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Stock Market Rally Losing Steam?
June 12, 2021
The S&P printed a new all-time high this Friday - was it confirmed or called into question?
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Stocks
Exposures
US Equities
Five Year Breakeven Inflation Expectations
June 06, 2021
The five-year Treasure/Tips Spread, adjusted for premia.
Via
Talk Markets
Stock Market: Tired, Or Rejuvenated?
June 05, 2021
Did Friday's post-employment-report rally put the bulls bulls back in full control?
Via
Talk Markets
Eerily Serene Risk-Off Markets
May 26, 2021
S&P 500 had a mixed day, and the credit market underlines the shift to risk-off.
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Stocks
Exposures
US Equities
Weekly Market Pulse: The Crypto Distraction
May 24, 2021
Ultimately, a longer term bull market in commodities will depend, at least to some degree, on the course of the dollar.
Via
Talk Markets
Foreseeing The “Flation” Knuckleball & Investor Implications
May 19, 2021
There is a home-run trade in the making if you get the “flation” trade right and the market is wrong on its outlook. Like hitting an erratic knuckleball, locating such a fat pitch is extremely...
Via
Talk Markets
Major Asset Classes Had A Rough Time Last Week: Everything Fell
May 17, 2021
Red ink splattered near and far in last week’s trading for the major asset classes, based on a set of exchange traded funds at the close on Friday, May 14.
Via
Talk Markets
What CPI (And PPI)?
May 14, 2021
The 10-year TIPS breakeven was practically unchanged through the entire two-day episode, likewise a fraction lower now than when it started.
Via
Talk Markets
Investors Pump $9.0 Billion Into Equity Funds Amid Rising Expectations of Market Volatility
May 13, 2021
During Refinitiv Lipper’s fund-flows week ended May 12, 2021, investors were overall net purchasers of fund assets (including both conventional funds and ETFs) for the thirteenth week in 15.
Via
Talk Markets
Inflation Zooms To 13-Year High: 5 Solid TIPS ETF Picks
May 13, 2021
According to the IMF, the United States is expected to become the engine of the global economy this year with the strongest growth of 6.4% in decades. The red-hot economy will continue to push...
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Economy
Exposures
Economy
Everything Going Down The Inflation Drain?
May 13, 2021
S&P 500 is showing signs of stabilization, and much depends upon the tech and credit markets performance next.
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Stocks
Exposures
US Equities
What‘s Not To Love About These Great Bull Runs?
May 10, 2021
S&P 500 is at new highs, and its ascent is far from over – no signs of a major or even local top to be made. The index will have an easier time now that the short term tec /Nasdaq outlook has flipped...
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Stocks
Exposures
US Equities
Stocks And Gold – Hot And Hotter
May 06, 2021
The rebound off Tuesday‘s lows continued semi-successfully yesterday – further upside was rejected in spite of signs of strength both within the S&P 500 and outside markets.
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Stocks
Exposures
US Equities
The Inflation Tsunami About To Hit
April 27, 2021
The S&P 500 keeps pushing for new all time highs, which looks to be a matter of relatively short time only. Credit markets non-confirmation is to be disregarded in favor of strong smallcaps, emerging...
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Stocks
Exposures
US Equities
No Upsetting The Apple Cart In Stocks Or Gold
April 26, 2021
The S&P 500 turned around convincingly, and new highs are a question of a rather short amount of time – be prepared though for headline risks should we get an (unlikely) earnings disappointment.
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Stocks
Exposures
US Equities
The Tax Plan To Slay The Stock Bull?
April 23, 2021
The S&P 500 is at a crossroads determining how low would the shock-facilitated consolidation stretch. Thus far, signs are modestly leaning in favor of the worst being in, and a gradual repair coming...
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Stocks
Exposures
US Equities
Gold Unleashed – Rip Your Face Off Rally Is Here
April 21, 2021
S&P 500 had another day in the red, and buy the dippers might be tempted to say enough is enough – but I am not convinced yet.
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Stocks
Exposures
US Equities
Central Banks Trying Every Trick To Boost Inflation
April 14, 2021
Even though inflation has averaged less than the official 2% target since 2007, recently, U.S. Fed head Powell threatened that he is willing to tolerate inflation above 3% if that’s what it takes to...
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Economy
Exposures
Interest Rates
Still A Bullish Fever In Stocks?
April 13, 2021
S&P 500 still appears as entering a consolidation, but I‘m not looking for way too much downside. The Big Tech names would decide, and if you look at Tesla doing well yesterday, the S&P 500 correction...
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Stocks
Exposures
US Equities
Stocks Or Gold – Which Is In The Catbird Seat?
April 12, 2021
S&P 500 upswing is leaving the index in a vulnerable position, and especially the tech‘s reversal is leaving it in a perched place where no sector is however being really sold off.
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Stocks
Exposures
US Equities
The Curious Staircase Rally In Stocks
April 09, 2021
S&P 500 keeps consolidating in a vulnerable and stretched position, yet offers no signs of an immediate retracement of a portion of prior gains.
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Stocks
Exposures
US Equities
Rechecking On Bill And His Newfound Followers
April 09, 2021
The benchmark 10-year US Treasury has obtained some bids. Not long ago the certain harbinger of bond rout doom, the long end maybe has joined the rest of the world in its global pause if somewhat later...
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Bonds
Exposures
Debt Markets
Which of the Bonds is Unlike the Others
April 08, 2021
When it comes to the fixed income space, 2021 has been a rough year. Just about every area of the sector you look at, YTD returns have been negative.
Via
Talk Markets
Navigating the Tidal Wave of Liquidity
April 08, 2021
S&P 500 is likely to keep consolidating gained ground, and (shallow) bear raids wouldn‘t be unexpected here – in spite of the strong market breadth.
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Stocks
Exposures
US Equities
The Market’s Expectations of Inflation and Real Rates over the Next Five Years
April 08, 2021
The five-year constant maturity Treasury yield has stabilized for the last month at about 0.9%. The inflation breakeven implied by the spread between Treasurys and TIPS has plateaued at 2.52%.
Via
Talk Markets
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