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Treasuries
1-3 Year Treasury Bond Ishares ETF
(NQ:
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Updated: 4:15 PM EST, Nov 21, 2024
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Across The Board Losses For The Major Asset Classes Last Week - Monday, Feb. 27
February 27, 2023
Sellers took a toll on all the major asset classes last week, based on a set of ETF proxies.
Via
Talk Markets
Weekly Market Pulse: Good News Is Good News
February 27, 2023
Markets are starting to price in more for the balance of the year. Maybe stocks will continue to fall if interest rates keep rising but at some point, the good news is good news.
Via
Talk Markets
Gold Finds Relief But Risks Tilted To Downside
February 22, 2023
If the FOMC minutes and other incoming data fuel hawkish Fed bets, then gold could drop to the next potential support area of around $1800 next.
Via
Talk Markets
Fed Hikes In March Meeting Uncertain; Market Awaits Clues From FOMC Minutes This Week
February 20, 2023
The Fed's most recent meeting minutes will be the focus for investors this week as they seek clarity on the central bank's interest rate hike plan.
Via
Talk Markets
Strong Rebound In Retail Sales Gives Fed More Room To Lift Rates
February 16, 2023
It appears that the Federal Reserve’s aggressive campaign to tame inflation by slowing economic activity is faltering.
Via
Talk Markets
Will This Year’s Recovery In US Bonds Continue?
February 10, 2023
The Treasury market has adjusted its recent dovish pivot by lifting the 2-year yield, which is widely viewed as a proxy for the Fed’s near-term policy outlook.
Via
Talk Markets
A Return To Normal
February 03, 2023
A discussion about the markets returning to normal, the Fed's big mistake in 2020, and the prospect for interest rate cuts in 2023.
Via
Talk Markets
Treasury Market Predicts Fed Rate Hikes Are Done
February 03, 2023
The Federal Reserve raised interest rates again this week and Chairman Jerome Powell says more hikes are coming. The bond market disagrees.
Via
Talk Markets
Bulls Relentless – February Not So Bad – Fed To Hike Rates
February 01, 2023
The 2023 rally has been relentless without any pullbacks of more than two days. To be fair, we did see the same behavior back in August and that rally ended up failing.
Via
Talk Markets
US Interest Rate Adjustment Post-Jobs is Over As The 2-Year Yield Backs Away From 4.50%
February 09, 2023
The rate adjustment in light of the data and Fed comments has been made. This is reflected by the US two-year yield stalling near 4.50% earlier this week and is now back to around 4.40%, which is still...
Via
Talk Markets
COT Bonds Speculators Cut Back On Eurodollar Bearish Bets For 10th Time In 11 Weeks
January 29, 2023
The COT bond market speculator bets were higher this week as five out of the eight bond markets we cover had higher positioning while the other three markets had lower speculator contracts.
Via
Talk Markets
Fed Pivot Watch - Wednesday, Jan. 25
January 25, 2023
The Federal Reserve is expected to slow its next rate hike to a quarter-point increase, which would be the smallest since it began lifting rates in March 2022.
Via
Talk Markets
Weekly Market Pulse: A Fatal Conceit
January 23, 2023
We have no control over the economy at all and trying to guess the outcome of all the interactions and feedback loops in our modern global economy takes time away from working on what we can control.
Via
Talk Markets
Bonds Speculators Increased 10-Year Treasury Bearish Bets To 222-Week High
January 22, 2023
The COT bond market speculator bets were lower this week as just two out of the eight bond markets we cover had higher positioning while the other six markets had lower speculator contracts.
Via
Talk Markets
This House of Representative Just Bought Up To $250K In iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF Stock
January 05, 2023
Via
Benzinga
Fed Pivot Watch - Thursday, Jan. 5
January 05, 2023
The Federal Reserve appears to be approaching the end of its rate-hiking policy, based on estimates from the bond market and economic conditions.
Via
Talk Markets
US Dollar (DXY) Outlook – One Last US Data Drop Before CPI And FOMC Next Week
December 09, 2022
The US dollar continues this week’s range trading, helped in part by limited US data and the Fed blackout period ahead of next week’s FOMC decision.
Via
Talk Markets
COT Bonds Speculators Reduced Their 2-Year & 5-Year Bonds Bearish Bets This Week
January 15, 2023
The COT bond market speculator bets were even this week, as four out of the eight bond markets we cover had higher positioning while the other four markets had lower speculator contracts. Leading the...
Via
Talk Markets
Developing Macro Signal For Gold
January 13, 2023
Gold and the 2-year yield are not perfectly correlated but a falling two year yield (after a rate hike cycle) usually leads to rate cuts, which are bullish for Gold.
Via
Talk Markets
Looking For Risk-On Signals
January 11, 2023
Mr. Market doesn’t explain himself, but he does drop clues about preferences. Interpretation is mostly art, but it can be worthwhile when there are clear signs of trend changes. One approach for...
Via
Talk Markets
Why Bonds Could Be a Better Investment in 2023
January 05, 2023
Many investors aren't in a hurry to get back into stocks.
Via
The Motley Fool
The US Economy Is Resilient, Unless It’s Not
December 23, 2022
The US economy appears resilient and vulnerable at the same time. There’s always uncertainty about the economy’s near-term path, but rarely has the data presented such a striking contrast in...
Via
Talk Markets
Don’t Underestimate Inflation Threat To Fed’s Credibility
December 07, 2022
Inflation appears to be rolling over and markets are starting to consider the possibility that the Federal Reserve’s hawkish monetary policy will soon start to ease.
Via
Talk Markets
Gold Price Outlook - Looking To Build The Next Leg Higher?
December 05, 2022
The precious metal tested and rejected a multi-month level of resistance but looks to make a fresh attempt in the coming days.
Via
Talk Markets
COT Bonds Speculators Weekly Changes Led By Eurodollar & 2-Year Bonds
December 18, 2022
The COT bond market speculator bets were higher this week as five out of the eight bond markets we cover had higher positioning while the other three markets had lower speculator contracts.
Via
Talk Markets
How Long And How Far Will The Fed Lift Interest Rates?
December 13, 2022
The answer, of course, depends on how soon inflation shows convincing signs of behaving. There are hints that we’re now in the early phase of post-peak inflation.
Via
Talk Markets
Rivian, An Energy ETF and One Of The World's Largest Payments Processors: CNBC's 'Final Trades'
December 13, 2022
On CNBC’s "Halftime Report Final Trades," Bryn Talkington of Requisite Capital Management said Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund (ARCA: XLE) is likely to touch its 200-day moving average, which is around...
Via
Benzinga
COT Bonds Speculators Drop 5-Year Treasury Bets To 215-Week Low
December 11, 2022
The COT bond market speculator bets were lower this week as just two out of the eight bond markets we cover had higher positioning this week while six markets had lower contracts.
Via
Talk Markets
North American Bond Markets Flag A Recession As Central Bankers Continue To Raise Rates
December 08, 2022
Given the long lags between instituting a rate hike and its subsequent impact, we can expect that an economic contraction will be apparent later in 2023.
Via
Talk Markets
COT Bonds Speculators Trim Their Eurodollar Bearish Bets
December 04, 2022
The COT bond market speculator bets were mixed this week as four out of the eight bond markets we cover had higher positioning this week while the other four markets had lower contracts.
Via
Talk Markets
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