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The Radically Not Inflationary ‘Shock’ Of Chinese Cracking Down
July 27, 2021
We’ve spent months in US Treasury bill yields for a (very good) reason. There’s brewing trouble out there, and it’s not just caught the attention of overeager indirects bidding in UST bill auctions.
Via
Talk Markets
USD/CNH Primary Impulse Is Nearing The Final
July 27, 2021
It seems that for USDCNH, the market has completed an intervening wave x of a cycle degree. This saw the development of the initial part of a new zigzag pattern.
Via
Talk Markets
China Sends Ripples Across the Markets
July 27, 2021
It is not China's aggressive foreign policy that is the source of the disturbance in the capital markets, but its aggressiveness at home as it asserts control parts of the tech sector and toughens its...
Via
Talk Markets
Greenback Starts Big Week Softer
July 26, 2021
The price action in the foreign exchange and bond markets has been consistent with the risk-off narrative, spurred arguably by the surge in Delta mutation of the virus.
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Bonds
Exposures
Debt Markets
Stretched Dollar Remains Firm
July 25, 2021
The US dollar was strong last week, even though it ended up slightly lower against the Canadian dollar.
Via
Talk Markets
New Record Cases in Sydney Casts a Pall over Australia
July 23, 2021
The combination of the dovish ECB's forward guidance and the unexpected rise in weekly US jobless claims to a two-month high sent bond yields tumbling.
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Bonds
Exposures
Debt Markets
On Guard, Lagarde
July 22, 2021
The rally in US shares yesterday, ostensibly fueled by strong earnings reports, is helping to encourage risk appetites today. The MSCI Asia Pacific Index is posting its biggest gain in around two...
Via
Talk Markets
Did Japan Deliver A Fait Accompli To The US?
July 21, 2021
The biggest rally in US equities in four months has helped stabilize global shares today. In the Asia Pacific region, Japan, China, and Australian markets advanced.
Via
Talk Markets
Doom and Gloom Takes Toll
July 20, 2021
The capital markets have begun stabilizing after yesterday's dramatic moves.
Via
Talk Markets
Delta Variant Saps Risk Taking Appetites, Sending The Greenback Higher Even As Rates Fall
July 19, 2021
Concerns that the Delta mutation will slow or even reverse the recovery efforts appear to be sapping risk-taking appetites. Equities are under pressure.
Via
Talk Markets
Rates And Currencies Act Like They Are From Different Planets
July 18, 2021
Stronger than expected US inflation and retail sales, and counter-intuitively Treasury yields softened, and the dollar strengthened.
Via
Talk Markets
BOJ Tweaks Forecasts
July 16, 2021
The markets head into the weekend with little fanfare.
Via
Talk Markets
Strong Gains In US CPI And PPI Don't Stop The Bond Market Rally
July 15, 2021
Strong inflation prints this week have not prevented the long-term US interest rates from tumbling. The 10-year yield is about 10 bp lower than where it closed on Tuesday after the lackluster 30-year...
Via
Talk Markets
Headline US CPI may Decline for the First Time in a Year
July 13, 2021
New record highs in the US S&P 500 and NASDAQ coupled with China allowing Tencent to acquire a search engine helped lift Asia Pacific equities.
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Stocks
Exposures
US Equities
Markets Adrift Ahead of Key Events
July 12, 2021
The new week has begun quietly. The dollar is drifting a little higher against most major currencies, with the Scandis and dollar-bloc currencies the heaviest.
Via
Talk Markets
PBOC Cuts Reserve Requirements after Inflation Measures Ease
July 09, 2021
The capital markets are winding down what has been a challenging week that has seen equity markets slide and the dollar and bonds rally.
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Bonds
Exposures
Debt Markets
Capital Markets Remain Unhinged
July 08, 2021
The dramatic move in the capital markets continues. The US dollar is soaring as yields and equities slide.
Via
Talk Markets
Dollar Stabilizes at Elevated Levels After Surging Yesterday
July 07, 2021
The dollar has steadied after surging yesterday and has so far retained the lion's share of its gains, though it remains lower against most major currencies today.
Via
Talk Markets
Greenback Shows Some Resiliency After Follow-Through Selling Dried Up
July 06, 2021
Follow-through dollar selling stalled as key levels were approached, including $1.19 in the euro, $1.3900 in sterling, $0.7600 in the Australian dollar, and CAD1.2300.
Via
Talk Markets
The Dollar Reverses Lower: Is This The Real Thing?
July 04, 2021
The dollar's bounce extended further than we expected, helped by an aggressively hawkish view of the Fed, which has seen the market price in more than one hike before the end of next year.
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Economy
Exposures
Interest Rates
The Greenback Is Bid To Start The Second Half
July 01, 2021
The dollar is beginning the quarter on firm footing, making new highs for the year against the Japanese yen (~JPY111.60). The euro has been unable to resurface above $1.1860 and is at its lowest level...
Via
Talk Markets
The Greenback Is Firm Into Quarter-End
June 30, 2021
The dollar is finishing the quarter on firm footing, gaining against most of the major currencies today. The euro is straddling the $1.1900 area, having begun the month above $1.22. Sterling has tested...
Via
Talk Markets
European Political Drama Kicks Off Big Economic Week
June 28, 2021
Global capital markets are off to a quiet start of what promises to be a busy week. Quarter and month-end adjustments, Japan's Tankan survey, the eurozone's preliminary June CPI, the US employment...
Via
Talk Markets
Dollar's Upside Correction Stalls After 3-4 Weeks Of Gains
June 27, 2021
Our underlying concern remains intact that given the large trade and budget deficits, the US must offer higher interest rates or accept a weaker dollar, and more likely, a combination of both.
Via
Talk Markets
Tokyo Escapes Deflation, Leaving the Greenback Trapped between Two Expiring Options against the Yen
June 25, 2021
New record highs in the S&P 500 and Nasdaq yesterday helped lift most Asia Pacific markets today.
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Stocks
Exposures
US Equities
Did The People's Bank Of China Signal It Is Content With The Yuan's Pullback?
June 24, 2021
The dollar peaked yesterday near CNY6.4910, its best level since late April. We suspect Chinese officials are content with this month's yuan pullback. Today's fixing was nearly spot on expectations at...
Via
Talk Markets
Japan Retains Distinction Of Being The Only G7 Country With Sub-50 PMI Composite
June 23, 2021
The dollar is softer against most major currencies, but the Japanese yen and Japan retain the distinction of being the only G7 country with a composite PMI below the 50 boom/bust level.
Via
Talk Markets
Turn Around Tuesday Or Dollar Rally Resumes?
June 22, 2021
Firming long-term US yields have lent the dollar support after trading heavily yesterday.
Via
Talk Markets
Dollar Surge Stalls
June 21, 2021
Pressure on equities seen last week carried over into Asia and Europe today. The MSCI Asia Pacific Index fell for the fourth consecutive session, led by more than a 3% decline in the Nikkei.
Via
Talk Markets
Fed Pushes on an Open Door, and the Dollar's Recovery Goes into Overdrive
June 20, 2021
Dollar bearish sentiment is fickle. The shift in the Fed's economic projections, which saw the median view now anticipate not one but two hikes in 2023, has seen the bears beat a dramatic retreat. Many...
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Economy
Exposures
Interest Rates
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