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Updated: 1:15 PM EST, Nov 29, 2024
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CoT Report: What The Future Holds, Per Hedge Funds, Noncommercials
January 14, 2024
Having stayed net short uninterrupted for 146 weeks, non-commercials went net long Russell 2000 mini-index futures this week – the first time they have done so since March 2021.
Via
Talk Markets
Financial Markets Report For Friday, January 12
January 12, 2024
In this video, Ira Epstein reviews the activity in the Financial Markets after the day that just ended, Friday, January 12
Via
Talk Markets
Rate Cuts Come In Response To Intensifying Financial Strife
January 12, 2024
With inflation cooling and unemployment rising, rate cuts are coming into view.
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Economy
Exposures
Interest Rates
10-Year US Treasury Yield ‘Fair Value’ Estimate - Friday, Jan. 12
January 12, 2024
The US 10-year Treasury yield continues to fall, which is narrowing the gap between the higher market rate and a lesser “fair-value” estimate.
Via
Talk Markets
Not So Rotten To The "Super Core"
January 11, 2024
Something tells me the final mile to reach 2 % inflation nirvana will be a torturously bumpy one for risk-takers. While not the best outlook for investors, it would certainly be music to traders’...
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Economy
Exposures
Interest Rates
Rates Spark: The Side Effect Of Weighing The Scenarios
January 10, 2024
The data calendar remains light, but it will get busier on the central bank communications front.
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Economy
Exposures
Interest Rates
Financial Markets Report For Thursday, January 11
January 11, 2024
In this video, Ira Epstein reviews the activity in the Financial Markets after the day that just ended, Thursday, January 11
Via
Talk Markets
Asia Morning Bites For Friday, January 12
January 11, 2024
After disappointing US inflation overnight, China reports its latest inflation and trade data
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Economy
Exposures
Interest Rates
Rates Spark: Mean Reversion To 4% Can’t Last Forever
January 11, 2024
In a way, the path for inflation is convincingly lower, and bullish for rate cuts and bonds. In another, there is ample evidence of inflation being stuck at above 3% (in both the US and eurozone).
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Bonds
Economy
Exposures
Debt Markets
Interest Rates
Inflationary Yield Curve Steepening?
January 11, 2024
After a gentle disinflationary easing (Goldilocks), the bond market is hinting at an inflationary steepening of the 10yr-2yr yield curve.
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Bonds
Economy
Exposures
Debt Markets
Interest Rates
Can The US CPI Break The Dollar Out Of Its Consolidation?
January 11, 2024
Via
Talk Markets
US Dollar May Stay In A Correction After The US CPI Inflation Report
January 11, 2024
The US Dollar may stay in a correction after the US CPI inflation report, as we see it trading in a higher degree corrective rally from the Elliott wave perspective.
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Economy
Exposures
Interest Rates
Asia Morning Bites For Thursday, January 11
January 10, 2024
Bank of Korea meeting likely to keep rates unchanged. Australian trade report shows a widening surplus as imports fall. US CPI later.
Via
Talk Markets
U.S. Stocks Ascend As The Market Anticipates Consumer Price Data
January 10, 2024
Any test of record S&P 500 highs may have to be cleared through Janet Yellen's Treasury desk, not necessarily Chair Powell's Fed desk.
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Economy
Stocks
Exposures
Interest Rates
US Equities
Financial Markets Report For Wednesday, January 10
January 10, 2024
In this video, Ira Epstein reviews the activity in the Financial Markets after the day that just ended, Wednesday, January 10
Via
Talk Markets
First 10Y Auction Of 2024 Prices To Tepid Demand, 4th Tail In A Row
January 10, 2024
The auction priced at a high yield of 4.024%, which was a sharp drop from December's 4.2960 and was the lowest yield since the 3.999% August auction.
Via
Talk Markets
Don't Be Burned In The Churn
January 10, 2024
The broad consolidation in the dollar after the gyrations at the end of last week continues, and within it the greenback is a bit softer today.
Via
Talk Markets
Bonds Made A Historic Move, Now What?
January 10, 2024
The recent bond rally - which may not be over - was one for the books. The 10-year US Treasury dropped nearly 120 bps off its yield in only 47 trading days.
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Bonds
Exposures
Debt Markets
Tapping Fingers Nervously
January 09, 2024
After a recent stock market dip, attention gradually shifts to the upcoming earnings season to gain insights into companies' growth trajectories.
Via
Talk Markets
Financial Markets Report For Tuesday, January 9
January 09, 2024
In this video, Ira Epstein reviews the activity in the Financial Markets after the day that just ended, Tuesday, January 9.
Via
Talk Markets
Asia Morning Bites For Wednesday, January 10
January 09, 2024
Australian inflation drops. Philippine trade data is also set for release today
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Economy
Exposures
Interest Rates
Commodities Trading Report And Trading Strategies For Wednesday, January 10
January 09, 2024
Understanding the wave count for the USD DXY is an important point, if you understand this count it will set you up for trades in many other markets, this setup will take about a week.
Via
Talk Markets
Economic Shakeup: Bold Bond & Bitcoin Predictions For 2024
January 09, 2024
A discussion about the 2024 economic outlook.
Via
Talk Markets
The Dollar Goes Nowhere Quickly
January 09, 2024
The dollar continues to consolidate broadly after the dramatic price swings at the end of last week.
Via
Talk Markets
Still Waiting For A Clear Risk-Off Signal At 2024’s Start
January 09, 2024
There’s no shortage of reasons to be cautious about the near-term outlook for markets, but reviewing trend behavior via several sets of ETF pairs continues to reflect a positive trend for risk assets.
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
ETFs
Financial Markets Report For Monday, January 8
January 09, 2024
In this video, Ira Epstein reviews the activity in the Financial Markets after the day that just ended, Monday, January 8.
Via
Talk Markets
Asia Morning Bites For Tuesday, January 8
January 09, 2024
Tokyo December CPI inflation settled at 2.4%, Australian retail sales out later Tuesday, together with Taiwan's trade figures
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Economy
Exposures
Interest Rates
The Magical Melting VIX Saves Stocks For Now
January 08, 2024
We broke a downtrend in the S&P 500 and also managed to close above the 10-day exponential moving average, which had served as resistance. Of course, that will need to be confirmed tomorrow
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Stocks
Exposures
US Equities
Market Briefing For Monday, January 8
January 08, 2024
There is more evidence this is going to be an unusual year; war, elections, of course climate change, and 'radioactive fish'.
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Climate Change
Exposures
Climate
An S&P 500 Return To 3,900 May Be In The Cards For 2024
January 07, 2024
This week will be another in-focus week, with the CPI and PPI reports coming toward the week’s end. Additionally, 3 Treasury auctions will be front and center as well.
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Stocks
Exposures
US Equities
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