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DAX 30, FTSE Index Technical Analysis
September 25, 2021
EU Indices: DAX 30, FTSE 100, STOXX 50 Elliott Wave forecast and trading.
Via
Talk Markets
Taper, No Tantrum
September 23, 2021
Reaction to the FOMC statement was going according to our script, with the USD backing off on a buy rumor sell the fact type of activity until Powell provided an end date for the tapering (mid-2022)...
Via
Talk Markets
It's Not What You Don't Know; It's What You Know That Ain't So
September 19, 2021
In a recent post, I listed a bunch of myths that we teach to our students. One of them was specifically applicable to the German population—the myth that hyperinflation put the Nazis in power.
Via
Talk Markets
DAX 30 & FTSE 100 Elliott Wave Technical Analysis
September 18, 2021
DAX 30 Index, FTSE 100 & Stoxx 50 Elliott Wave Forecast & Trading
Via
Talk Markets
For the ECB, only next year’s inflation matters
September 02, 2021
At next week's ECB meeting any changes to the communication and policy stance look unlikely. Nothing else matters – only the inflation outlook.
Via
Talk Markets
Eurozone Unemployment Is Rapidly Declining As Economies Reopen
September 01, 2021
The unemployment rate fell by 0.2 percentage points to 7.6% in July, continuing a rapid decline since economies reopened from the second wave. This adds to medium-term inflation pressures, which will...
Via
Talk Markets
Eurozone Economic Recovery On Track For Strong Growth In 3Q
August 30, 2021
The Economic Sentiment Indicator declined in August, but still signals strong growth for 3Q.
Via
Talk Markets
EU Indices Technical Analysis
August 28, 2021
DAX 30, FTSE 100, STOXX 50 Technical Analysis - Elliott Wave Forecast and Trading
Via
Talk Markets
Tapering Is Just Not On The ECB Menu Card…Yet
August 26, 2021
The latest ECB minutes confirm that at least in July, the only thing on the ECB’s mind was the new forward guidance and not tapering. The summer of 2021 is clearly the summer of doves.
Via
Talk Markets
Eurozone Finances Have Deteriorated
August 26, 2021
Despite negative interest rates and money printing by the European Central Bank, having gone nowhere, Eurozone nominal GDP is even lower than it was before the Lehman crisis.
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Economy
Exposures
Interest Rates
Eurozone PMI May Be Past Its Peak But Still Signals Strong Growth For 3Q
August 23, 2021
A slight decline in Eurozone PMI from 60.2 to 59.5 indicates that the rebound is set to keep GDP growth elevated for 3Q. But concerns about input shortages in manufacturing and inflationary pressures...
Via
Talk Markets
Eurozone Industrial Production Falls Again In June On Supply Problems
August 12, 2021
Supply constraints continue to dampen production but as demand remains strong, this is unlikely to throw off the economic recovery altogether. Still, continued problems do weaken third quarter GDP...
Via
Talk Markets
Eurozone mobility plateaus: Delta impact or summer lull?
August 06, 2021
The relationship between mobility and economic activity was very strong during the first wave of the coronavirus in spring 2020 but has weakened over time, as businesses have better adapted to the...
Via
Talk Markets
Exposures
COVID-19
Markets Becalmed
August 04, 2021
The US 10-year yield is hovering around 1.18% in Europe, while the on-the-run JGB benchmark yield is below zero for the first time this year. Greek and Australia's 10-year bond yields are at new...
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Bonds
Exposures
Debt Markets
Eurozone Inflation Jumps Above Target As Unemployment Drops Further
July 30, 2021
Inflation jumped on food and energy prices, while core inflation ticked down despite German VAT effects kicking in. Not much evidence of overheating in this release.
Via
Talk Markets
Eurozone Monetary Aggregates Reflect Solid Housing Market
July 27, 2021
Money growth decelerated to 8.3% year-on-year in June, but the underlying loan figures reflect a solid housing market and an upturn in business investment.
Via
Talk Markets
Eurozone bank lending to households at 13-Year peak
July 27, 2021
Net lending to businesses remains weak, but this is largely TLTRO-related and may improve in the months ahead.
Via
Talk Markets
Eurozone consumer confidence drops surprisingly as new cases rebound
July 22, 2021
Confidence has come down from euphoric levels as new cases increase again in large eurozone economies.
Via
Talk Markets
FX Daily: Remember The China Risk Factor?
July 26, 2021
Deteriorating political ties between Beijing and Western economies, along with further signs of a crackdown on Chinese tech companies, have caused a sell-off in Chinese equities, and a risk-off...
Via
Talk Markets
ECB Preview: Clarification Of The Clarification
July 15, 2021
Next week's ECB meeting should shed more light on whether the new strategy is just window-dressing and the formalization of the well-known monetary policy stance or actually a shift towards more...
Via
Talk Markets
Eurozone industrial production falls on the back of supply chain problems
July 14, 2021
Supply chain problems continue to weigh on the eurozone industry causing production to fall by -1% MoM.
Via
Talk Markets
Eurozone Debt Imbalances Aren't Sustainable Yet They're Unfixable Due to Germany's Constitution
July 12, 2021
What cannot go on forever, won't. But what's the resolution?
Via
Talk Markets
ECB To Change Policy Guidance
July 12, 2021
European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde recently commented that the bank will be changing its policy guidance in its next meeting to show that reviving inflation is an important goal for the...
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Economy
Exposures
Interest Rates
Eurozone labor shortages unlikely to become a structural problem quickly
July 05, 2021
Labor shortage isn't such a big issue in the Eurozone, as is the case in the US, but as the economy re-opens in full force, this theme is likely to surface evermore.
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Economy
Exposures
Economy
Eurozone inflation ticks down but pipeline pressures remain
June 30, 2021
Headline inflation is at 1.9% and for a brief moment in time, the European Central Bank has achieved its goal.
Via
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Topics
Economy
Exposures
Interest Rates
Eurozone reopening euphoria as consumer confidence surges
June 22, 2021
In June, consumer confidence increased to -3.3, which is well above pre-pandemic levels and getting close to all-time highs.
Via
Talk Markets
Two Trades To Watch: EUR/GBP, Gold - Wednesday, June 30
June 30, 2021
EUR/GBP tests 0.86 after UK GDP Q1 downward revision & ahead of Eurozone data. England may be going for Gold but that hasn't helped the precious metal which trades at 2 month lows ahead of ADP data.
Via
Talk Markets
ECB Negative Interest Rate Policies: Who Gains, Who Loses?
June 29, 2021
Seven years ago, the European Central Bank pushed policy rates into negative territory. It has led to substantial redistributive effects within the eurozone banking sector.
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Economy
Exposures
Interest Rates
Forex Today: U.S. Stocks Close At Record High
June 28, 2021
U.S. stock markets continue to advance to record highs as the Fed & Treasury seem to successfully sooth inflation fears.
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Economy
Exposures
Interest Rates
Two Trades To Watch: EUR/USD, DAX - Thursday, Jun. 17
June 17, 2021
The Fed unexpectedly moved forward the timeline to normalizing monetary policy. The move sent the USD surging higher, pulling EUR/USD down to 1.20. The Dax traces Wall Street lower post Fed.
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Economy
Exposures
Interest Rates
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