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High Yield Corp Bond Ishares Iboxx $ ETF
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Inflation Bets – Squaring or Not
June 11, 2021
S&P 500 shook off another record-making inflation reading, and bond markets couldn‘t be happier. Volatility is back down, but the option traders turned cautious.
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Bonds
Stocks
Exposures
Debt Markets
US Equities
Risk Off Markets, Seriously?
June 09, 2021
S&P 500 hard at work erasing that early bear raid, but the bulls managed to stage a comeback.
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Stocks
Exposures
US Equities
One Last Hooray Before CPI?
June 08, 2021
S&P 500 bears shouldn‘t expect too much success, for credit markets are likely to support the upswing while value pares yesterday‘s losses.
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Stocks
Exposures
US Equities
Another Taper Mirage Comes And Goes
June 04, 2021
S&P 500 bears served us the raid yesterday, but I am looking for a swift recovery of the ground lost. The taper myth isn‘t simply to be taken seriously. Gold and silver remain well bid, and not even...
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Stocks
Exposures
US Equities
Why is the Fed selling it’s holdings of corporates?
June 03, 2021
The Federal Reserve built up a portfolio of corporates in response to Covid and early stresses in credit markets. They now plan to do an unwind. Not a taper, but outright selling.
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Economy
Exposures
Interest Rates
When Markets Get Scared And Reverse
June 03, 2021
Gold and silver remain well bid, but the slowing pace of gains means that the bears might come out from hibernation – only to be repelled though.
Via
Talk Markets
The Boom Continues
May 11, 2021
The major trends in monetary inflation result in a boom-bust cycle.
Via
Talk Markets
Major Asset Classes - May 2021 Risk Review
June 03, 2021
Risk-adjusted performance for the Global Market Index (GMI) continued to tick higher in May.
Via
Talk Markets
Fed Starts To Wind-Down Secondary Corporate Credit Bailout Fund
June 02, 2021
The Fed’s first-ever foray into directly bailing out the corporate bond market will apparently come to a final close in the next few months (they hope).
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Bonds
Economy
Exposures
Debt Markets
Interest Rates
A New Credit Cycle for the U.S. Economy and What it Means for Investors
June 02, 2021
Fluctuations in the credit cycle offer investors an opportunity to allocate assets to equities during periods of near-term profit growth while reducing exposure as profit growth decelerates.
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Economy
Exposures
Economy
Reversals, Inflation, And Scares Of Any Kind
June 02, 2021
S&P 500 is getting ready for another upside breakout – it‘s a question of time. Gold and silver remain well bid and technically primed to go higher, let alone fundamentally.
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Stocks
Exposures
US Equities
Risk Premia Forecasts: Major Asset Classes - Wednesday, June 2
June 02, 2021
The Global Market Index’s (GMI) expected risk premium held steady at 5.9% annualized in May, matching the previous month’s estimate.
Via
Talk Markets
No More Bloodbath – Beyond Cryptos
June 01, 2021
S&P 500 is upside bias remains unchanged in spite of Friday‘s woes. Any dip would likely be temporary. Gold and silver remain primed to go higher, as much as the miners.
Via
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Topics
Stocks
Exposures
US Equities
Major Asset Classes - Performance Review, Tuesday, June 1
June 01, 2021
The major asset classes delivered across-the-board gains for a second month in a row in May. Excluding cash, everything was up last month, led by a sizzling rally in foreign inflation-linked government...
Via
Talk Markets
Buy the Dip, Again?!
May 28, 2021
S&P 500 is likely to remain choppy with a general upward bias that only a clear break of 4,180 would invalidate, which is unlikely to happen though – especially with the end-of-month window dressing.
Via
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Topics
Stocks
Exposures
US Equities
Hanging By A Proverbial Thread
May 27, 2021
S&P 500 is likely to remain choppy with a general upward bias that only a clear break of 4,180 would invalidate, which is unlikely to happen though.
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Stocks
Exposures
US Equities
Eerily Serene Risk-Off Markets
May 26, 2021
S&P 500 had a mixed day, and the credit market underlines the shift to risk-off.
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Stocks
Exposures
US Equities
Option Traders Are a Bit Too Calm Again
May 25, 2021
S&P 500 rose once again, and the slight retreat before the close isn‘t an issue in light of constructive credit markets.
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Stocks
Exposures
US Equities
Inflation Easing, Now What?
May 24, 2021
The S&P 500 refused to keep early gains, and reversed back into no man‘s land – on little convincing volume. For now, we remain chopping below the 4,180 level, which, if conquered on a closing basis,...
Via
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Topics
Stocks
Exposures
US Equities
Tug of War and Its Profitable Resolution
May 21, 2021
S&P 500 bid is improving in breadth, and the fake moves rich consolidation‘s lows are getting more distant.
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Stocks
Exposures
US Equities
Markets Rising From The Ashes
May 20, 2021
S&P 500 bulls have the initiative and budding credit market support. How well they defend the gains, needs to be watched closely next. Gold and miners still indicate we haven‘t left the soft patch as...
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Stocks
Exposures
US Equities
Bug in Search of Windshield
May 19, 2021
S&P 500 bulls need to prove themselves, and there is no guarantee it would happen today. The VIX says it‘s little likely actually.
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Stocks
Exposures
US Equities
Credit Market Wheels in Danger of Coming Off?
May 18, 2021
S&P 500 bulls are getting ready amid all the backing and filling for further advance, unless the corporate credit markets throw a fit. That‘s though unlikely to be of lasting importance.
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Stocks
Exposures
US Equities
Same Old Song And Dance – Almost
May 17, 2021
S&P 500 bulls are ready to defend and extend gains, and credit markets confirm the drive higher both in tech and value as Russell 2000 catches its daily breath too.
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Stocks
Exposures
US Equities
Is The Selling Madness About Over?
May 14, 2021
S&P 500 bulls are getting to (and should) flex some muscles, and not muddle through in the 4,130 range for too long.
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Stocks
Exposures
US Equities
Investors Pump $9.0 Billion Into Equity Funds Amid Rising Expectations of Market Volatility
May 13, 2021
During Refinitiv Lipper’s fund-flows week ended May 12, 2021, investors were overall net purchasers of fund assets (including both conventional funds and ETFs) for the thirteenth week in 15.
Via
Talk Markets
Everything Going Down The Inflation Drain?
May 13, 2021
S&P 500 is showing signs of stabilization, and much depends upon the tech and credit markets performance next.
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Stocks
Exposures
US Equities
Bulls Coming To Terms With Inflation
May 12, 2021
S&P 500 recovered from heavy intraday selling pressure, and both tech and credit markets appear to be turning.
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Stocks
Exposures
US Equities
Bulls Getting Caught In The Whirlwind
May 11, 2021
S&P 500 got under selling pressure that is showing no signs of abating, yet the weakness remains concentrated in quite a few tech names. Besides these, credit markets aren‘t doing fine either.
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Stocks
Exposures
US Equities
What‘s Not To Love About These Great Bull Runs?
May 10, 2021
S&P 500 is at new highs, and its ascent is far from over – no signs of a major or even local top to be made. The index will have an easier time now that the short term tec /Nasdaq outlook has flipped...
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Stocks
Exposures
US Equities
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