks $ 2,693 $ 8,131 $ 7,200 $ 9,112 Common stocks $ 505 $ 13,485 $ 4,944 $ 13,752 Preferred stock mutual funds: Due to increase (decrease) in NAV $ (5,259) $ 34,136 $ (3,146) $ 39,747 Due to sales $ 38 $ (1,524) $ 38 $ (1,566) Venture capital fund investments $ (184) $ (463) $ 1,515 $ (1,051) Other $ (8) $ (60) $ (197) $ (50) Other than temporary writedowns $ - $ (493) $ (1,768) $ (15,949) Net realized investment gains (losses) before tax $ (8,602) $ 65,864 $ 11,857 $ 60,020 Income tax (benefit) at 35% $ (3,011) $ 23,052 $ 4,150 $ 21,007 Net realized investment gains (losses) after tax and before impact of tax valuation allowance $ (5,591) $ 42,812 $ 7,707 $ 39,013 Impact of tax valuation allowance $ - $ 6,316 $ - $ 3,936 Net realized investment gains (losses) after tax and after impact of tax valuation allowance $ (5,591) $ 49,128 $ 7,707 $ 42,949 Per diluted share net realized gains (losses) after tax and after impact of tax valuation allowance $ (0.17) $ 1.53 $ 0.24 $ 1.33 Page 8 of 9 CGI 2Q 04 Earnings Release (page 6 of 7) - Continued THE COMMERCE GROUP, INC. (NYSE - CGI) ADDITIONAL EARNINGS INFORMATION Three Months and Six Months June 30, 2004 and 2003 (Thousands of Dollars, Except Per Share Data) Unaudited (1) GAAP consolidated operating ratios are calculated as in (2) below using the combined insurance subsidiaries loss and underwriting results, adding to them the expenses of the holding companies (corporate expenses) in order to equal the loss and underwriting expense amounts on the income statement. For purposes of the U/W ratio, underwriting expenses are grossed-up for the increase in deferred acquisition costs of $5,766 and $4,693 for the three months ended and $20,769 and $19,005 for the six months ended June 30, 2004 and 2003, respectively. (2) GAAP operating ratios for combined insurance subsidiaries are calculated as follows: (a) The loss ratio represents losses and LAE divided by earned premiums; and, (b) The underwriting ratio represents underwriting expenses (excluding changes in deferred acquisition costs), divided by net premiums written. No corporate expenses are included in the calculations. Page 9 of 9