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Faced With Declining Employment Levels The Bank Of Canada Needs To Act Quickly
August 09, 2024
Increasingly, the Canadian economy is weakening, as measures of employment growth have deteriorated for the past three months.
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Economy
Exposures
Economy
Canada’s Financial Hell Paved With Good Intentions
August 06, 2024
As interest rates fell from 1980 to 2020, the average Canadian home price increased 746% from $67k to $566k, while the median household income rose about half that rate.
Via
Talk Markets
The Real Estate Cliff Could Break Everything
July 29, 2024
We explore the current state of the Canadian real estate and bond markets.
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Bonds
Exposures
Debt Markets
Canada’s “Worst Decline In 40 Years”
July 26, 2024
Canada’s standard of living is on track for its worst decline in 40 years, according to a new study by Canada’s Fraser Institute.
Via
Talk Markets
Bank Of Canada Is Not Afraid Of Diverging From The Fed
July 24, 2024
The Bank of Canada cut rates for a second consecutive meeting today.
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Economy
Exposures
Interest Rates
Canada’s Economy Feels Like A Recession
July 23, 2024
Canada’s June unemployment rate of 6.4% was up 160 basis points from the cycle low of 4.8% in June 2022.
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Economy
Exposures
Economy
Bank Of Canada Preview: Another One Down
July 18, 2024
The Bank of Canada looks set to opt for back-to-back rate cuts in July as unemployment continues to climb and inflation converges on its target.
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Economy
Exposures
Interest Rates
Canada Now Needs to Develop Pro-Growth Policies
June 10, 2024
Now that the Bank of Canada has started to unwind its restrictive monetary policy, it has to begin to focus on how monetary policy can best promote economic growth.
Via
Talk Markets
Easing Begins As Unemployment Rises
June 04, 2024
Canadian unemployment has risen 130 bps from 4.8% in July 2022 to 6.1% in March and 6.2% expected in May.
Via
Talk Markets
Struggling Consumers Are A Tough Slog
July 15, 2024
Consumer spending drives just under 60% of Canadian GDP growth and consumer spending fell across all categories in June.
Via
Talk Markets
The Bank Of Canada Is Now Behind The Curve As The Unemployment Rate Rises
July 10, 2024
The June employment report in Canada reveals a worrisome picture.
Via
Talk Markets
The Nexus Between Immigration Flows And Employment Growth In Canada
July 05, 2024
While the Bank of Canada focuses on the inflation rate, they are missing out on the more important consideration, namely, the weakness in economic growth.
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Economy
Immigration
Exposures
Immigration
Interest Rates
Real Estate Bust Has Compound Impacts
July 04, 2024
The Greater Toronto Area (GTA) is home to approximately 8 million Canadians which account for some 20% of Canada’s Gross Domestic Product.
Via
Talk Markets
Why Canada’s Economy Is Weaker Than The United States
July 01, 2024
A discussion about why Canada's economy is much weaker compared to the United States.
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Economy
Exposures
Economy
Easy Money Has Yielded A Vicious Payback Period
June 26, 2024
Interest rates and high debt levels are biting hard in Canada; the economy is weak, and layoffs are rising.
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Economy
Workforce
Exposures
Economy
Layoff
Spring Market Demanding More Realism
March 26, 2024
Nationally, the average Canadian home sale price in February 2024 was $719,400, -11.9% from the cycle peak of $816,720 in February 2022.
Via
Talk Markets
Canadian Home Prices Moving Lower For Math Reasons
June 11, 2024
At the moment, home affordability is at its worst since mortgage rates were north of 18% in 1981.
Via
Talk Markets
The Bank Of Canada Is First Of The Gate In Lowering Its Policy Rate
June 05, 2024
The Bank of Canada lowered its overnight rate from 5% to 4.75% today, a move that was widely expected.
Via
Talk Markets
Bank Of Canada Cuts Rates By 25bp
June 05, 2024
The Bank of Canada has clearly concluded that diminishing inflation worries and excess supply in the economy mean its monetary policy doesn’t need to be quite so restrictive.
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Economy
Exposures
Economy
Interest Rates
Bank Of Canada Cuts Rates By 0.25% As Policy 'No Longer Needs To Be Restrictive': Canadian Stocks Rally, Loonie Drops
June 05, 2024
Bank of Canada lowers interest rates by 25 basis points in response to easing inflation, with Canadian stocks and dollar reacting accordingly.
Via
Benzinga
Topics
Economy
Exposures
Interest Rates
Canadian Banks Put Aside More For Loan Losses As The Economy Continues To Deteriorate
May 30, 2024
Canadian banks are setting aside around $ 4 billion in loan provisions, a trend that has been accelerating and one that should alarm the Bank of Canada that its monetary policy is choking the economy.
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Economy
Exposures
Economy
Bank Of Canada Preview: Time Is Ripe For A Cut
May 29, 2024
Markets are, underpricing both the chances of a rate cut in June and those of further easing by year-end.
Via
Talk Markets
Canada Feeling The Burn Of High Debt And Weakening Employment
May 09, 2024
With no quick economic boosts on the horizon, Canadian bond yields are retreating (bond prices rising) and are now back to where they were last November.
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Bonds
Exposures
Debt Markets
Now The Canada’s Trade Performance Is A Drag On The Economy
May 02, 2024
Roughly, one-third of Canada’s GDP comes from the external sector, and so when that sector stumbles, the rest of the economy will do the same.
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Economy
Exposures
Economy
Canada's Capital Gains Tax Rate Jumps To 67%: 'Highly Indebted Western Governments Have Promises To Keep, Wars To Fund,' Strategist Says
April 19, 2024
Canada is the nation with the world's highest capital gains tax rate, significantly surpassing Denmark's second-place rate of 42%.
Via
Benzinga
The Canadian Federal Budget And Its Impact On Debt Markets
April 17, 2024
Participants in the Canadian debt market do not anticipate any change in Canada’s AAA-rating. Additional supply will not affect yields.
Via
Talk Markets
Canada Is Now Experiencing A Hard Landing
April 05, 2024
Evidence is piling up that the Bank of Canada is not able to engineer the vaulted soft landing after a brutal series of rate hikes.
Via
Talk Markets
Impossible Home Prices Are The Problem
April 04, 2024
The median Canadian household income of $85k (Dec 2023) now qualifies for a maximum home price of $496k (assuming 20% down, 25-year amortization, and current mortgage rates (5-year fixed).
Via
Talk Markets
The Great Canadian Debate Is Underway Why Productivity Is So Poor
March 28, 2024
To say that the financial markets in Canada, bank lending and equity markets, are denying the private sector capital is without foundation.
Via
Talk Markets
The Choice Of Inflation Measure Depends On The Eye Of The Beholder
March 25, 2024
No matter how one slices it, the rate of inflation has come down dramatically in rather short order.
Via
Talk Markets
Topics
Economy
Exposures
Interest Rates
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