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The Future Thru Futures: What We're Gleaning From The Latest CoT Report
Today 0:50 EST
This time around, with seasonal tailwind at their back, tech bulls deserve the benefit of the doubt so long as the index remains above 20500s.
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Bonds
Commodities
Currencies/Forex
Masters In Trading - Saturday, Dec. 7
December 07, 2024
In this video, I review the recent non-farm payroll numbers and discuss what the data means for the market.
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Bonds
ETFs
Futures
Consumer Sentiment Hits 7-Month High, But Inflation Fears Divide Democrats, Republicans
December 06, 2024
December consumer sentiment index rose to 7-month high due to improved economic conditions & growing concerns over inflation, leading to increased purchases.
Via
Benzinga
Topics
Economy
Exposures
Interest Rates
100k Bitcoin
December 06, 2024
The rally in Bitcoin is getting overbought and could likely be in for a consolidation or decline soon.
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Bonds
Cryptocurrencies
ETFs
SPY-TLT Spread Deviation Puts These S&P 500 Stocks in Focus
December 05, 2024
There is a dislocation between the S&P 500 and the bond market today, one that might be corrected by the bigger banks and funds.
Via
MarketBeat
Topics
Bonds
ETFs
Stocks
Exposures
Debt Markets
US Equities
Long Bonds TLT: Agony And Ecstasy
December 04, 2024
TLTs cleared the 50 and 200 daily moving averages. This is interesting as the 2 MAs also had a death cross.
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Bonds
ETFs
Long-Term Treasury ETFs Hit Death Cross As Yields Rise, Bonds Tumble
December 04, 2024
Long-term Treasury ETFs hit rough patch as interest rates reverse course, signaling a Death Cross. Three major bond ETFs see bearish signals and potential for further declines.
Via
Benzinga
Topics
Bonds
ETFs
Exposures
Debt Markets
Do New Tariffs Signal Rising Inflation? A Technical Breakdown
December 03, 2024
While most economists think that new proposed tariffs will result in higher economic inflation scenarios, markets differ.
Via
MarketBeat
Topics
ETFs
Economy
World Trade
Exposures
Economy
Interest Rates
Tariff
Will Stocks Continue To Rhyme With 2016?
December 01, 2024
The market’s path since the election has been slightly different than the 'Trump 1.0' economy from 2016, but as of right now, it’s holding the simple bullish pattern of an election range breakout.
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Bonds
ETFs
Economy
Exposures
Economy
Signs Of Extreme Speculation Return
November 30, 2024
As risk-taking builds and is rewarded by higher prices, risk-taking morphs into more extreme speculation. For example, the surge of capital into 3x Leveraged S&P 500 ETFs has been remarkable.
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
ETFs
Stocks
Stocks / Equities
Exposures
US Equities
S&P 500, Dow Rally To Record Highs, Dollar Snaps 8-Week Streak, Bitcoin Soars Above $97,000: What's Driving Markets Friday?
November 29, 2024
Risk-on sentiment gained momentum on Wall Street after the Thanksgiving holiday, fueled by investor optimism over fourth-quarter profit forecasts for U.S. corporations, lifting both the S&P 500 and Dow...
Via
Benzinga
Topics
Stocks
Exposures
US Equities
The US Structural Deficit, An Increasingly Visible Threat
November 29, 2024
Saudi Arabia recently orchestrated the issuance of $2 billion of Chinese sovereign bonds, denominated in US dollars, marking a notable evolution in the global financial landscape.
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Bonds
Exposures
Debt Markets
Inflation Stabilization Firms With Robust Services Spending
November 28, 2024
The Federal Reserve's preferred inflation gauge, core PCE, rose to 2.8% in October, driven by sticky service inflation despite falling goods prices. Robust spending challenges rate cuts.
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Bonds
Economy
Exposures
Interest Rates
JD Vance's Investment Playbook Has Bitcoin And ETFs: Here's What Else The VP-Elect Is Betting On
November 27, 2024
Vice President-elect James David Vance is a venture capitalist with investment experience in technology and connections to several notable industry mavens.
Via
Benzinga
Stocks Mixed Ahead Of Fed Minutes, Mexican Peso Tumbles To Over 2-Year Lows On Tariffs Fears: What's Driving Markets Tuesday?
November 26, 2024
The U.S. stock market traded mixed on Tuesday morning, with major indices showing tight movements as investors awaited the release of the Federal Reserve's November meeting minutes.
Via
Benzinga
Topics
Economy
Exposures
Interest Rates
Bonds Pop, Gold Drops, and China Makes a Move
November 25, 2024
Bonds and gold historically have a positive correlation; they tend to move together. But that’s been breaking up as of late, and that’s what happened today.
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Bonds
Commodities
Futures
Pushing To Higher Highs
November 24, 2024
The NYSE Index just keeps pushing to higher highs. This is impressive price action, and last week's new high for the market was not at all what I expected considering the warning signs that I was...
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Bonds
ETFs
Peeking At The Future: Using CoT To Assess Hedge Fund, Noncommercial Positions
November 24, 2024
This week, the tech-heavy Nasdaq index rallied 1.9 percent to 20776. The all-time high of 21182 was posted on the 11th (this month) and is within reach. Rally odds grow so long as the index remains...
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Commodities
Currencies/Forex
Stocks / Equities
Higher Rates And A Stronger Dollar May Significantly Tighten Financial Conditions
November 23, 2024
In this video, I discuss what to expect in the holiday-shortened week ahead.
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Bonds
Currencies/Forex
Stocks / Equities
Stocks Move Higher, Walmart Hits Record High, Natural Gas Reaches 5-Month Peak: What's Driving Markets Tuesday?
November 19, 2024
Wall Street managed to recover from a red start caused by heightened geopolitical tensions stemming from the ongoing Russia-Ukraine conflict.
Via
Benzinga
Topics
Energy
Exposures
Fossil Fuels
War, Gold, And Opportunity: Uncovering Today’s Market Moves
November 19, 2024
Geopolitical tensions drive market moves as we analyze top picks.
Via
Talk Markets
Putin Revises Nuclear Doctrine For Broader Strikes After US-Backed Ukrainian Attack: Markets Drop, Bonds Gain
November 19, 2024
European markets sank on Tuesday and U.S. stock futures followed suit, weighed down by escalating geopolitical tensions after Russian ...
Via
Benzinga
Markets Mixed Monday: NVIDIA Forecast And More
November 18, 2024
Market indexes fought back from a temporary dip into the red this morning, with every major index aside from the Dow closing in the green to start a new trading week.
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Stocks
Exposures
US Equities
Technical Monday: How Key Ratios Measure Risk
November 18, 2024
Looking at gold, it underperforms SPY. Looking at silver, it remains an underperformer to gold at this point (also risk on for equities).
Via
Talk Markets
Rising Rates And Nvidia May Drive The Stock Market Much Lower
November 17, 2024
This week is all about Nvidia, as the market anticipates the company’s fiscal third-quarter results. The question is whether Nvidia will continue beating expectations by $2 billion and raising guidance...
Via
Talk Markets
Post-Election Market Results And Commentary
November 17, 2024
The U.S. dollar remains strong on foreign exchange markets and with Powell's note of caution regarding expectations for lower interest rates, downside action in all markets might be ahead for the...
Via
Talk Markets
Peeking Into The Future Via CoT - Futures, How Hedge Funds Are Positioned
November 17, 2024
Inability to rally to a new high after coming so close is not encouraging news for small-cap bulls. All other major equity indices have left their highs from 2021 and 2022 behind, but not the Russell...
Via
Talk Markets
AskSlim Market Week - Friday, Nov. 15
November 15, 2024
An analysis and commentary on the financial markets.
Via
Talk Markets
Trump Rally Fades As Investors Await Powell's Remarks, Bitcoin Drops Below $90,000: What's Driving Markets Thursday?
November 14, 2024
Signs of a waning Trump-led rally emerged Thursday as investors assessed the economic outlook and awaited potential signals on the interest-rate path from the upcoming Fed Chair Jerome Powell‘s speech...
Via
Benzinga
Topics
Economy
Government
Exposures
Interest Rates
Political
The Federal Reserve Is Paying Attention To Stabilizing Core Inflation
November 14, 2024
The Federal Reserve is cautious about stabilizing core inflation, slowing potential rate cuts. Long-term bond yields are rising. Gold’s outlook dims amid a Bitcoin surge, and the U.S. dollar...
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Bonds
Economy
Exposures
Debt Markets
Interest Rates
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