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Updated: 4:00 PM EDT, Jul 12, 2024
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Position Squaring Ahead Of US Data Helps The Dollar Recoup Some Recent Losses
August 31, 2023
Via
Talk Markets
That Escalated Quickly
August 30, 2023
Equities got plenty of assistance from big drops in bond yields, with the 2-year note falling 15 basis points, from 5.05% to 4.9%. That is a stunning move.
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Bonds
Exposures
Debt Markets
Bad News, Stocks Rally? Your Tuesday Update And Plan For The Week
August 29, 2023
We had another
Via
Talk Markets
Yields Set To Fall And Gold Set To Soar
August 29, 2023
Global gold bug excitement continues to build, and rightly so, as the current metals market rally gains momentum.
Via
Talk Markets
Still No Follow-Through Dollar Buying After Last Week's Surge
August 29, 2023
The dollar was threatening to break higher at the end of last week, and the euro and sterling closed below key supports.
Via
Talk Markets
Deficit Surge Will Lead To Lower Rates, Not Higher
August 26, 2023
As debt and deficits increase, Central Banks will be forced to suppress interest rates to keep borrowing costs down to sustain weak economic growth rates.
Via
Talk Markets
Yikes Or YOLO?
August 22, 2023
When bonds and stocks fundamentally disagree, it is the bond market that is more often proved correct.
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Bonds
Exposures
Debt Markets
Bill Gross Is Bearish On Both Stocks And Bonds
August 18, 2023
Longtime
Via
Talk Markets
Peeking Into Future Via CoT, Hedge Fund Positions
August 27, 2023
Hedge funds' net shorts in e-mini S&P 500 futures were up 12.7% week over week from 60-week low. Meanwhile the S&P 500 is up 0.8%.
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Stocks
Exposures
US Equities
Volatility Has Cracked This Market Wide Open
August 25, 2023
Bonds are a critical destabilizing factor.
Via
Talk Markets
As Yields Rise, Is This A Bad Time To Buy Bonds? Or One The Best?
August 25, 2023
Bond yields have been rising fast and suddenly, investors are starting to worry they'll go higher for longer than the market has been expecting.
Via
Talk Markets
What’s Behind The Rise In U.S. Treasury Yields?
August 25, 2023
A discussion about key drivers behind the increase in U.S. Treasury yields and what the latest global PMI (purchasing managers’ index) surveys suggest about the health of the global economy.
Via
Talk Markets
Dollar Bid And Rates Firm Ahead Of Powell
August 25, 2023
The market appears to be going into Powell's speech with a hawkish bias and the odds of a hike next month have crept up to slightly more than 20% from about 10% at the end of last week.
Via
Talk Markets
SPX Futures Decline
August 18, 2023
SPX futures declined to a morning low of 4345.70 and are hovering near their lows. The nearest known support is the Minor Wave 4 low at 4335.00.
Via
Talk Markets
European Stock Markets Gain Momentum Amid Tech Rally And Mixed Economic Data
August 24, 2023
European equity markets displayed notable gains on Thursday, with pan-European STOXX 600 posting an increase of around 0.9%.
Via
Talk Markets
Rising Yield Curve Means Rising Market
August 23, 2023
As inflation persists, rates are likely to rise as investors seek protection owning equities of companies that have the ability to pass through inflation’s costs and remain profitable.
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Economy
Exposures
Interest Rates
So Many Equity Risk Premium Models, So Little Time
August 23, 2023
How many equity risk premiums are out there? The variety is at once a challenge and a tool.
Via
Talk Markets
Gold Stocks And A 100 Yard Dash
August 22, 2023
While rates could move a bit higher, they are in a big resistance zone. A significant reaction is likely to happen soon, and perhaps it starts right now.
Via
Talk Markets
Dollar Eases, Stocks And Bonds Advance
August 22, 2023
For the first time in more than a week, North American dealers will take to their posts with the dollar softer against all the G10 and most of the emerging market currencies.
Via
Talk Markets
Treasury Yields Soar To 16 Year High As 30Y Mortgage Rates Near 21st Century High
August 21, 2023
The selloff in the bond market resumed with a vengeance on Monday.
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Bonds
Exposures
Debt Markets
Have U.S. Bond Yields Began A New Long-Term Trend Higher?
August 21, 2023
Rising interest rates are beginning to spook investors. And rightfully so.
Via
Talk Markets
Market Volatility Amid Fed's Continued Tightening, Yet Lucrative Prospects Await
August 21, 2023
August has ushered in market turbulence, with important indices poised for another week of losses, veering into negative territory for the month.
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Economy
Exposures
Interest Rates
Can USDJPY Gains Continue On Rising US Treasuries?
August 21, 2023
The rise in US Treasuries on thoughts the Fed may need to be more restrictive on rates has been nudging the USDJPY pair higher over August.
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Economy
Exposures
Interest Rates
Weekly Market Pulse: Is The Correction Over?
August 21, 2023
Put/call ratios have risen with the equity only ratio rising above 1 last week, a level usually associated with the bottom of corrections.
Via
Talk Markets
Challenges Of A Different Sort
August 20, 2023
Investors are currently facing a challenge of a different sort with increasing, not decreasing, bond yields.
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Bonds
Exposures
Debt Markets
Yields Roar To New Highs
August 19, 2023
US yields pushed to their cycle highs during the past week, with 2-year and 10-year Treasury notes breaching prior support levels at 5% and 4.25%, respectively.
Via
Talk Markets
How Far Could Stocks Fall?
August 18, 2023
Rising interest rates and concerns about Fed policy contributed to another week of declines in the stock market.
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Economy
Exposures
Interest Rates
The Importance Of 10 (And 20) Year New Highs In Interest Rates
August 18, 2023
Almost always in the past, interest rates peaked before the Fed finished hiking interest rates. This suggests that the Fed is likely to make at least one more rate hike.
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Economy
Exposures
Interest Rates
US Stocks Pressured Amid Rate Hike Concerns And China Credit Risks
August 18, 2023
Dow Jones is little changed while extending losses for the fourth session in the overnight session.
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Stocks
Exposures
US Equities
The Drumbeat Of Inflation
August 18, 2023
The recession-is-coming narrative is dead and the inflation-is-over narrative is dominant, making the Fed’s job that much harder and making resurgent inflation that much more likely.
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Economy
Exposures
Interest Rates
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